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re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down

Posted on 9/5/17 at 2:44 pm to
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 2:44 pm to
my pucker factor would go up exponentially if any of those models going south of Cuba into the Caribbean were to materialize

good thing is those are very few
Posted by OysterPoBoy
City of St. George
Member since Jul 2013
44643 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 2:44 pm to
Anybody got a link to that Caribbean weatherman with the parrot? I'd like to get his take.
Posted by canyon
MM23
Member since Dec 2003
22164 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 2:45 pm to
and a bunch post up the east coast.
Damn thing ain't go no brain and wandering around like the walking dead
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91836 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 2:45 pm to
quote:

12z Euro ensembles




While people may focus on the 3 members west of Florida, it should also be noted there are even more members that take it fishing.
Posted by lsufan1971
Zachary
Member since Nov 2003
24200 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 2:46 pm to


Al Gore saw this and got a global warming hard on until someone told him it was one hurricane with different models.
Posted by RemouladeSawce
Uranus
Member since Sep 2008
17827 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 2:46 pm to
It's a madhouse in Tampa already. Some coworkers have been out for hours looking for bottled water and can't find any.
This post was edited on 9/5/17 at 2:47 pm
Posted by tilco
Spanish Fort, AL
Member since Nov 2013
14471 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 2:47 pm to
quote:

I'm still sticking with my prediction that it won't, especially if it stays that far south in Cuba. It will turn more gradually and hit the eastern half of the panhandle. I don't think the shortwave will be strong enough to turn a storm that strong that fast




Unfortunately I don't see how this doesn't come true. The thing is not turning on a dime. I'm in mobile and I'm getting ready for this bitch. frick the models they keep changing. The shift westward had been happening for the last few days. Time to open our eyes to what is actually happening and not what the models say. Hope I'm wrong.
Posted by canyon
MM23
Member since Dec 2003
22164 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 2:47 pm to
this one i like
go fishing bitch
Posted by UAinSOUTHAL
Mobile,AL
Member since Dec 2012
5298 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 2:47 pm to
Posted by HubbaBubba
North of DFW, TX
Member since Oct 2010
51674 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 2:47 pm to
quote:

I just don't understand how something that big, that powerful, makes a 90 degree turn north...
You have no idea how often I hear this.
Posted by bigpapamac
Mobile, AL
Member since Oct 2007
22592 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 2:48 pm to
quote:

While people may focus on the 3 members west of Florida, it should also be noted there are even more members that take it fishing.


Seems to be a slight trend in that direction in some of these models today. Still so much difference in the extremes either way. South Florida still the bullseye for right now.
Posted by Raz4back
Member since Mar 2011
4021 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 2:48 pm to
quote:

Going to gulf shores for a bachelor party this weekend. Luckily we'll be leaving on Sunday


We're supposed to be in Ft Walton Saturday-Thursday, then Perdido Thursday-Sunday
This post was edited on 9/5/17 at 2:49 pm
Posted by lsufan1971
Zachary
Member since Nov 2003
24200 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 2:48 pm to
quote:

The houses built like that should be fine huh? Poured concrete with barred windows



Not unless it's 25ft above sea level. Storm surge with this storm is going to be unreal.
Posted by UAinSOUTHAL
Mobile,AL
Member since Dec 2012
5298 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 2:48 pm to
quote:

It's a madhouse in Tampa already. Some coworkers have been out for hours looking for bottled water and can't find any.


That's because most of the water bound for Fla and the gulf coast was diverted to Texas and Harvey relief. That is compounding the situation.
Posted by TigerstuckinMS
Member since Nov 2005
33687 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 2:49 pm to
quote:

That eye is pretty impressive.


What's fricking amazing about that satellite picture is that you can clearly see the stadium effect in it. You can see the shadow on the East side of the eyewall as the sun rises, then the shadow disappears as the sun passes overhead, then the West side is in shadow when the sun is setting on it.

Anyone who's been in Tiger Stadium for a day game knows this is precisely what you're seeing there. God help you if you're sitting in the East lower for a 2:30 game on fricking CBS in September.
This post was edited on 9/5/17 at 3:13 pm
Posted by medtiger
Member since Sep 2003
21989 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 2:49 pm to
quote:

the 3 members west of Florida


Posted by lsufan1971
Zachary
Member since Nov 2003
24200 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 2:51 pm to
quote:

It's a madhouse in Tampa already



One of my former coworkers just moved to a retirement condo in Sarasota. He said people were fighting over loaves of bread at Publix.
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43444 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 2:51 pm to
quote:

That's because most of the water bound for Fla and the gulf coast was diverted to Texas and Harvey relief. That is compounding the situation.


This is going to be a bigger problem than anyone has talked about yet.

Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91836 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 2:52 pm to
12z HMON takes Irma down to 861 mb, and 865 mb right before landfall in Miami:



861 mb is 9 mb lower than the current world record low pressure for a cyclone.

Hopefully the HMON is an outlier, but it has consistently predicted a record breaking pressure.
Posted by HogX
Madison, WI
Member since Dec 2012
5634 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 2:52 pm to
quote:

While people may focus on the 3 members west of Florida, it should also be noted there are even more members that take it fishing.


Somebody needs to tell Irma.
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