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Message

re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down

Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:13 am to
Posted by FairhopeTider
Fairhope, Alabama
Member since May 2012
22765 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:13 am to
quote:

You sure it wasn't Opal?


Opal hit Destin
Posted by AU24
Toomers Corner
Member since Dec 2014
4523 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:13 am to
quote:

UPDATE: NOAA's #GOES16 shows #HurricaneIrma, the strongest hurricane ever recorded in the Atlantic -- outside the Caribbean, Gulf of Mexico.
Posted by HubbaBubba
North of DFW, TX
Member since Oct 2010
51685 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:14 am to
Their servers are slammed right now! They should contract out Chicken's hamsters.
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:14 am to
Models have been consistently shifting this storm slightly west and then again shifting east. Interested to see Euro this run.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:14 am to
quote:

So far, Cat 5 from Miami all the way past Melbourne, maybe even Daytona.

Still Cat. 5 back out in the Atlantic by St. Augustine & Jacksonville
Posted by Riseupfromtherubble
You'll Never Walk Alone
Member since Jun 2011
39969 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:14 am to
Mostly heavily populated area of the state
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:15 am to
quote:

Seems like models last 24 hours or so in pretty good agreement this thing gets to tip of floridas penis and shoots north. Margin of error between different runs on that turn north 50-100 miles


The potential spread is broader than that 50-100 mile window but the consistency of this solution makes it the clear favorite as of now.
Posted by mellowbellow
SWLA
Member since Jul 2016
27 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:15 am to
quote:

What was the hurricane last year that missed Florida that was a Cat 5. What was the name? I can't remember. I do remember looking at the tropics the day before that thing was headed their way and it seemed like overnight it went from a tropical storm to a Cat 3 or something like that. I think that was pretty crazy to watch last year. Still remember that Smith dude on FOX saying you will die if you're in the path of this storm. That storm basically had their track and models change overnight.


That was Hurricane Matthew. And here's the FOX clip you mentioned...
LINK
This post was edited on 9/5/17 at 11:18 am
Posted by HubbaBubba
North of DFW, TX
Member since Oct 2010
51685 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:16 am to
Slamming into GA/SC border as Cat 5.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:16 am to
150 hour image makes me think 156 or 162 will show a Cat 5 making a 2nd US landfall at the GA/SC border
Posted by RollTide1987
Baltimore, MD
Member since Nov 2009
71052 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:17 am to
quote:

Opal hit Destin



It made landfall right around Pensacola as a Category 3 storm. It moved inland so fast it was still a Category 1 hurricane when it hit my hometown - some 250 miles inland.
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51682 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:17 am to
12z GFS takes Irma into the GA/SC border area at 919mb, likely Cat. 5.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:17 am to
quote:

Dumb question but isnt South Florida relatively flat lands?

Wouldn't this exacerbate the wind potential?


It doesn't make the winds any stronger, but there is little to slow them down too.
Posted by HubbaBubba
North of DFW, TX
Member since Oct 2010
51685 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:18 am to
Yes. Forever ensconced that Ole Miss twat as the biggest queen this side of the Atlantic.
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:18 am to
Anyone else concerned about that system sitting behind Irma? The Jose potential one. It's just like, yeah, I'll hang out over here going further south.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:18 am to
also... this run has Jose recurve out to sea before hitting the same islands that Irma's about to scramble
Posted by GEAUXT
Member since Nov 2007
30506 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:18 am to
My God, two separate landfalls as a Cat 5...
This post was edited on 9/5/17 at 11:20 am
Posted by Bottom9
Arsenal Til I Die
Member since Jul 2010
25163 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:18 am to
quote:

UPDATE: NOAA's #GOES16 shows #HurricaneIrma, the strongest hurricane ever recorded in the Atlantic -- outside the Caribbean, Gulf of Mexico.



Well shite...
Posted by buffbraz
Member since Nov 2005
5743 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:19 am to
How screwed are Turks and Caicos islands? Was supposed to be going there in late October.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:19 am to
quote:

Anyone else concerned about that system sitting behind Irma? The Jose potential one. It's just like, yeah, I'll hang out over here going further south.

it's not potential Jose anymore

it is now Tropical Storm Jose
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