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re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:20 am to Bottom9
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:20 am to Bottom9
Wait...so the latest run has this thing impacting Miami-Dade as a Category 5, maintaining intensity, and then hitting Georgia/SC as a Category 5?
Do I have that right?
Do I have that right?
This post was edited on 9/5/17 at 11:20 am
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:20 am to 50_Tiger
If you live in Tampa and are worried and need supplies, I would go now. I swung by Wal-Mart on Dale Mabry and it's a madhouse with almost no more canned goods left. Out of water as well.
I came in to get a flash light and that was a mistake.
I came in to get a flash light and that was a mistake.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:20 am to HubbaBubba
quote:
So far, Cat 5 from Miami all the way past Melbourne, maybe even Daytona.
I know this doesn't seem like much, but skirting the east coast of FL keeps the coast out of the strongest winds. The current GFS track has Irma moving 13-14 MPH to the north as it brushes Florida. That forward motion can be subtracted from the winds that will come out of the north as the storm moves parallel to the coast.
Might be insignificant, but worth noting.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:20 am to deuce985
quote:
Anyone else concerned about that system sitting behind Irma? The Jose potential one. It's just like, yeah, I'll hang out over here going further south.
I may be wrong on this, but I thought someone mentioned that right now Irma's outflow is keeping it from strengthening significantly?
This post was edited on 9/5/17 at 11:23 am
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:21 am to RollTide1987
quote:
Wait...so the latest run has this thing impacting Miami-Dade as a Category 5, maintaining intensity, and then hitting Georgia/SC as a Category 5?
Do I have that right?
Yes.
I would be leaving now. I would expect local Government to start moving people soon.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:24 am to slackster
quote:So, instead of surface winds of 170 mph, we could have 156 mph? That's a real comfort to know.
I know this doesn't seem like much, but skirting the east coast of FL keeps the coast out of the strongest winds. The current GFS track has Irma moving 13-14 MPH to the north as it brushes Florida. That forward motion can be subtracted from the winds that will come out of the north as the storm moves parallel to the coast.
Might be insignificant, but worth noting.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:24 am to GEAUXT
Were gonna need more car woorshes.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:24 am to HubbaBubba
Scraping the S FL coast as a sub 900 monster.....good god.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:24 am to RollTide1987
The shortwave we're watching digs a little farther south and east this run, opening up the gap north farther east. The shortwave is that little yellow splotchy area north of Mobile. Models aren't going to be exactly right with the development of that energy and little changes in strength and placement make the difference on just how far west Irma gets before the hard north.
It's amazing how a subtle little feature can play such a big role in the location of a giant storm like Irma, and why predicting final landfalls is still so difficult this far away.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:24 am to rt3
quote:
quote:
Ryan Maue @RyanMaue
Hurricane #Irma is still intensifying. Now up to 155-knots (180 mph)
Extrapolating Saffir-Simpson scale, 158-knots would be Category 6.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:24 am to CptBengal
180 MPH sustained winds, thats a feisty ole slut
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:25 am to Duke
What do the numbers on the ride side indicate?
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:25 am to HubbaBubba
quote:
So, instead of surface winds of 170 mph, we could have 156 mph? That's a real comfort to know.
Especially when you consider the structures in Miami-Dade are only rated for 150 MPH winds.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:26 am to HubbaBubba
quote:They temp removed 'soundings' because the server is being hammered. And dangnabbit it looks like it is back to 2 landfalls. Miami, pounding the east coast to Melbourne Cape Caneveral then hitting GA/SC line more on the Savannah side. Will the pounding on Fla. knock her down before hand?
Their servers are slammed right now! They should contract out Chicken's hamsters.
This post was edited on 9/5/17 at 11:27 am
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:26 am to rt3
quote:
don't see how they're playing the Bucs/Dolphins game in Miami on Sunday
Name 3 things that are at home in deep water:
Dolphins
Buccaneers
Seabiscuit
Well that coulda been a disaster... NFL scheduled the hurricane game perfectly.
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