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Posted on 10/7/26 at 11:34 am to friendlyobservation
quote:
Is a hurricane that strong even possible?
sure, but in the central/western pacific it's alittle bit more common
Posted on 10/7/26 at 11:35 am to Funky Tide 8
quote:
Tree's aren't a concern.
I live about a mile inland from the bay and bayou texar, but my house is in a neighborhood on a "hill," about 16-17 feet above sea level.
You'll be fine then. Just be prepared to be without power and water for a week. Make sure all your vehicles and/or generators are gassed up. Have some portable batteries charged up and ready to go to charge needed devices.
Posted on 10/7/26 at 11:37 am to TDsngumbo
quote:
I'm sure you'd be fine unless this thing bombs the frick out and weakens just before landfall, before the surge has a chance to fall (similar to what happened with Katrina).
Have you checked your local storm surge maps? What neighborhood are you in? I'll see what I can find
Thanks a lot man.
Posted on 10/7/26 at 11:37 am to NussBusDriver
if there is a upside to october hurricanes, at least it isn't 97 outside and no power
Posted on 10/7/26 at 11:40 am to Funky Tide 8
quote:
Thanks a lot man.
I know exactly where you are...you should be fine if you're prepared. If that area floods, Pcola is underwater
Posted on 10/7/26 at 11:40 am to loogaroo
I just don’t see a Cat 2 in this hostile environment
No way this system closes off the eye to strengthen to a 2 in that much shear.
Posted on 10/7/26 at 11:41 am to Dire Wolf
Guess we are going to see what the European does here shortly... Does it shift in line with the others or does it hold strong over New Orleans 
Maybe the Koreans and Europeans are in collusion
Maybe the Koreans and Europeans are in collusion
Posted on 10/7/26 at 11:41 am to Dire Wolf
Does the Euro model still have Nola as ground zero? Asking for a friend.
Posted on 10/7/26 at 11:41 am to Dire Wolf
quote:
if there is a upside to october hurricanes, at least it isn't 97 outside and no power
I was helping out after Hurricane Sandy in NY/NJ and there was snow on the ground, That was a first for me,
Posted on 10/7/26 at 11:42 am to Sal Minio
quote:
Does the Euro model still have Nola as ground zero? Asking for a friend.
"IT WAS ALWAYS IN THE CONE!!!"
Posted on 10/7/26 at 11:43 am to Chad504boy
freaking hotels in northern AL already went insane.
Posted on 10/7/26 at 11:44 am to Sal Minio
quote:
Does the Euro model still have Nola as ground zero? Asking for a friend.
As of the 06Z... waiting on the 12Z update, which was my post just a few up.
Posted on 10/7/26 at 11:44 am to friendlyobservation
quote:
Is a hurricane that strong even possible?
Yes but it takes perfect upper level conditions. Not just minimal shear but an anticylcone placed to ventilate.
Isaias might get a little jet enhancement but this is certainly not benign upper air conditions its gonna plow into.
Posted on 10/7/26 at 11:44 am to Dire Wolf
quote:
if there is a upside to october hurricanes, at least it isn't 97 outside and no power
After (I think) Zeta in New Orleans a few years ago it was downright cold/cool after the storm. We were out of power for about 3 days but had gas and hot water.
It was a genuinely great 3 days. Windows were open. Neighbors were a grilling through their freezers. My kids were young enough that bedtime was right around sunset and I’m not sure they even knew we didn’t have power.
Felt like our street was just a big camp ground for a few days.
That story notwithstanding if I think we won’t have power for any period of time we leave. Being without power sucks.
Posted on 10/7/26 at 11:45 am to Duke
quote:
Isaias might get a little jet enhancement but this is certainly not benign upper air conditions its gonna plow into.
I have no clue what this means
Not sure if I should celebrate or pound the table BK style
Posted on 10/7/26 at 11:46 am to Funky Tide 8
You're good from a surge standpoint. This is set for a category 3 hurricane and it appears the surge won't even touch you.
Posted on 10/7/26 at 11:46 am to deltaland
quote:
I just don’t see a Cat 2 in this hostile environment No way this system closes off the eye to strengthen to a 2 in that much shear.
I sure as frick am rooting for you dog
Posted on 10/7/26 at 11:46 am to ned nederlander
quote:
After (I think) Zeta in New Orleans a few years ago it was downright cold/cool after the storm.
Well yeah. That's because Zeta hit on October 28. The weather is supposed to be nice then.
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