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re: 10 yr yield going to 5% - JimMorrison
[quote]I get it - you want to impress everyone with some bit of technical nonsense so you post "predictions" and only crow about the ones that hit. There are a lot of guppies on this board - I'm not one of them.[/quote] ah, there it is. :lol: I was wondering why you've taken such issue with th...
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re: 10 yr yield going to 5% - JimMorrison
10 yr yield is also down since I predicted up. OMG!! I see you are an ETF investor and get in your feelings when you read bearish predictions. I see it all the time. active trading is what I do and the goal is to capitalize on price movements within a period of time. I know you can't fathom t...
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re: 10 yr yield going to 5% - JimMorrison
alright, good chat. it's clear you are ignoring the tape. ...
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re: 10 yr yield going to 5% - JimMorrison
[quote]Congrats on the cherry-picked self-congrats![/quote] what? you lol at those comments made in September as some sort of boom? 1. copper was bearish going into October and still is on longer timeframes. want to laugh? copper will make a huge move down in 2024 of roughly 20% from curre...
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re: 10 yr yield going to 5% - JimMorrison
economy and labor market are strong yields going higher [img]https://media.tenor.com/7AOgBuINBFMAAAAM/back.gif[/img]...
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re: 10 yr yield going to 5% - JimMorrison
so revisiting this thread, 10 yr reached 5% and bonds immediately began a strong rally as expected. :cheers: to all who profited off that move. now, the new year is gearing up to reverse that rally and today's jobs report looks to be the catalyst. yesterday's ADP report already showed hiring st...
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re: “Rates will come down, just re-fi then.” Why do people keep saying this in today’s world? - JimMorrison
GDP just grew at the fastest pace in two years. good luck to the "rates coming down" crowd....
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re: “Rates will come down, just re-fi then.” Why do people keep saying this in today’s world? - JimMorrison
[quote]So tell me why do the rates have to “go down?”[/quote] they don't, but conventional thinking is when the economy gets into trouble, the Fed will immediately bail it out. since the GFC, the entire gov and investing population has gotten high off low rates and they're addicted. these politic...
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re: Maybe Tesla is a car company after all - JimMorrison
[quote]Plus if margins continue at these levels a 45 p/e could eventually cut the current share price by more than half from here and I wouldn't be shocked if in the not too distant future it threatened the $101.52 week low.[/quote] I called TSLA's runup this year a dead cat bounce. I fully expec...
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re: Starfield - Talk with spoilers thread - JimMorrison
gotcha. I didn't finish the Ryujin quest...I'm going to do it in a later NG+. for those that have gone NG+, did you side with the Emissary, Hunter or tell them both to frick off? I went with the Hunter because frick the Emissary gatekeeping and I'm pretty much the Hunter anyway--it should be a free...
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re: Starfield - Talk with spoilers thread - JimMorrison
to help with stealth, get your inventory weight as low as possible. store your spacesuit on your ship. I just finished the main story last night and went NG+. I'm going to speed run to NG+10, then have that as my final universe to complete everything I skipped and really get into outpost buildin...
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re: Housing prices and Interest rates - JimMorrison
[quote]Go ahead and buy what you can afford now and hope that you can refinance in a couple of years if rates come down.[/quote] a lot of people have this thought and probably are stretching their budget with that hope. they are going to be SOL when rates don't meaningfully come down and they...
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re: Housing prices and Interest rates - JimMorrison
[quote]One thing that’s not debatable - median home affordability has been crushed, so something will give… eventually.[/quote] yes, something will give, no doubt. prices are already in process of coming down due to softening demand. the inventory is going to increase as houses sit longer on ...
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re: US homeowners hit the jackpot. Median homes up 53% from Jan 2020 to Aug 2023 - JimMorrison
[quote]Apprecation is on pace for another 7% increase this year[/quote] I've explained how the prices are buoyed right now and you can forecast demand to continue to weaken. what is your point? [quote]And for how long will it stay at 10% Anyone who thinks that would be a long time is also an ...
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re: US homeowners hit the jackpot. Median homes up 53% from Jan 2020 to Aug 2023 - JimMorrison
[quote]Rates will be high for 30yrs? How high?[/quote] no one can answer that. the point is we're not returning to 2-3% like so many people believe. that belief has buoyed home prices for now, but when reality sets in and the market continues to lose hope of lower rates, prices will correct. ...
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re: US homeowners hit the jackpot. Median homes up 53% from Jan 2020 to Aug 2023 - JimMorrison
that response is perfect and encapsulates the average person's thinking. "home prices going down after surging these past few years is impossible!!!" :lol: don't take it from me. take it from an expert on interest rates where he speaks on the long term cycle. [link=(https://youtu.be/RzedV0pON...
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re: US homeowners hit the jackpot. Median homes up 53% from Jan 2020 to Aug 2023 - JimMorrison
[quote][quote]And there will be a very sharp correction[/quote] Or not.[/quote] in the past 1 1/2 years of the Fed's hiking cycle, there has been a guise being sold to the average person that rates will be lower in the future. meaning that 1) sellers think they can keep prices high as if we're s...
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re: Will the S&P finish the year - JimMorrison
[quote]It all depends on when the recession kicks in[/quote] I'm not convinced a recession even matters at this point. that is kind of what the market wants and has expected to get back to lower rates. I think a fundamental shift is underway to understanding the economy resilience and we are ...
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re: 10 yr yield going to 5% - JimMorrison
[quote]There’s a bunch of bad shite coming coming down the road. [/quote] the bond market is working to find a breaking point and they will find it. it's kind of poetic if S&P ends this year around 4050, which is basically flat from Nov. '22. great trading opportunities here with increasing v...
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re: My biggest Starfield gripe so far - JimMorrison
[quote]You can't be enough of a bastard. [/quote] yeah, I'll throw in the companions being too good from the other thread. the future DLC could fix this and have new companions with a little more edge. Adoring fan is the only one who won't hate you for doing anything bad, but he can be so annoyin...
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