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re: Hurricane Isaias - Heading Towards the Central Gulf Coast
Posted on 10/7/26 at 10:54 pm to Uncommon Idea
Posted on 10/7/26 at 10:54 pm to Uncommon Idea
quote:
heard he's starting preparing
His preparations should be rushed to completion.
Posted on 10/7/26 at 10:59 pm to TDsngumbo
AiGFS agrees with ICON on general landfall location but thinks it will be weaker at 995 MB.
Traditional GFS has this around GS in the 980s.
At this point, I’m inclined to believe ICON/AIGFS
Traditional GFS has this around GS in the 980s.
At this point, I’m inclined to believe ICON/AIGFS
Posted on 10/7/26 at 11:02 pm to Hateradedrink
More importantly, it shows BR area at 66° at noon on Saturday.
Posted on 10/7/26 at 11:03 pm to Hateradedrink
If I’m not mistaken here, the shear is what is pushing this away from LA and towards the AL/FL coastline correct?
Is the shear coming off of a cold front? I’m asking for learning purposes so forgive my ignorance.
And with that, does that increase the chance or tornadoes on the east side of the storm? I’ve got a close friend down in Midway who has a pregnant wife.
Is the shear coming off of a cold front? I’m asking for learning purposes so forgive my ignorance.
And with that, does that increase the chance or tornadoes on the east side of the storm? I’ve got a close friend down in Midway who has a pregnant wife.
Posted on 10/7/26 at 11:06 pm to t00f
Shut up bitch… the levees failed, period. The Industrial Canal levee failure is the main reason the 9th Ward and St Bernard flooded. They flew in large sandbags non-stop to plug the hole to stop to flooding. Don’t be a retard, some of us was there
Posted on 10/7/26 at 11:08 pm to TDsngumbo
Yep. This is why this site is epic.
Posted on 10/7/26 at 11:08 pm to Bourre
quote:
Shut up bitch… the levees failed, period. The Industrial Canal levee failure is the main reason the 9th Ward and St Bernard flooded. They flew in large sandbags non-stop to plug the hole to stop to flooding. Don’t be a retard, some of us was there
100% brother
Posted on 10/7/26 at 11:09 pm to Bourre
quote:
Shut up bitch… the levees failed, period. The Industrial Canal levee failure is the main reason the 9th Ward and St Bernard flooded. They flew in large sandbags non-stop to plug the hole to stop to flooding. Don’t be a retard, some of us was there
Can we not, guys? Seriously, its fkn annoying having to sift through some kind of dumb multi page squabble when im trying to keep up with a hurricane.
Posted on 10/7/26 at 11:10 pm to trussthetruzz
It's actually kinda amazing how little the AI models have moved in over a week. They were nearly a week ahead of the respected hurricane models. They pretty much stayed on an eastward track with the variation basically being moved a little more west. Considering the margin of error over a week ago that's kinda crazy.
This post was edited on 10/7/26 at 11:11 pm
Posted on 10/7/26 at 11:10 pm to Funky Tide 8
quote:
Can we not, guys? Seriously, its fkn annoying having to sift through some kind of dumb multi page squabble when im trying to keep up with a hurricane.
If you think it’s hard to find information about the hurricane in here, just wait til you see how hard it’s gonna be to find OPB ping forward.
Posted on 10/7/26 at 11:11 pm to doublecutter
quote:
When is the blowjob going to happen?
Front Day.
Posted on 10/7/26 at 11:12 pm to Funky Tide 8
quote:
Can we not, guys? Seriously, its fkn annoying having to sift through some kind of dumb multi page squabble when im trying to keep up with a hurricane.
Sorry. I got sick of that poster trying to rewrite history. I said what I said, I feel better now
Posted on 10/7/26 at 11:14 pm to OysterPoBoy
You're going to enjoy it aren't you?


Posted on 10/7/26 at 11:15 pm to Funky Tide 8
quote:
Can we not, guys? Seriously, its fkn annoying having to sift through some kind of dumb multi page squabble when im trying to keep up with a hurricane.
I’ve totally ditched Storm2k on this storm.
OysterPoBoy just instantly vaporized 22 years of loyalty to that site.
TigerDroppings is clearly the #1 hurricane site.
Posted on 10/7/26 at 11:17 pm to MasterAbe1
I asked a similar question on this yesterday. It seemed like it might be a tornado problem. Duke mentioned something about this earlier in the thread potentially spawning tornadoes.
Posted on 10/7/26 at 11:19 pm to OysterPoBoy
quote:
I’ll suck your dick if we get a hurricane this week.
Offering that for a potential Cat 1 is crazy.
You offerin him anal if it gets to Cat 3?
