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re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down

Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:16 pm to
Posted by ihometiger
Member since Dec 2013
12475 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:16 pm to
Brad Nitz?Verified account
@BradNitzWSB
Brad Nitz Retweeted Brian Brettschneider
By 11pm EDT Irma will have been a Category 5 hurricane for 72 consecutive hours (and counting)! This crushes the previous record.
9:42 PM - 7 Sep 2017

Yes it should shatter the 78 hrs.
Posted by TheFonz
Somewhere in Louisiana
Member since Jul 2016
23237 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:16 pm to
WTF just happened to the track? lol This bitch better not pull a Katrina.
Posted by Golfer
Member since Nov 2005
75052 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:16 pm to
I don't like the 11pm forecast...getting too close to the GOM
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131447 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:17 pm to
quote:

Gut feeling


Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:17 pm to
quote:

Sorry. I was parroting the Savannah local news. They've started talking about where everyone is evacuating to.




I'd recommend following your local NWS branch. Much less hype and more relevant.
Posted by RummelTiger
Official TD Sauces Club Member
Member since Aug 2004
93585 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:17 pm to
quote:

Do you have something to say ?


Pretty sure I said it.

I mean, yes...Westward movement is continuing...as expected...for the next couple days.

quote:

You've been busy tonight


I KNOW! Crazy...
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177206 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:19 pm to
quote:

Brad Nitz?Verified account
@BradNitzWSB
Brad Nitz Retweeted Brian Brettschneider
By 11pm EDT Irma will have been a Category 5 hurricane for 72 consecutive hours (and counting)! This crushes the previous record.
9:42 PM - 7 Sep 2017

This is fake news. It's been 63 hours as of 11 pm
Posted by JuiceTerry
Roond the Scheme
Member since Apr 2013
40868 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:19 pm to
Your robots and series of tubes can only do so much. Gut feelings are much more dependable.
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51685 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:19 pm to
I'm sure this has been mentioned in the thread already, but I haven't had much time to look at this thread tonight. Anyway, NHC is sending some of its forecasters to the National Weather Service's Weather Prediction Center in Maryland in case NHC loses comms during landfall (NHC is in Miami). That way WPC can take over for NHC and they will have hurricane forecasters there. The NHC building itself is built to withstand a Category 5 hurricane, so the people in it should be fine, it's just the loss of communications that is of major concern.

Don't see that often.
This post was edited on 9/7/17 at 11:11 pm
Posted by ihometiger
Member since Dec 2013
12475 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:21 pm to
quote:

WTF just happened to the track? lol This bitch better not pull a Katrina.


Its following the Euro track to a science which predicted this same tract on 9/4
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:23 pm to
Posted by Rhino5
Atlanta
Member since Nov 2014
30959 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:23 pm to
quote:


I mean, yes...Westward movement is continuing...as expected...for the next couple days.


But it wasn't expected. We're all awaiting the turn north. Two days ago the models had it turning north and barely hitting Miami. Now it's nearing the gulf. I can tell you just showed up today
Posted by The Dudes Rug
Member since Nov 2004
14067 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:24 pm to
quote:

WTF just happened to the track? lol This bitch better not pull a Katrina.


Watch out saying this. I said I hope it doesn't continue on its route and go into the gulf the other day and people started crying and RA'ing me.
Posted by TheriotAF
Member since Mar 2013
697 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:24 pm to
Weird how the movement after the turn north has shifted from a slight NNE movement to now a slight NNW movement.

I wonder if on the next Euro run it doesn't take as hard of a turn and rounds it out a bit.
Posted by Muice
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2013
1268 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:24 pm to
quote:

I can tell you just showed up today


Wut?
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
66950 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:25 pm to
I wonder if the individual Hurricane Center guys, if given the choice, would rather get to stay in Miami or go to Maryland.
You'd figure they have studied hurricanes their whole lives, will finally get to see one in person, or would they want to play it safe and GTFO.
Posted by Dick Jacket
Member since Nov 2016
1587 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:25 pm to
So about the shortwave interaction that is expected to pull it west as it comes up Florida:

1. How volatile are shortwaves? Can it just completely crap out and hurricane blow past it on trajectory not expected by models?

2. Are the models estimating the shortwave to be of a certain strength which has not yet been attained and if so, how good are the models at predicting the strengths of these steering features?
Posted by Large Farva
New Orleans
Member since Jan 2013
8725 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:25 pm to
Just a hypothetical question if this count reaches the GOM. How warm is the water in the GOM after Harvey? This question takes the Rosa Parks of backseat of questions when jt comes to Irma. If you choose not to answer then sobeit.
Posted by TH03
Mogadishu
Member since Dec 2008
172004 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:25 pm to
It's always been projected to turn north around Saturday night


Just because it hasn't turned today doesn't mean it won't in 2 days
This post was edited on 9/7/17 at 10:27 pm
Posted by joshnorris14
Florida
Member since Jan 2009
46930 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:25 pm to
At this point, the destruction this hurricane will cause to so many people I know (including myself) is so overwhelming things have become comical.

This path is close to the worst possible scenario, and every update gets worse.
This post was edited on 9/7/17 at 10:26 pm
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