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Message

re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down

Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:30 am to
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
102516 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:30 am to
quote:

I was on Reddit arguing with some yankee that thought sandy was stronger than Harvey because of this narrative.




They wouldn't know what to do if a Harvey, Katrina, Andrew, etc hit them dead on.

I kind of wish one would do it would shut their arrogant libtard asses up
Posted by LSUGrad9295
Baton Rouge
Member since May 2007
37835 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:31 am to
quote:

I am currently on FB trying to convince people I know on the Florida coast to get the hell out of dodge right now before the other 10 million people take off.

They don't seem to want to listen


These are probably some of the same fools who were asking why the people in Houston didn't evacuate before they got pounded with 50 inches of rain.

I think Irma gives a MORE tangible reason to evacuate than Harvey. Harvey was just a vague notion of some little storm that was going to produce a lot of rain....even though the forecasters kept saying that, people didn't want to react to it.

Telling people that Irma is coming your way is about to bring 150 MPH or more winds and is going to huff, puff, and blow your house down, should make people a little more vigilant.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:31 am to
quote:

What do the numbers on the ride side indicate?


On a super basic level, take it as the vigor of the rotation (you can read energy) of air in the mid/upper levels. The technical answer is on a math level I don't understand well enough to attempt to explain.
Posted by Mr. Hangover
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2003
34925 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:32 am to
quote:

what it comes on sure as will depend alot on timing.


I heard that brotha
Posted by HubbaBubba
North of DFW, TX
Member since Oct 2010
51684 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:32 am to
The Intracoastal would be strewn with wrecked boats and debris for a while.
Posted by Hunter6868
Lower 9
Member since Aug 2017
354 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:34 am to
This may be an incredibly ignorant question but is there any chance the keys survive this? I know a handful of people, albeit not well, who have vacation properties down there. Both times I've been I have enjoyed my visits. Shame if they get wiped off the map.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:34 am to
meanwhile... as the GFS ticks on... Jose just loitering out in the central Atlantic as a Cat 3ish storm
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
102516 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:34 am to
quote:

Also the last Euro run I don't blame any GOM States for puckering up. We are talking a Cat 5 now this is frightening for a lot of people.


Gotta remember also what a cat 5 does. Say it lands in eastern panhandle, it will cause major damage east to Tampa and inland Florida and west to damn near mobile.

Katrina caused massive damage on the entire LA coast to Pensacola
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
87439 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:35 am to
quote:

Jose just loitering out in the central Atlantic as a Cat 3ish storm
No way Jose
Posted by NashBamaFan
Nashville
Member since Mar 2011
3133 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:36 am to
I live in Pasco Cohnty and am seeing the same shite. Crazy. This will be the first Hurricane I'm worried about since living here in FL. I've only lived here for 4 years. Got hammered twice by tornados while living in TN and now have to deal with hurricanes. Not feeling good right now.
Posted by Hangover Haven
Metry
Member since Oct 2013
33482 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:37 am to
Has it more east...
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:38 am to
quote:

No way Jose

Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43447 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:38 am to
I HATE YOU RT3 I WAS LOOKING FOR A GOOD NO WAY JOSE GIF

Posted by RazorBroncs
Possesses the largest
Member since Sep 2013
16159 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:40 am to


Well this model makes us panhandle dwellers feel a little better, but definitely not out of the woods yet. It worries me that the track could easily change by a couple hundred miles all the way up to the very last minute based off what these pressure systems do and how they interact with each other/Irma.

I'd say anywhere east of Mobile Bay needs to prep like the models are pointed right at them, even AFTER it makes landfall in S Florida and we think we have an idea where it goes from there.

TL;DR - shite.... Just shite.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:40 am to
quote:


They do. They are extrapolating out based on the other Categories. IF it went to Category 6, 158knots would be the logical barometer.


Extrapolating out to a six is really asking the question "what is more flat than totally flattened?".

The force the wind exerts is a function of the velocity squared. At about the Category 5 level, the resulting force is just everything is fricked.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:40 am to
quote:

I HATE YOU RT3 I WAS LOOKING FOR A GOOD NO WAY JOSE GIF



Posted by SheaForHeisman
Oxford, MS
Member since Aug 2017
762 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:40 am to


Man I really hope this doesn't hit the U.S. Mainland, between the flooding in NOLA a few weeks ago and Harvey hitting Texas hard, we don't need another natural disaster to deal with.
Posted by cajunangelle
Member since Oct 2012
166742 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:40 am to
you are so good in this thread, good info mixed with humor
Posted by CBandits82
Lurker since May 2008
Member since May 2012
58991 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:41 am to
893 pressure
Posted by CarolinaGamecock99
Member since Apr 2015
24812 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:41 am to
Rip Florida,Georgia,South Carolina
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