Posted on 10/7/26 at 11:21 pm to friendlyobservation
That would make a lot of sense. My buddy has a treeline behind his house, I’m more worried about tornado risk for him than the actual hurricane if the shear plays out
Posted on 10/7/26 at 11:23 pm to Jake88
The Lakefront Levees (They Mostly Held)
The massive earthen levees that run right along the shoreline of Lake Pontchartrain did not fail. Aside from some overtopping and minor erosion near Lakefront Airport on the eastern edge, the main lakefront wall successfully blocked the 10-to-14-foot storm surge from washing directly over the beach and into the lakefront neighborhoods. Neighborhoods right against the lake, like Lake Terrace, experienced very little direct flooding from the lakefront itself.
The Side-Door Canal Failures (Where the Water Entered)
Even though the lakefront didn't buckle, it acted as a massive reservoir. The storm surge raised the lake's water level drastically, which forced a catastrophic volume of water backward into the city's open outfall drainage canals.
Because there were no floodgates at the mouths of the canals in 2005, the lake's immense pressure pushed directly into the heart of the city, causing the infamous structural breaches:
• 17th Street Canal: Breached from the inside, drowning the Lakeview neighborhood and parts of Jefferson Parish.
• London Avenue Canal: Breached in two spots, flooding the Gentilly neighborhood.
• Industrial Canal: Overtopped and breached further east, devastating the Lower Ninth Ward.
Ultimately, the lakefront held the line, but the open canals acted like open doorways that allowed Lake Pontchartrain to pour straight into the city's low-lying bowl.
Would you like to see where the new post-Katrina permanent canal floodgates and pump stations were built to finally block Lake Pontchartrain's storm surges from entering these canals?
•
NOLA Ready (.gov)
Storm Surge & Coastal Flooding
10 to 14 feet. Several of the levees and floodwalls were overtopped. Most of the floodwall and levee breaches were due to erosion ...
•
PBS
NOVA | Storm That Drowned a City | How New Orleans Flooded (non-Flash) | PBS
Surges overtopped levees near Lakefront Airport, while catastrophic breaches occurred on the London Avenue Canal (9:30, 10:30 a.m.
•
Wikipedia
Lake Pontchartrain - Wikipedia
During hurricanes, a storm surge driven into the lake can overwhelm the levees protecting New Orleans, levee and floodwall failure...
Show all
The massive earthen levees that run right along the shoreline of Lake Pontchartrain did not fail. Aside from some overtopping and minor erosion near Lakefront Airport on the eastern edge, the main lakefront wall successfully blocked the 10-to-14-foot storm surge from washing directly over the beach and into the lakefront neighborhoods. Neighborhoods right against the lake, like Lake Terrace, experienced very little direct flooding from the lakefront itself.
The Side-Door Canal Failures (Where the Water Entered)
Even though the lakefront didn't buckle, it acted as a massive reservoir. The storm surge raised the lake's water level drastically, which forced a catastrophic volume of water backward into the city's open outfall drainage canals.
Because there were no floodgates at the mouths of the canals in 2005, the lake's immense pressure pushed directly into the heart of the city, causing the infamous structural breaches:
• 17th Street Canal: Breached from the inside, drowning the Lakeview neighborhood and parts of Jefferson Parish.
• London Avenue Canal: Breached in two spots, flooding the Gentilly neighborhood.
• Industrial Canal: Overtopped and breached further east, devastating the Lower Ninth Ward.
Ultimately, the lakefront held the line, but the open canals acted like open doorways that allowed Lake Pontchartrain to pour straight into the city's low-lying bowl.
Would you like to see where the new post-Katrina permanent canal floodgates and pump stations were built to finally block Lake Pontchartrain's storm surges from entering these canals?
•
NOLA Ready (.gov)
Storm Surge & Coastal Flooding
10 to 14 feet. Several of the levees and floodwalls were overtopped. Most of the floodwall and levee breaches were due to erosion ...
•
PBS
NOVA | Storm That Drowned a City | How New Orleans Flooded (non-Flash) | PBS
Surges overtopped levees near Lakefront Airport, while catastrophic breaches occurred on the London Avenue Canal (9:30, 10:30 a.m.
•
Wikipedia
Lake Pontchartrain - Wikipedia
During hurricanes, a storm surge driven into the lake can overwhelm the levees protecting New Orleans, levee and floodwall failure...
Show all
Posted on 10/7/26 at 11:25 pm to friendlyobservation
quote:
It seemed like it might be a tornado problem. Duke mentioned something about this earlier in the thread potentially spawning tornadoes.
Imagine it this way. You have a storm that's spinning counterclockwise like a spinning top. However, when it gets closer to the coast that spinning top os running into a treadmill thats going real fast in a perpendicular-ish fashion (oysterpoboy dont get excited).
Basically the spinning top gets split. The momentum (i.e. clouds rain wind) get rushed off in the direction of the treadmill...but in the process things start getting super spinny because of the mixing of two things with momentum and force (in non equal forces)
This post was edited on 10/7/26 at 11:28 pm

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