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Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:03 am to Riseupfromtherubble
Was georges the one that spun in mobile bay for a few days?
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:05 am to CharlesLSU
quote:
...as long as poliboard shite stays on the poliboard.....I kid!
I'm not really a dick IRL. I'm a professional Jimmy rustler.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:05 am to weagle99
Probably pocketed the money like New Orleans politicians like to do. I'll bet Mitch has some serious dirt on his arse right now that he doesn't want anyone knowing about. Maybe them failed pumps exposed it a little. Where was all that money going because it sure as hell wasn't maintaining pump integrity the past 10 years. 
I don't know, seemed like to me growing up New Orleans was always an inch away from seeing a Katrina incident. Bad thing was Katrina isn't even the worst possible scenario because it would've been much worse if it just turned west a little more.
I don't know, seemed like to me growing up New Orleans was always an inch away from seeing a Katrina incident. Bad thing was Katrina isn't even the worst possible scenario because it would've been much worse if it just turned west a little more.
This post was edited on 9/5/17 at 11:07 am
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:06 am to TSmith
12Z run has Irma at a fraction more south and east entering Florida as 06Z run. Slightly more powerful, too.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:06 am to cypressbrake3
quote:
Dumbass here, I always have heard that the GOM has warmer waters, which strengthens a hurricane.
The gulf is always warm, but not the home to the warmest and deepest warm water in the Atlantic. Those are typically found in the Caribbean in the waters south of Cuba bumping up into the Yucatan. The fabled "loop current" that Katrina bombed out over that provides a lot of heat to the gulf brings that water into the gulf.
Also fwiw, Ivan was still a healthy four after getting into the Gulf of Mexico. He really didn't lose his punch until he ran up on the cooler waters right up near the coast and hit an eyewall replacement at the same time. The north side of the storm hitting those cooler waters probably was a big part of the little east jog that saved Mobile and wrecked Pensacola, but that's out of the scope of your question really.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:07 am to bamarep
quote:
I'm not really a dick IRL. I'm a professional Jimmy rustler
same thing here;)
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:07 am to HubbaBubba
this GFS run is putting the turn up FL's east coast now
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:07 am to HubbaBubba
quote:Direct hit on Miami.
12Z run has Irma at a fraction more south and east entering Florida as 06Z run. Slightly more powerful, too.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:09 am to OldSouth
quote:
Direct hit on Miami.
YEP :(
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:09 am to Thracken13
quote:
mother of god that thing looks like Andrew only smaller.
Andrew was actually a relatively small storm.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:10 am to OldSouth
quote:
Direct hit on Miami.
So it's been trending slightly east the past couple of runs? Any chance that's bring a pre-Florida turn more into play?
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:10 am to Riseupfromtherubble
Totally different scenarios....
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:11 am to 50_Tiger
What was the hurricane last year that missed Florida that was a Cat 5. What was the name? I can't remember. I do remember looking at the tropics the day before that thing was headed their way and it seemed like overnight it went from a tropical storm to a Cat 3 or something like that. I think that was pretty crazy to watch last year. Still remember that Smith dude on FOX saying you will die if you're in the path of this storm. That storm basically had their track and models change overnight.
This post was edited on 9/5/17 at 11:13 am
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:11 am to slackster
Dumb question but isnt South Florida relatively flat lands?
Wouldn't this exacerbate the wind potential?
Wouldn't this exacerbate the wind potential?
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:11 am to tilco
quote:
Was georges the one that spun in mobile bay for a few days?
That was Danny in 1997
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:11 am to OldSouth
Seems like models last 24 hours or so in pretty good agreement this thing gets to tip of floridas penis and shoots north. Margin of error between different runs on that turn north 50-100 miles
This post was edited on 9/5/17 at 11:12 am
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:11 am to 50_Tiger
So far, Cat 5 from Miami all the way past Melbourne, maybe even Daytona.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:12 am to FairhopeTider
You sure it wasn't Opal?
Posted on 9/5/17 at 11:13 am to HubbaBubba
quote:The model is stuck slow loading. Yes. South East almost a skirt chase but the eye hits it seems key largo, homestead, Miami. And yes, more powerful. Fricking gotdangit it looks like it goes out in the Atlantic slightly, right after Miami and starts a skirts chase.
12Z run has Irma at a fraction more south and east entering Florida as 06Z run. Slightly more powerful, too.
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