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re: Hurricane Isaias - Heading Towards the Central Gulf Coast

Posted on 10/7/26 at 10:09 pm to
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
180867 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 10:09 pm to
Is euro still trying to jam this into Houma?
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
76964 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 10:10 pm to
With warnings up now we will get Intermediate Advisories every three hours. Those advisories won't include an updated track, though.
Posted by t00f
Not where you think I am
Member since Jul 2016
102529 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 10:12 pm to
quote:

Can we just call them mini levees with walls in them and move on?



frick no, the Army Corps of Engineers is the reason the canals failed and flooded New Orleans. The Lakefront levees did not fail. I know they deal with both, but the levees did not fail in Nola.

there too many people love to say the "levees" failed

Posted by trussthetruzz
Mississippi
Member since Sep 2020
10129 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 10:19 pm to
quote:

Is euro still trying to jam this into Houma?

Here's the latest operational and ensemble run



Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14766 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 10:25 pm to
Dropsonde just after 10 PM update measured 982 mb. 6 mb drop in less than 3 hours.
Posted by TulaneLSU
Member since Aug 2003
Member since Dec 2007
13746 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 10:26 pm to
Friend,

It is my understanding, which was influenced by a family friend with inside information on the history of our levees, that the Army Corps of Engineers did not want to build the I-wall levees, but were persuaded to do so by the local levee boards who insisted on that style so that homes would not have be removed along the outfall canals. Ultimately, the Army Corps of Engineers made the final decision, but they did so hoping to appease locals by putting the power of decision making in local hands.

I must applaud Mother on her prediction on this storm. Even this weekend she was comparing it Opal and said to me, “This storm is too similar to the ‘95 Opal. I think it will come ashore just west of Navarre and destroy all those beautiful sand dunes that slowly were coming back after Opal.”

Mother and I are headed out tomorrow to the house she built in Baldwin County. Uncle’s condo at Portofino should be fine and I will keep you informed as I am. It is quite a relief it should avoid the city, as I was initially quite concerned for the Berger house and all their skeletons. Talk about deathly projectiles.

Yours,
TulaneLSU
This post was edited on 10/7/26 at 10:32 pm
Posted by FutureMikeVIII
Houston
Member since Sep 2011
1876 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 10:28 pm to
quote:

frick no, the Army Corps of Engineers is the reason the canals failed and flooded New Orleans.


There are levees along the canals, bruh
Posted by LSU=Champions
BAWxtard | Tier 1
Member since Apr 2004
22618 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 10:32 pm to
We have a hurricane.
Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
81752 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 10:33 pm to
quote:

frick no, the Army Corps of Engineers is the reason the canals failed and flooded New Orleans.
Id suggest it was the Cat 5 storm surge despite it dropping to a Cat 3 at landfall.
Posted by LSU=Champions
BAWxtard | Tier 1
Member since Apr 2004
22618 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 10:37 pm to
Posted by FutureMikeVIII
Houston
Member since Sep 2011
1876 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 10:39 pm to
quote:

We have a hurricane.


OysterPB:

Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
52431 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 10:39 pm to
OtsterPoBoy - get your chapstick ready, bitch!
Posted by cubsfan5150
NWA
Member since Nov 2007
19158 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 10:40 pm to
DoW about to have an expensive bill to pay
Posted by TulaneLSU
Member since Aug 2003
Member since Dec 2007
13746 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 10:40 pm to
Friend,

The storm surge on the Southshore of Orleans west of the Industrial Canal and Jefferson Parish ranged from 9-12 feet. The design of the I-wall levees along the outfall canals led to the failure of those levees. Water did not overtop the I-wall levees along the 17th Canal and London Canals. Catastrophic failure of those poorly designed levees is what led to the flooding of much of Orleans Parish west of the Industrial Canal and Old Metairie. Had the engineering, construction and maintenance of those I-wall levees held up to what they were designed to do, none of Orleans west of the Industrial Canal would have flooded.

The well designed levees along the shoreline of Lake Pontchartrain from New Orleans East to Kenner held up fine. The levees along the MRGO in St Bernard and New Orleans East were overtopped. And the I wall levee in the Lower 9th Ward probably would have failed had the barge not knocked it down.

Yours,
TulaneLSU
This post was edited on 10/7/26 at 10:44 pm
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14766 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 10:42 pm to
quote:

000
WTNT64 KNHC 080328
TCUAT4

Hurricane Isaias Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092026
1030 PM CDT Wed Oct 07 2026

...ISAIAS BECOMES A HURRICANE...

