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re: Hurricane Dorian - Headed to Canada

Posted on 8/29/19 at 11:49 am to
Posted by Lsupimp
Ersatz Amerika-97.6% phony & fake
Member since Nov 2003
86146 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 11:49 am to
Actually her sister she lives with has offers from family members in Florida. They won’t leave. I’ve offered to get her. I’ve offered to get her a hotel. I’ve offered to fly her out . They won’t do it. Crazy I know.
Posted by iron banks
Destrehan
Member since Jul 2014
4246 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 11:50 am to
I agree the best solution is the ridge weakens and it turns out to sea. I take no pleasure in seeing others in harms way. After having been through so many storms I know the horror of the post hurricane situation.
Posted by Hangit
The Green Swamp
Member since Aug 2014
46758 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 11:53 am to
quote:

So flooding is really becoming a huge concern in my mind.


I rode out Jeanne, Charley, Frances, Ivan, and Irma. Irma caused the highest retained water. The ground is somewhat saturated already but I am ready here.

Posted by UncleFestersLegs
Member since Nov 2010
16879 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 11:54 am to
quote:

The summer I met on Florida spring break 99 was definitely not a dry one.
Posted by saralsim
Louisiana
Member since Mar 2009
517 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 11:55 am to
There’s a storm chaser I watch on Periscope for storm updates - he gives no fricks and gets out in the storm, but also seems to really know his stuff. His name is Jeff Piotrowski.

LINK
Posted by BayouBengals18
Fort Worth
Member since Jan 2009
9843 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 11:57 am to
quote:

Was he the one we all watched that almost died in Mexico Beach?


No, he is a Harvey legend. I don’t remember exactly where he was, Rockport, Port Aransas...
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 11:57 am to


Rainfall for the GFS path up the spine of Florida. Over 2' north of landfall point, over a foot all the way up to Jacksonville and the flow will be mostly onshore for over a day.

Obviously it's path dependant on who gets the most but we're starting to get signals for a dangerous flood potential.
Posted by threeputtforbogie
Addison, TX
Member since Sep 2017
1006 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 11:58 am to
I would say to wait for the Tropical Tidbit video this afternoon for an update on that.
Posted by Pettifogger
I don't really care, Margaret
Member since Feb 2012
87240 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 11:58 am to
quote:

There’s a storm chaser I watch on Periscope for storm updates - he gives no fricks and gets out in the storm, but also seems to really know his stuff. His name is Jeff Piotrowski.

LINK




LOT OF DEBRIS NOW
Posted by Slagathor
Makin' jokes about your teeny tiny
Member since Jul 2007
38984 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 11:58 am to
quote:

The ground is somewhat saturated already but I am ready here.


Where are you? And is your daughter going back home or planning to stay in Jortsvegas?

ETA: If she's staying, we're here if she needs anything. I bought a shitload of beer and a cookie cake.
This post was edited on 8/29/19 at 12:06 pm
Posted by lsutiger2010
Member since Aug 2008
14790 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 12:01 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 10/19/21 at 11:45 am
Posted by UncleFestersLegs
Member since Nov 2010
16879 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 12:12 pm to
GFS has it going back offshore and reforming for another run at NC?
This post was edited on 8/29/19 at 12:15 pm
Posted by Hangit
The Green Swamp
Member since Aug 2014
46758 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 12:15 pm to
quote:

Where are you? And is your daughter going back home or planning to stay in Jortsvegas?


I am a half hour west of the mouse. She is staying. She will be fine and if she has issues, her dad will find a way to get up there. Rumor has it that he is old, but pretty resilient, and cantankerous.

Posted by biggsc
Member since Mar 2009
34777 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 12:16 pm to
That's crazy
Posted by SelaTiger
Member since Aug 2016
21806 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 12:17 pm to
I’m getting a bad feeling about this one. Don’t like it at all.
Posted by mightynine
Member since May 2006
1278 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 12:20 pm to
quote:

GFS has it going back offshore and reforming for another run at NC?


I'm guessing in that scenario, the remnants of that front that just passed through would block it and then the expected weakness in the high would pull it north?
Posted by MountainTiger
The foot of Mt. Belzoni
Member since Dec 2008
14952 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 12:21 pm to
quote:

GFS has it going back offshore and reforming for another run at NC?

Anybody remember the URL to that live stream from the frying pan? We might need it.
This post was edited on 8/29/19 at 12:26 pm
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
134764 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 12:21 pm to
It would be helpful to me if one of you who knows would list in your opinion the order of the historical accuracy of the various models from best to worst.

I keep seeing conflicting predictions by the various models but I don't really know which models have been pretty accurate in their previous predictions and which models are less than dependable historically.

Thanks.

PS- Or, if there is a website which tracks the accuracy of the various models please tell me what it is.
This post was edited on 8/29/19 at 12:23 pm
Posted by Slagathor
Makin' jokes about your teeny tiny
Member since Jul 2007
38984 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 12:22 pm to
quote:

Anybody remember the URL to that live stream from the pancake?


RIP Kevin the Flagggggg! #neverforget

Shitposting on that and then on the stormchaser's feeds are some of my fondest memories
Posted by EXPLAYER
Member since Jul 2017
10791 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 12:23 pm to
She will be in my prayers. Tough or not this could turn out to be one tough mofo!
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