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Message

re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down

Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:26 pm to
Posted by ihometiger
Member since Dec 2013
12475 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:26 pm to
Posted by RummelTiger
Official TD Sauces Club Member
Member since Aug 2004
93586 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:27 pm to
quote:

But it wasn't expected.


Yes, it has been.

quote:

I can tell you just showed up today


Been here all day, bruh. Chicken pays 2X during situations like this. Getting ready for Christmas.
Posted by Spock's Eyebrow
Member since May 2012
12300 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:27 pm to
I can't believe a dozen idiots in Key Largo are going to ride it out on their docked sailboats. The CNN guys were basically like Hooper commenting on the boatload of shark fisherman who just insulted him, "Hahaha, they're all gonna die."
Posted by HubbaBubba
North of DFW, TX
Member since Oct 2010
51706 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:27 pm to
quote:

Gut feeling is it keeps trending west. I don't like that.
I said the same yesterday. Got told I should be banned for saying I had a gut feeling it would go west.

Peej has ruined intuition calls for everyone.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:28 pm to
quote:

Just a hypothetical question if this count reaches the GOM. How warm is the water in the GOM after Harvey?






Posted by RummelTiger
Official TD Sauces Club Member
Member since Aug 2004
93586 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:29 pm to
quote:

How warm is the water in the GOM after Harvey?


Plenty warm.

Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14262 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:29 pm to
quote:

NHC is sending some of its forecasters to the National Weather Service's Weather Prediction Center in Maryland in case NHC loses comms during landfall



It'll be interesting to see how the new building holds up.


quote:

In 1992, Hurricane Andrew blew the WSR-57 weather radar and the anemometer off the roof of NHC's/the Miami State Weather Forecast offices.[33] The radar was replaced with a WSR-88D NEXRAD system in April 1993 installed near Metro Zoo,[34] near where Hurricane Andrew made landfall.

In 1995, the NHC moved into a new hurricane-resistant facility on the campus of Florida International University, capable of withstanding 130 mph (210 km/h) winds.[35] Its name was changed to the Tropical Prediction Center in 1995.
Posted by The Dudes Rug
Member since Nov 2004
14067 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:30 pm to
Me too man. I simply said its trending more and more west, since the predictions had it turning back into the Atlantic, then up the east coast, then east Florida, now it's middle to west Florida.
Posted by Sparkplug#1
Member since May 2013
7352 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:30 pm to
quote:

Just a hypothetical question if this count reaches the GOM. How warm is the water in the GOM after Harvey? This question takes the Rosa Parks of backseat of questions when jt comes to Irma. If you choose not to answer then sobeit.


Like piss warm.
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
66950 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:30 pm to
quote:

How warm is the water in the GOM after Harvey?

Not sure that a previous hurricane lowers water temps in the massive gulf, but do recall that the track that Harvey took, even accounting for the easternmost winds, were still west of any track Irma may potentially take.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:31 pm to
quote:

I said the same yesterday. Got told I should be banned for saying I had a gut feeling it would go west.



I don't think people should be banned for it, but it usually adds multiple pages of confusion to the thread as people see it and think it is some sort of legitimate prediction/forecast.
This post was edited on 9/7/17 at 10:33 pm
Posted by Mynadsitch78
Member since Jun 2017
74 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:34 pm to
That's what I'm saying. It's not even a gut thing. I don't think anyone is denying the northward turn. It's not a sin to question when it will happen.
Posted by NolaAg04
Member since Aug 2016
79 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:34 pm to
00Z GFS run looks pretty similar through forecast hour 24, slightly stronger.
Posted by Tiger in NY
Neptune Beach, FL
Member since Sep 2003
31584 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:35 pm to
quote:

his thing is about to finish another ewrc...hit warm water, but calling it to drop to cat4. I dont understand the reasoning there


Theycsaid wind shear would start to impact it at Florida
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:35 pm to
Depends on what people mean by "west". If it's Louisiana, the high to our west would need to vanish. Else, their guts are expecting the equivalent of water running uphill instead of downhill.

Guess we might have the high pressure all wrong, but there's zero reason to think it right now.
Posted by Lsuhoohoo
Member since Sep 2007
102302 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:35 pm to
shite. My local weather man just ran through some potential wind gusts as Irma moves through Florida. 149 mph in Daytona by Monday Morning. 120 in Tampa. Our property is about 60 miles Northwest of Daytona as the crow files.

The structures on the property won't make it through winds of 120+. Even if they could hold up, they're surrounded by trees. Damn.
Posted by Sparkplug#1
Member since May 2013
7352 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:35 pm to
If it goes west will Mitch save us?
Posted by PsychTiger
Member since Jul 2004
109128 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:36 pm to
Looking better for South Carolina, but worse for others unfortunately. I might not have to evacuate after all if the current shift pattern continues. Going to Atlanta could be going into the storm.
This post was edited on 9/7/17 at 10:40 pm
Posted by Rhino5
Atlanta
Member since Nov 2014
30959 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:36 pm to
quote:

Yes, it has been.

Congrats on supernatural powers that defied the weather channel the past two days. Am I arguing with an admin or something? TD mobile doesn't display the sheriff badge.
Posted by JuiceTerry
Roond the Scheme
Member since Apr 2013
40868 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:36 pm to
quote:

said the same yesterday. Got told I should be banned for saying I had a gut feeling it would go west
I mean are we really depending on some normal arse front pushing this monster around?
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