Dropsonde data from an Air Force Reserve hurricane hunter aircraft
indicates that Isaias has become a hurricane, with maximum sustained
winds of 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. The minimum central
pressure measured from another dropsonde launched in the eye was
982 mb (29.00 inches).


SUMMARY OF 1030 PM CDT...0330 UTC...INFORMATION
---------------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.9N 91.9W
ABOUT 180 MI...290 KM NW OF PROGRESO MEXICO
ABOUT 460 MI...745 KM SSW OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB...29.00 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Papin/Roberts
Posted by Hateradedrink
Member since May 2023
4391 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 10:45 pm to
00z ICON still has this hitting around gulf breeze at 988 MB.

GFS is running.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
52431 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 10:48 pm to
quote:

000 WTNT64 KNHC 080328 TCUAT4 Hurricane Isaias Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092026 1030 PM CDT Wed Oct 07 2026 …ISAIAS BECOMES A HURRICANE… …

OYSTERPOBOY’S PREVIOUSLY STATED COMMITMENTS NOW IN EFFECT…

Dropsonde data from an Air Force Reserve hurricane hunter aircraft indicates that Isaias has become a hurricane, with maximum sustained winds of 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. The minimum central pressure measured from another dropsonde launched in the eye was 982 mb (29.00 inches).

With Isaias officially reaching hurricane intensity, conditions have now satisfied the previously established criteria for OysterPoBoy’s Tropical Obligations Agreement with the TigerDroppings OT Lounge.

While the National Hurricane Center does not issue advisories regarding individual contractual obligations, forecasters note that OysterPoBoy’s window for claiming this was merely a tropical storm has officially closed.

A significant increase in oral commitments is expected across the OT region, with multiple baws already reporting favorable conditions for landfall. Residents are reminded that all previously issued watches have now been upgraded to warnings, and OysterPoBoy should prepare for prolonged periods of servicing the affected population.

SUMMARY OF 1030 PM CDT…0330 UTC…INFORMATION LOCATION…22.9N 91.9W ABOUT 180 MI…290 KM NW OF PROGRESO MEXICO ABOUT 460 MI…745 KM SSW OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…75 MPH…120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT…ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 9 MPH…15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…982 MB…29.00 INCHES

OYSTERPOBOY OBLIGATION STATUS…NOW IN EFFECT
EXPECTED DURATION…UNTIL ALL OT BAWS ARE SATISFIED
PROBABILITY OF BACKTRACKING…0 PERCENT

$$ Forecaster Papin/Roberts Special Coordination: TigerDroppings OT Lounge
This post was edited on 10/7/26 at 10:52 pm
Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
81752 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 10:52 pm to
Thanks! You are correct.
Posted by Uncommon Idea
Member since Feb 2025
483 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 10:53 pm to
quote:

000 WTNT64 KNHC 080328 TCUAT4 Hurricane Isaias Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092026 1030 PM CDT Wed Oct 07 2026 …ISAIAS BECOMES A HURRICANE… …

OYSTERPOBOY’S PREVIOUSLY STATED COMMITMENTS NOW IN EFFECT…

Dropsonde data from an Air Force Reserve hurricane hunter aircraft indicates that Isaias has become a hurricane, with maximum sustained winds of 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. The minimum central pressure measured from another dropsonde launched in the eye was 982 mb (29.00 inches).

With Isaias officially reaching hurricane intensity, conditions have now satisfied the previously established criteria for OysterPoBoy’s Tropical Obligations Agreement with the TigerDroppings OT Lounge.

While the National Hurricane Center does not issue advisories regarding individual contractual obligations, forecasters note that OysterPoBoy’s window for claiming this was merely a tropical storm has officially closed.

A significant increase in oral commitments is expected across the OT region, with multiple baws already reporting favorable conditions for landfall. Residents are reminded that all previously issued watches have now been upgraded to warnings, and OysterPoBoy should prepare for prolonged periods of servicing the affected population.

SUMMARY OF 1030 PM CDT…0330 UTC…INFORMATION LOCATION…22.9N 91.9W ABOUT 180 MI…290 KM NW OF PROGRESO MEXICO ABOUT 460 MI…745 KM SSW OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…75 MPH…120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT…ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 9 MPH…15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…982 MB…29.00 INCHES

OYSTERPOBOY OBLIGATION STATUS…NOW IN EFFECT
EXPECTED DURATION…UNTIL ALL OT BAWS ARE SATISFIED
PROBABILITY OF BACKTRACKING…0 PERCENT

$$ Forecaster Papin/Roberts Special Coordination: TigerDroppings OT Lounge

I heard he's starting preparing:
Posted by doublecutter
Member since Oct 2003
7265 posts
Posted on 10/7/26 at 10:54 pm to
When is the blowjob going to happen?
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