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Started By
Message
3
Posted on 9/5/17 at 12:24 pm to deuce985
quote:
Bob is just trying to make people in the Gulf aware. I have no problem with that.
I've found Bob to be a little too aggressive on central gulf coast risks in the past, but he's not wrong to highlight the western side of the risk pool even if it is more unlikely than having an eastern bias currently.
quote:
Am I wrong in thinking this thing actually still has a possibility to go out to sea?
No. The models have zero'd in on Florida and anyone there should take that as a serious risk of a very strong hurricane coming their way. There is still the potential for an earlier turn that just misses the east coast, but it's certainly not one I'd bank on if I'm in Florida.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 12:24 pm to rt3
quote:Decent chart to show how they stack up based on barometric pressure readings
lower pressure = stronger storm
Posted on 9/5/17 at 12:24 pm to ibldprplgld
quote:
Someone alert me when Margaret Orr starts losing her shite... then I'll know it's going to drizzle in Nola
I don't watch WDSU at all when I'm back home in NOLA mostly b/c of that woman
Posted on 9/5/17 at 12:24 pm to JackieTreehorn
quote:
I'm just glad this thing has no chance to hit from Destin-Westward. Great news.
I'd never discount anything with these storms until landfall is inevitable.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 12:24 pm to JackieTreehorn
I wouldn't say it have NO CHANCE.
But it's not likely
But it's not likely
Posted on 9/5/17 at 12:24 pm to JackieTreehorn
quote:
no chance to hit from Destin-Westward
Duck.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 12:24 pm to GEAUXmedic
While purist Constitution folks would say you can't make one group, in this case visitors, leave whereas another group can stay.
But in this case, most definitely visitors should get out. Tourist s only clutter up the roads, serve no helpful purpose in extreme cases like this, use up supplies like water, and are also generally clueless about everything else.
But in this case, most definitely visitors should get out. Tourist s only clutter up the roads, serve no helpful purpose in extreme cases like this, use up supplies like water, and are also generally clueless about everything else.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 12:25 pm to GEAUXmedic
quote:
You need to take a break man.
A) He knows what he's doing by bringing up Katrina.
B) There isn't a single, reputable model that takes it "as far west as Mobile"
C) He says the slow down and turn to the north is likely, but hides it inside of a statement saying big storms have trouble turning north.
I'm sorry that I'm calling out irresponsible statements, but that's exactly what the first part of his comments are.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 12:25 pm to rt3
quote:
I don't watch WDSU at all when I'm back home in NOLA mostly b/c of that woman
If it's a weather event, I'm watching her non-stop. There isn't enough popcorn in the world..
Posted on 9/5/17 at 12:25 pm to ibldprplgld
quote:
Margaret Orr
oh lawd..I cant. Even. Deal. Right. Now...like literally I cant
Posted on 9/5/17 at 12:26 pm to GEAUXmedic
quote:
You need to take a break man.
His information on here has been invaluable.
However, he's one of those guys that never thinks he's wrong, and comes off as a dick constantly when arguing with people, probably without even realizing it. Just like shel on the MSB. That side of him definitely needs to take a break.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 12:26 pm to slackster
quote:
A) He knows what he's doing by bringing up Katrina.
B) There isn't a single, reputable model that takes it "as far west as Mobile"
C) He says the slow down and turn to the north is likely, but hides it inside of a statement saying big storms have trouble turning north.
I'm sorry that I'm calling out irresponsible statements, but that's exactly what the first part of his comments are.
Is he lying at all? No. It's also irresponsible to act like there's no chance anyone else has to worry.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 12:27 pm to slackster
quote:
A) He knows what he's doing by bringing up Katrina.
B) There isn't a single, reputable model that takes it "as far west as Mobile"
C) He says the slow down and turn to the north is likely, but hides it inside of a statement saying big storms have trouble turning north.
I'm sorry that I'm calling out irresponsible statements, but that's exactly what the first part of his comments are.
Yep, all of this.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 12:27 pm to GEAUXmedic
What is the interval for official updates from the hurricane center?
Posted on 9/5/17 at 12:27 pm to tgrbaitn08
AF309 is heading home and there are currently no planes doing recon in Irma 
guess it's time to do work
guess it's time to do work
Posted on 9/5/17 at 12:27 pm to GEAUXmedic
What kind of damage will Orlando be looking at from this thing? Would they potentially evacuate that area?
Posted on 9/5/17 at 12:27 pm to slackster
quote:
A) He knows what he's doing by bringing up Katrina.
B) There isn't a single, reputable model that takes it "as far west as Mobile"
C) He says the slow down and turn to the north is likely, but hides it inside of a statement saying big storms have trouble turning north.
I'm sorry that I'm calling out irresponsible statements, but that's exactly what the first part of his comments are.
I agree with all of this, you can be informative without being an alarmist. If he'd said something like we need to keep an eye on this one bc if there is a westward jog, we could feel some impacts, but for now it appears Irma will stay to the east with minimal La impact.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 12:28 pm to slackster
quote:I didn't grow up as a Bob Breck fan, so I can safely say, he's talking out his arse here. He's retired and doesn't have the data in front of him that those have who are entering the data into the modeling computers.
A) He knows what he's doing by bringing up Katrina.
B) There isn't a single, reputable model that takes it "as far west as Mobile"
C) He says the slow down and turn to the north is likely, but hides it inside of a statement saying big storms have trouble turning north.
I'm sorry that I'm calling out irresponsible statements, but that's exactly what the first part of his comments are.
I'm sure he's a great guy, though.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 12:28 pm to slackster
quote:
^ All fear mongering.
You might wanna take a step back from the computer for a bit.
Seriously.
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