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Started By
Message
1
Posted on 10/8/24 at 5:20 am to Scruffy
quote:
Scruffy
Hope everything works out with the family.
Posted on 10/8/24 at 5:22 am to BRIllini07
quote:
My parents live about half way between the track line and the northern edge of the cone
Are they in the Green Swamp with me?
Posted on 10/8/24 at 5:23 am to RetiredSaintsLsuFan
quote:
Why does it seem like all of these storms come in at night?
Probably because they come in at night for someone, just as they come in during the day for many people too.
Francine was a day storm at landfall but impacted more populated areas into the evening and night, for example.
Posted on 10/8/24 at 5:30 am to lsuman25
quote:
Least we have Recon in there now
Yeah, this first pass has 926.7 mb for the extrapolated pressure.
Posted on 10/8/24 at 5:32 am to Hangit
Looks like we are pretty far from potential surge here. We are east of I75 but closer to the coast than I like. House is brand new and have storm shutters up. Looks like we are going to stay. If things go terrible bad with the forecast today, we can always head south east late tonight to Ft Lauderdale.
We live in a new home with shutters and not a single tree anywhere to be found taller than 15 feet. They built us in a pasture. Didnt rain any yesterday and not looking like we are going to get a lot today. One of my biggest worry was our ponds here flooding us after what we saw with Debby. Debby gave us 15.6" of rain here and it does not look like Milton will give us anything close to that.
Going to watch today and stay alert. Thanks for all the updates in this thread.
We live in a new home with shutters and not a single tree anywhere to be found taller than 15 feet. They built us in a pasture. Didnt rain any yesterday and not looking like we are going to get a lot today. One of my biggest worry was our ponds here flooding us after what we saw with Debby. Debby gave us 15.6" of rain here and it does not look like Milton will give us anything close to that.
Going to watch today and stay alert. Thanks for all the updates in this thread.
Posted on 10/8/24 at 5:32 am to RetiredSaintsLsuFan
quote:
RetiredSaintsLsuFan
quote:
Anyone on here live in that area?
Posted on 10/8/24 at 5:33 am to Tvilletiger
Yeah, helped load up for a little while
There was so much stuff
There was so much stuff
Posted on 10/8/24 at 5:36 am to Hangit
Hangit I don't feel good about this one. Tampa and the beaches around them will be almost gone after this plus with this still being a CAT 1 when it crosses florida and enters the Atlantic side of Florida it will devastate the coastal area on this side. I expect to lose power and downtown St. Augustine will be under water too. 
Posted on 10/8/24 at 5:38 am to LanierSpots
quote:
One of my biggest worry was our ponds here flooding us after what we saw with Debby. Debby gave us 15.6" of rain here and it does not look like Milton will give us anything close to that.
There will probably be localized amounts north of 18”, but that appears to be a decent bit to your north for now. Keep and eye out and good luck.
This post was edited on 10/8/24 at 5:43 am
Posted on 10/8/24 at 5:40 am to FLBooGoTigs1
We are super water logged up here in Jax Beach, it’s been raining for the last month
Posted on 10/8/24 at 5:41 am to LanierSpots
Lanier godspeed my friend. I love that area you are in but it doesn't look good. Stay safe. Glad the wife and I did a trip about a 2 months ago down there.
Posted on 10/8/24 at 5:45 am to LanierSpots
quote:
Looks like we are pretty far from potential surge here
The storm surge can can cause flooding miles inland. It’s going to backfill every canal, creek and tributary. It can even reverse flow a river. You have to remember it’s going to be billions of gallons of water pushing into the costal area.
This post was edited on 10/8/24 at 5:47 am
Posted on 10/8/24 at 5:46 am to Penn
Penn I hope you aren't to close to the beach because looking at that track Milton will be pushing a shite ton of water back into our coast lines there will be wide spread flooding and all that dredging they have done to save the coast line will be lost. A1A road along the coast may be gone after this.
Posted on 10/8/24 at 5:46 am to slackster
quote:
There will probably be localized amounts north of 18”, but that appears to be a decent bit to your north for now. Keep and eye out and good luck.
yea, it looks like the shear is going to clip the rain south east of the eyewall. Just depends on the location at this point. We have a bag and supplies packed in the truck and can be out of there and head to Ft Lauderdale in 5 min if need be. Other than throwing a few chairs in the pool and throwing a few sandbags out today, we are pretty much on lockdown.
Just gonna keep watching and make adjustments.
Posted on 10/8/24 at 5:49 am to Hangit
Funny tidbit: it’s actually “I’m your huckle bearer”
Huckle was a handle on a casket…..
Huckle was a handle on a casket…..
This post was edited on 10/8/24 at 5:50 am
Posted on 10/8/24 at 5:50 am to schwartzy
quote:
Why did it weaken at all? Just can’t stay that way or was it from land proximity to Mexico?
Eyewall replacement cycle
Posted on 10/8/24 at 5:55 am to deltaland
Do we have a decent idea of where this is making landfall now or we anticipating more wobbles?
Posted on 10/8/24 at 5:57 am to lsufan1971
quote:
The storm surge can can cause flooding miles inland. It’s going to backfill every canal, creek and tributary. It can even reverse flow a river.
Absolutely. Not apples to apples because so much of coastal Louisiana is flat marsh, but surges from Rita and Ike caused flooding throughout Lake Charles. This was from the surge pushing into the Lake, then into drainage canals and tributaries than run throughout the city. The city wasn’t inundated, but there was major flooding. As the crow flies, downtown Lake Charles is 30 miles from the GOM.
Posted on 10/8/24 at 5:58 am to LanierSpots
quote:
We live in a new home with shutters
They keep saying it will back down to a 3. Tampa ABC morning weather dude just said if you are way from surge and in a house built since 2004, ride it out. He is confident those new codes will keep it strong If it stays a strong 5, GTFO.
DeCat posted a link to an awesome storm surge map. You can zoom in to your house.b
Storm surge map
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