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re: Hurricane Isaias - Approaching Landfall in the FL Panhandle
Posted on 10/8/26 at 2:11 pm to LSU=Champions
Posted on 10/8/26 at 2:11 pm to LSU=Champions
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Kinda some mixed signals from Isaias this afternoon. The infrared satellite is not that healthy (could be somewhat due to the diurnal swing in convection). And the pressure has remained pretty steady on the last few recon passes.
On the other hand, the Tail Doppler Radar (TDR) from @NOAA_HurrHunter shows the wind field becoming stronger and more symmetric, with winds over 100 knots around 500 meters above the surface. Visible satellite seems to show convection starting to re-fire, so we'll see if the pressure start falling again.
Overall, the storm seems to mostly be on track to follow the NHC forecast, and today is the time to finalize prep along the Northern Gulf Coast.
Posted on 10/8/26 at 2:12 pm to alduckhunter
Caricacture in my mind.
"Jerry Beth you're live...."
"PAWL....I cant believe you think the GREATEST GAME OF ALL TIME should be MOVED OR RESHEDULED!!!!!"
"Jerry Beth, I never said any such thing".
"Oh yeah you did PAWL, during that LSU/FLORIDA GAME!!!!".
"Well, ahem, cough, cough, Who's next caller"?
Honestly I can't remember what he said and I definately don't care. He makes money doing this.
Posted on 10/8/26 at 2:23 pm to Tigerdew
quote:
someone along the coast is about to take one on the chin so chill out.
The fearmongering with this one is a bit extreme. LA to the Panhandle is on edge. I drove to our house in Miramar Beach yesterday afternoon to pick up some outdoor furniture and you would think a Cat 5 is coming. I get back to our home in LA this morning and find my neighbor picked up all his Halloween decorations and furniture. If we feel any affects from this storm here in LA, it will be minimal.
Posted on 10/8/26 at 2:25 pm to sicboy
You cited an activist website?
Posted on 10/8/26 at 2:25 pm to SippyCup
quote:
The fearmongering with this one is a bit extreme.
Idk if its been anymore different than other ones, news people will do what they do. Its annoying but whatever.
However, I wouod be worried more about tornados with this one more than anything. Especially if your area winds up in the trailing tail/feeder bands.
Posted on 10/8/26 at 2:28 pm to LegendInMyMind
Pretty good agreement between Mobile and Pensacola for 12z models.
That’s still about 50 miles so the exact areas of the worst conditions are not clear yet.
That’s still about 50 miles so the exact areas of the worst conditions are not clear yet.
This post was edited on 10/8/26 at 2:29 pm
Posted on 10/8/26 at 2:33 pm to NorthEndZone
And there goes an 84kt and 87kt 10s wind speed recordings in the SE eyewall, albeit over 3,000m in the sky.
That’s the highest flight level obs recorded this entire flight, with the 87kt exceeding any flight level recording from last recon mission.
ETA: After those 2, 3 more readings of 87, 86, and 84 were logged in SE eyewall at flight level. Highest winds found in storm yet. Just ahead of the 4pm forecast advisory. Convenient!
That’s the highest flight level obs recorded this entire flight, with the 87kt exceeding any flight level recording from last recon mission.
ETA: After those 2, 3 more readings of 87, 86, and 84 were logged in SE eyewall at flight level. Highest winds found in storm yet. Just ahead of the 4pm forecast advisory. Convenient!
This post was edited on 10/8/26 at 2:37 pm
Posted on 10/8/26 at 2:34 pm to NorthEndZone
Anybody have new storm surge totals...surge is already coming in east of Panama City in Port St. Joe.
My friend just this to me off Hwy 98
My friend just this to me off Hwy 98
Posted on 10/8/26 at 2:40 pm to OysterPoBoy
quote:
You guys are ruining a serious hurricane thread.
Isn't that one of the squares for hurricane bingo along with crawfish prices and a blue shed?
Posted on 10/8/26 at 2:48 pm to LaBR4
That shark has been swimming in the street for years and years. Must be tired.
Posted on 10/8/26 at 2:50 pm to NorthEndZone
so, can anyone give me peace of mind, now, about that 7am flight from NOLA to Ft. Lauderdale? like, should i be worried about a cancellation, at this point?
Posted on 10/8/26 at 2:53 pm to chRxis
quote:
so, can anyone give me peace of mind, now, about that 7am flight from NOLA to Ft. Lauderdale? like, should i be worried about a cancellation, at this point?
Plenty reasons your flight can cancel. This storm isn't one of them.
Posted on 10/8/26 at 2:54 pm to chRxis
This is going to be a weird one for my family.
Live north of Diberville in Harrison county.
Early this week planned to be at my parents, but yesterday's shift in models made me wait until tonight to make the decision.
Cruising the coast is still going on this weekend around the coast minus outdoor concerts and a drag race.
Wlox/wxxv has a shite weather team for storms and they just keep showing their stupid in house NAM like model which has it being on the far left of the cone
Live north of Diberville in Harrison county.
Early this week planned to be at my parents, but yesterday's shift in models made me wait until tonight to make the decision.
Cruising the coast is still going on this weekend around the coast minus outdoor concerts and a drag race.
Wlox/wxxv has a shite weather team for storms and they just keep showing their stupid in house NAM like model which has it being on the far left of the cone
Posted on 10/8/26 at 2:54 pm to chRxis
quote:
so, can anyone give me peace of mind, now, about that 7am flight from NOLA to Ft. Lauderdale
MSY should be fine but your plane could be coming from somewhere not-fine
Posted on 10/8/26 at 2:55 pm to Tiger985
I live in Gulf Shores proper.
Shutters are down and furniture is inside.
Have a 7 yr old and an 8 month old.
Rolling out to BR tomorrow.
Shutters are down and furniture is inside.
Have a 7 yr old and an 8 month old.
Rolling out to BR tomorrow.
Posted on 10/8/26 at 3:00 pm to BamaCoaster
quote:
Have a 7 yr old and an 8 month old.
Rolling out to BR tomorrow
Y'all would be safer in GS
Posted on 10/8/26 at 3:01 pm to chRxis
quote:
so, can anyone give me peace of mind, now, about that 7am flight from NOLA to Ft. Lauderdale?
You are turning into that Punta Cana poster with this fort lauderdale thing
Posted on 10/8/26 at 3:07 pm to Master Guilbeau
81kt just found at surface in SE eyewall via dropsonde. That converts to 93mph. Will be enough to increase winds in next advisory. Only question is by how much.
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