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re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down

Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:08 pm to
Posted by JuiceTerry
Roond the Scheme
Member since Apr 2013
40868 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:08 pm to
Gut feeling is it keeps trending west. I don't like that.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147072 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:08 pm to
drop #3 in the eye on AF309's current mission

movement from drop 2: +0.1 N +0.5 W in ~ 1 hr 40 minutes

movement from drop 1: +0.2 N +0.7 W in ~ 3 hours

pressure is 919 mb... down from 921 mb in previous drop
Posted by Dick Jacket
Member since Nov 2016
1587 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:08 pm to
They are saying now that the eye is going to miss Savannah and go over Americus.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177206 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:09 pm to
Irma's now been Cat 5 for 63 hours. That's 3rd all time. The record is 78 from the Cuba Hurricane in 1932.. The real record since we've been able to monitor with satellites and reconnoissance is 72 hours from Hurricane Allen in 1980.
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
178829 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:09 pm to
quote:

Gut feeling


GF;DR
Posted by TH03
Mogadishu
Member since Dec 2008
172004 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:10 pm to
Is there anyway it doesn't top 78 hours?
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:10 pm to
quote:

They are saying now that the eye is going to miss Savannah and go over Americus.




Actually, they're saying...

quote:

4. There is a chance of direct impacts in portions of Georgia,
South Carolina, and North Carolina, but it is too early to specify
the magnitude and location of these impacts.



LINK

Posted by JuiceTerry
Roond the Scheme
Member since Apr 2013
40868 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:11 pm to
quote:

GF;DR
Haven't seen that model
Posted by Rhino5
Atlanta
Member since Nov 2014
30959 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:11 pm to
quote:


movement from drop 2: +0.1 N +0.5 W in ~ 1 hr 40 minutes

movement from drop 1: +0.2 N +0.7 W in ~ 3 hours

pressure is 919 mb... down from 921 mb in previous drop

So basically westward movement is still in charge ?
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21486 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:11 pm to
quote:



How does that CIMSS deal with the microwave imagery work? Where are they getting the images to make those animated gifs?


They use an algorithm that combines numerous data sources to produce that image. Microwave passes are infrequent to this process generates the smooth looking animation.
Posted by ihometiger
Member since Dec 2013
12475 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:11 pm to
Posted by RummelTiger
Official TD Sauces Club Member
Member since Aug 2004
93585 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:12 pm to
quote:

So basically westward movement is still in charge ?



Posted by AubieALUMdvm
Member since Oct 2011
11713 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:12 pm to
Update from a friend in St. John that we finally heard from today. Was really worried all night.

House is completely leveled and almost all possessions gone - thank goodness she didn't spend the night in it. Same for all of her friends who she lived near - houses gone. Entire island seems completely devastated.
Posted by Dick Jacket
Member since Nov 2016
1587 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:12 pm to
Sorry. I was parroting the Savannah local news. They've started talking about where everyone is evacuating to.
Posted by TH03
Mogadishu
Member since Dec 2008
172004 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:13 pm to
Jeez that sounds terrible.
Posted by jimjackandjose
Member since Jun 2011
6746 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:13 pm to
This thing is about to finish another ewrc...hit warm water, but calling it to drop to cat4. I dont understand the reasoning there
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51685 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:13 pm to
Well, now much of north and east Alabama are in play for some rough weather from whatever is left from Irma. It'll be interesting how far inland she can stay a tropical storm.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177206 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:13 pm to
quote:

Is there anyway it doesn't top 78 hours?


It looks like it's got a shot to maintain strength the next 24 hours. It might weaken a little if Irma gets close to Cuba. The track keeps putting it closer to Cuba.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:13 pm to
quote:

They use an algorithm that combines numerous data sources to produce that image. Microwave passes are infrequent to this process generates the smooth looking animation.


Thank you for explaining it.
Posted by Rhino5
Atlanta
Member since Nov 2014
30959 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:15 pm to
Do you have something to say ? You've been busy tonight
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