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re: Hurricane Milton - The Cleanup Begins...

Posted on 10/9/24 at 2:44 pm to
Posted by sicboy
Because Awesome
Member since Nov 2010
79329 posts
Posted on 10/9/24 at 2:44 pm to
I'm not dogging you at all. I just want to know what to pay attention to and what to ignore.

We're in Plant City. I think we're in good shape, will probably lose power at some point because we always lose power, but I'm feeling a lot better than I did this morning when I woke up to Cat 4 right over my house.
This post was edited on 10/9/24 at 2:50 pm
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
26051 posts
Posted on 10/9/24 at 2:45 pm to
quote:

sicboy


quote:

Almost threw up.


Posted by FLObserver
Jacksonville
Member since Nov 2005
15831 posts
Posted on 10/9/24 at 2:45 pm to
Fingers crossed this thing keeps losing steam.
Posted by Robin Masters
Birmingham
Member since Jul 2010
35038 posts
Posted on 10/9/24 at 2:46 pm to
quote:

NHC is damned if they do and damned if they don’t. If it comes in weaker than forecast, everyone is mad. If they forecast it to be weaker and then it ends up stronger, everyone is mad. No one outside of the weather community seems to care how hard these things are to forecast. Especially when people are unhappy about any forecast that isn’t 100% perfect.


I think you are correct but I think public servants like the Tampa mayor erode confidence when the engage in histrionics like “if you stay your house will be your coffin” and then turn out to be wrong. Like just state the facts and let people decide. If they want to stay and die then that’s their choice.
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
129476 posts
Posted on 10/9/24 at 2:47 pm to
If weakening pace continues it will be about 970 mb at landfall.
Posted by Tiger Ryno
#WoF
Member since Feb 2007
107542 posts
Posted on 10/9/24 at 2:48 pm to
Encouraging trend. Now we need the tornados to go away.
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
13781 posts
Posted on 10/9/24 at 2:50 pm to
Gust to 46 at Sarasota / Bradenton Airport
Posted by Dam Guide
Member since Sep 2005
16553 posts
Posted on 10/9/24 at 2:50 pm to
quote:


Fingers crossed this thing keeps losing steam.


Hoping these positives keep stacking, I'm supposed to be boarding a cruise ship on Sunday in Port Canaveral. Delayed our trip to Orlando. Debating going down Friday or Saturday now. Probably will strap some of my jerry cans on the wife mobile for safe measure.
Posted by Dixie2023
Member since Mar 2023
4635 posts
Posted on 10/9/24 at 2:51 pm to
That’s what happens when you live in a hurricane zone. Of all the hurricanes we evacuated for bc we were gonna die, only one bc of certain other negligence was worth evacuating for. Most times they shift direction a little as they make landfall or downgrade.
Posted by Thracken13
Aft Cargo Hold of Serenity
Member since Feb 2010
18551 posts
Posted on 10/9/24 at 2:51 pm to
but if the mayor is operating on info at hand at the time, he has to say it. if it had come in as a 4 possibly a 5 - he very well could have been right on that.

the fact is - you can only present the info you have at hand. people are stubborn and won't listen no matter what it is, and then they are fricked - and blame everyone else for it.

like roll tide ravens said - they are damned if they do and damned if they don't.

hell I pushed really hard to get my Aunt to evacuate from St Pete because at the time the info I had was what we were discussing here. am I glad it wont be as bad as we thought - frick yeah, not just for her but everyone there.

but - I couldn't take the chance and convinced her to go inland for safety.
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
87204 posts
Posted on 10/9/24 at 2:52 pm to
Recon showing 949 pressure now
Posted by tigerpimpbot
Chairman of the Pool Board
Member since Nov 2011
68806 posts
Posted on 10/9/24 at 2:53 pm to
29 tornado warnings in channel 12 palm beach county/treasure coast viewing area in the last couple of hours.
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
87204 posts
Posted on 10/9/24 at 2:53 pm to
Friday traffic is going to be terrible with everyone going home
Posted by MrFreakinMiyagi
Reseda
Member since Feb 2007
19705 posts
Posted on 10/9/24 at 2:54 pm to
quote:

I think public servants like the Tampa mayor erode confidence when the engage in histrionics like “if you stay your house will be your coffin” and then turn out to be wrong

At least she was speaking only to people in evacuation zones

The OT told us that everyone within 50 miles of the coast between cedar key and Marco island had a death wish if they didn’t leave.
Posted by Turnblad85
Member since Sep 2022
4611 posts
Posted on 10/9/24 at 2:54 pm to
quote:

No one outside of the weather community seems to care how hard these things are to forecast.



This goes for every profession though. A successful knee replacement is probably pretty tough to master but people dgaf about how difficult it is when an orthopedist screws one up.

As long as the fedgov is leading the charge to find new high quality and effective means of accurately forecasting then I don't see anything changing soon. That would have to come from the private sector and its hard to get paid for predicting storms. Though I could see energy companies possibly funding some advancement. We'll see.
Posted by KamaCausey_LSU
Member since Apr 2013
17154 posts
Posted on 10/9/24 at 2:55 pm to
Found this on page 20-something



The bay/sound south of Tampa just north of Cape Coral will get the worst it looks like

You can see based on the map and projected storm surge how the storm surge will funnel to a point through Gasparilla Sound/Charlotte Harbor causing massive storm surge in the Port Charlotte area.
This post was edited on 10/9/24 at 2:56 pm
Posted by Dam Guide
Member since Sep 2005
16553 posts
Posted on 10/9/24 at 2:56 pm to
quote:

Friday traffic is going to be terrible with everyone going home


Yeah, that's my worry, we may try and go late friday thru the night. We need to help my wife's grandma get back home to Orlando.
This post was edited on 10/9/24 at 2:57 pm
Posted by rmnldr
Member since Oct 2013
39857 posts
Posted on 10/9/24 at 2:56 pm to
I got crucified yesterday for suggesting there may be a bit too much hype about this storm. It’ll still have significant impacts but it’s been overdone by the media
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
87204 posts
Posted on 10/9/24 at 2:56 pm to
They missed badly on intensity during the early tracks. The track is on point except for the Yucatan dip.
This post was edited on 10/9/24 at 2:58 pm
Posted by kywildcatfanone
Wildcat Country!
Member since Oct 2012
136195 posts
Posted on 10/9/24 at 2:57 pm to
Has this been posted?
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