re: Hurricane Milton - The Cleanup Begins...

Saw Mumford and sons a few times at Red Rocks. Their music is tailor made for that place.

Milton is still a relatively compact hurricane, but the wind field
is expected to continue to grow in size as it approaches Florida.
In fact, the official forecast shows the hurricane and
tropical-storm-force winds roughly doubling in size by the time it
makes landfall. Therefore, damaging winds, life-threatening storm
surge, and heavy rainfall will extend well outside the forecast
cone. It is worth emphasizing that this is a very serious situation
and residents in Florida should closely follow orders from their
local emergency management officials. Milton has the potential to
be one of the most destructive hurricanes on record for west-central
Florida.

What are the people staying in those high rise condos and apartments in downtown St. Pete in for during and after the storm? Are they in a relatively good spot?

new eye looks good.. CDO is still really cold and the pink is wrapping again

Lots of lightening in the eyewall again..

Loop Current up ahead..

Likely some more RI today.. perhaps explosive like yesterday

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What are the people staying in those high rise condos and apartments in downtown St. Pete in for during and after the storm? Are they in a relatively good spot?

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They’ll likely be safe but hearing that storm come through in the middle of the night is going to be a nightmare. Afterwards, they’re going to have no power, no service, and nowhere to go as downtown is going to be under water. People living in those condos and apartments have the money to evacuate, so I don’t see why anyone would stay to experience what’s about to happen.

Friend,

Ideal conditions for strengthening or even maintaining category five conditions usually do not last for a long time. Humans do not understand all the factors at play to keep a peak performing storm at a peak, but those we do know about include atmospheric conditions that allow optimal heat transfer from the surface to the upper level, i.e. no shear, limited interaction with land, and warm, deep water, as that is the fuel used to grow and maintain. I propose the most likely causes of its rapid deterioration over the last twelve hours, from 897 mb to 924 mb, were the many hours it has spent over Campeche Bank, where water depth gradually slopes upward from a few hundred feet to 50 feet near the Yucatan Peninsula and a decrease in favorability in the upper atmospheric conditions. You will not hear people talk much about rapid deterioration, as opposed to rapid intensification, because order to disorder does not appeal to our minds, which were created from disorder and into order, as detailed in the Genesis creation story.

Even though some fear mongers might suggest there will be rapid intensification today because it is going over the Gulf Loop Current, that seems a bold projection that I find unlikely. To do so would mean the store would increase to 190 mph sustained at the least, becoming the strongest storm in the last fifty years, as that is really the only time period in which we have good records. As the storm’s central pressure rises, indicating a general trend of weakening, and it becomes a less efficient engine, expect an expansion of the wind field but no rapid intensification. It is difficult to attain perfect form once and even less likely twice. Sure, Allen was able to do in 1980, but that was the exception.

Yours,
TulaneLSU

My parents live about half way between the track line and the northern edge of the cone ( in a pretty wooded area). They’re both in their 70’s and I’m out of the country for work.

Told them they could just go use my house in Mandeville for the storm (and aftermath until power comes back). They said no because they didn’t want to deal with throwing the cat in the car.

Tried to tell them it’s worth 10 hours of meowing to have internet, cell service, and power, as well as avoiding sitting around listening to hours worth of trees cracking all around you - let alone being inside when a pine tree splits your roof.

As of yet they’ve never dealt with a storm aftermath, and I’m afraid they’re about to learn.

They do have enough supplies and a (small) generator though.

So good (for my family anyway) to see the track bump just a hair south, but the cone is the cone and a northern wobble isn’t off the table. In addition weak side Cat 1 winds can snap trees that aren’t used to that wind - who knows what work the neighborhood termites have been doing? (Reference: Gustav impact in BR).

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so he stays prepared for these type of things.

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K

Unfortunately it appears the EWRC is complete and Milton’s inner structure is starting to strengthen again.