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re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down

Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:12 pm to
Posted by Flanders
Member since May 2008
9950 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:12 pm to
This thread has turned to shite this evening. I can't keep up with the dumbassery. Go away for five minutes and I'm ten pages behind with nothing but bickering.
Posted by GhostofJackson
Speedy Teflon Wizard
Member since Nov 2009
7230 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:12 pm to
Where did you post the NHC?
Posted by Tiger in NY
Neptune Beach, FL
Member since Sep 2003
31584 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:12 pm to
quote:

I think what mostly worries people is the shear size of Irma....making us think that she may not be affected by other fronts and such like the forecasts suggest


And it has been explained many times by people educated on the subject in this thread that this isn't how it works.
Posted by ForeverLSU02
Albany
Member since Jun 2007
52561 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:12 pm to
quote:

Whats the landfall record for strength?
1935 Labor Day storm I believe
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41887 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:12 pm to
quote:

That basically show that all of those models stay basically within the original cone. The solid lines are not to be used exactly, but moreso as a median.


no kidding

this might be the most unknownknight thing of all time

cant even interpret his own "gotcha" gif
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53874 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:13 pm to
Posted by RazorBroncs
Possesses the largest
Member since Sep 2013
16163 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:13 pm to
quote:

BeeFense5


Why even join this thread if all you're gonna do is piss and moan about the legitimate info being discussed? Seems like there would be much healthier, low-stress things you could be doing with your oh so valuable time? Those of us with skin in this game would kindly ask you and the other idiots flaming this thread to shut the hell up and head elsewhere if you just hate it sooooo much.

This is my last post on the topic - slack, Duke, Pedro, rds, and the like, keep up the quality work. It's nice to have all the pertinent info, models, and discussion in one spot of the web.
Posted by mightynine
Member since May 2006
1278 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:13 pm to
The "GIF overtime" seems to line up pretty well with the same thing from the NHC.

LINK

But what the hell do I know?
Posted by LSUGrrrl
Frisco, TX
Member since Jul 2007
46341 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:13 pm to
I can't really think of a "good" outcome right now.
Posted by Tiger Khan
Member since Oct 2009
2512 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:13 pm to
quote:

I think it's going to hit Florida.


Well, you're making a good point about the inconsistency of the modeling. I think in general people want to believe the forecasting [as is] because it means this piece of sh!t won't be hitting them. The uncertainty can be paralyzing -- these forecasts provide "security".
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41887 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:14 pm to
quote:

The "GIF overtime" seems to line up pretty well with the same thing from the NHC.


it does

unknownknight just rekt himself

lord have mercy
Posted by GhostofJackson
Speedy Teflon Wizard
Member since Nov 2009
7230 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:14 pm to
I need to watch that station for "science" purposes.
Posted by Paul Allen
Montauk, NY
Member since Nov 2007
78304 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:14 pm to
Tampa/St Pete could see significant storm surge?
Posted by LSUGrrrl
Frisco, TX
Member since Jul 2007
46341 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:14 pm to
Wow. She's beautiful. But they forgot to dust the powder off her lower face before they went live.
Posted by Mr. Hangover
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2003
34925 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:15 pm to
quote:

People is this thread seem sad this isnt headed for LA


They want the pumps to fail and mitch to get fired
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43447 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:15 pm to
quote:

I can't really think of a "good" outcome right now.


Im a tad concerned for a few of our posters who are going to ride this out at ground zero..

Surviving the initial hit is one thing. Dealing with the loss of human services for a good week (possibly) is another issue all together.
Posted by JetFuelTyga
Born in desert,raised in lion's den
Member since Feb 2016
1799 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:15 pm to
When is this bitch turning north? And why? Starting to get anxious in Nola again
Posted by theunknownknight
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
60899 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:16 pm to
quote:

Lit does

unknownknight just rekt himself

lord have mercy


You don't even realize he's agreeing with me and disagreeing with you.
Posted by GeauxTigers2525
Member since May 2017
102 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:16 pm to
quote:

I appreciate the response. I wasn't sure I was going to get a serious one.

I think what mostly worries people is the shear size of Irma....making us think that she may not be affected by other fronts and such like the forecasts suggest.


not only the size, people worry just when its something that could end up in the gulf combined with what happened with katrina, the major floods last year, harvey this year, its natural to be nervous, hell as someone that lives and breathes this stuff i'm even nervous. but, these models are pretty good with these stronger systems so i doubt anything crazy happens and even if it does which i highly doubt people would still have time to prep wherever it would wind up.
Posted by mightynine
Member since May 2006
1278 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 11:16 pm to
New GFS makes it look like Irma has a hot foot.

quote:

You don't even realize he's agreeing with me and disagreeing with you.


You don't realize how wrong you are.
This post was edited on 9/8/17 at 11:18 pm
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