re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down

Sandy was one of those media creations that made the storm seem worse than it was. The fact that it was only a tropical storm at landfall really made many of them sad as they were hoping to advance the global climate change narrative.

If the periscope guy shows up then they are screwed. Jim is no longer the guy.

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If the periscope guy shows up then they are screwed. Jim is no longer the guy.

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along with his buddies, Simon & Juston... the Storm Riders

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Aren't smaller storms sometimes more destructive? Wasn't that the deal with Andrew?

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There's really no straight answer here.

Smaller storms have been seen to get wound up pretty tight and produce incredible winds.



This is Wilma at peak strength, which is also the lowest pressure ever recorded in the Atlantic basin. The little pinhole eye shows just how tightly it was wound up.



Hurricane Patricia, maxing out at 215 mph and 872 mb, shows a similar really tiny but absurdly intense circulation. The severe winds were clustered very near the center, leaving someone in the direct path in for total devastation but having a small area where that impact would happen.



Then consider Haiyan. While not quite as low of a pressure (though it's minimum is estimated and might have been just as low as the previous two), the greater size spread the impacts of it's 180 mph winds over a larger area.

The gist is the most intense recorded storms had really small eyes and a narrow but slightly more intense eyewall, the catastrophic impacts are greater for the bigger storm with a broader windfield of the 155+ winds.

My buddy in Jacksonville is still on a wait and see approach. He's pretty much fricked right??

Yeah

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Any validity to the CMC model?

LINK

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for now we're telling the Canadians to stick it straight up their sap holes

Sandy hit a coast line with no dunes and with houses closely spaced at water level. There were houses where they could walk straight out of the house onto the beach, no climb, no steps.

And apparently that's all the coast that they know. Dunes? build up on stilts? allow for wash through? Totally foreign to them.

I think adding the word super to the word storm was the first snowflake vocabulary change

I think that model last night had this storm booking its arse off if I remember correctly. Can't see that graphic but last night's model wasn't all that believable to me if it's still hitting the panhandle of Florida.