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Started By
Message
re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:04 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:04 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
quote:
I believe it was Hurricane Camille, which had a pressure of 900mb at landfall.
Correction - Based upon wind speed, it was the "Labor Day" Hurricane of 1935.
1
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:05 pm to theunknownknight
Doesnt that prove weve known since Sunday it was going to hit Florida?
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:05 pm to Thib-a-doe Tiger
quote:
889 landfall
See... This is where I am very skeptical
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:06 pm to dkreller
quote:
I think what mostly worries people is the shear size of Irma....making us think that she may not be affected by other fronts and such like the forecasts suggest
You have to realize a hurricane is a part of the fluid that is the atmosphere. It's not an independent feature, it moves with the part of the fluid it's in. She goes with the flow, so the flow is what matters for where they end up.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:06 pm to LSUGrrrl
quote:
See... This is where I am very skeptical
She will be crossing the Gulf Stream. Everything is still on the table.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:06 pm to theunknownknight
quote:
I'm just going to leave this here for all the taint stains saying the track has been consistent
I think part of this is wishful thinking. Let's be honest, no one wants this [outside of Floridians] to continue West into the Gulf.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:07 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
quote:
If Irma can just continue to skirt Cuba and not move over it very much, she should not lose too much strength. Even so, she will go over very warm waters once she makes the northward turn, and she will likely just continue to become a monster.
You really sound like you're cheering for this thing, I want the opposite of all this
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:07 pm to Mr. Misanthrope
quote:
I think TNHC keeps their official forecasts and graphics archived so my memory can (and should) be checked.
This conversation has been hashed and rehashed many times in this thread. Suffice to say that Buras and the eastern parts of LA were always in that uncertainty cone.
Golfer (the poster) pointed out that many people were surprised by her intensity when they woke up after she blew up, but they mistakenly remember it as the track.
The truth is that what was supposed to be a weaker hurricane, but a hurricane nonetheless, going into the panhandle turned into a monster headed to New Orleans. It was always a possibility, a possibility the NHC explicitly suggested with the cone, but one that people simply didn't take seriously until it was very serious.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:08 pm to theunknownknight
quote:
It proves the "turn North this Saturday was always the forecast" is a crock of shite.
I guess I'm seeing something else.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:08 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
Admins doin work
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:08 pm to LSUGrrrl
quote:
See... This is where I am very skeptical
I always thought a general rule was that they lost some oomph just before landfall, but maybe that's for LA storms. Coastal waters in Florida may not provide for that weakening
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:09 pm to 50_Tiger
quote:
She will be crossing the Gulf Stream. Everything is still on the table.
I agree. It's my own pessimism that makes it hard for me to believe.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:09 pm to LaBR4
quote:
The Weather Channel is showing and talking about how Miami Dade is not even in the cone anymore.
The cone is kind of useless beyond about 12 hours.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:09 pm to slackster
People in this thread seem sad this isnt headed for LA
This post was edited on 9/8/17 at 11:36 pm
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:09 pm to slackster
quote:
Perhaps this may ease your concern. This is the noon Euro model ensembles, the best global model in the world for this type of thing.
Get this science outta here, this is the gut-casting thread.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:10 pm to theunknownknight
quote:
It proves the "turn North this Saturday was always the forecast" is a crock of shite.
As of now, it's hard to argue with your sentiment.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:10 pm to Tiger Khan
quote:
I think part of this is wishful thinking. Let's be honest, no one wants this [outside of Floridians] to continue West into the Gulf.
I don't follow. I think it's going to hit Florida.
I'm just posting actual evidence of the changes in the path so some of these posters would stop worshipping the NHC cone. That's worse than wish casting IMO and it's part of the reason 200 people were killed in Gulf Shores in 2005. And before anyone gives me shite about that I know that first hand.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:10 pm to LSUGrrrl
Okay I am not losing my mind. The satellite TWC is showing is definitely showing Irma pulling NW in the last few frame.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:11 pm to theunknownknight
quote:
I'm just posting actual evidence of the changes in the path so some of these posters would stop worshipping the NHC cone.
check the dates on your little gif, dumbass, the cone follows those tracks
my lord
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:11 pm to theunknownknight
quote:
ETA: It's a GIF overtime
That basically show that all of those models stay basically within the original cone. The solid lines are not to be used exactly, but moreso as a median.
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