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Message
re: Hurricane Dorian - Headed to Canada
Posted on 9/2/19 at 6:52 am to St Augustine
Posted on 9/2/19 at 6:52 am to St Augustine
quote:Cantore is at Stuart. They showed him catching wind in a band that came through. You should bring him a breakfast Bloody Mary.
Gonna drive down there in a few minutes and take a look.
Posted on 9/2/19 at 6:52 am to lsuman25
quote:
Moving: W at 1 mph
I know it's beating a dead horse, but my God. I just can't fathom being on the islands right now.
Posted on 9/2/19 at 7:07 am to PhillyTiger90
quote:
US is incredibly lucky with how this is looking to turn out. No doubt lives saved and billions of dollars in damage avoided with the north turn.
There is still a shite ton of coastline for this thing to miss before we can call anyone lucky.
This post was edited on 9/2/19 at 7:08 am
Posted on 9/2/19 at 7:14 am to MBGamecock
quote:
There is still a shite ton of coastline for this thing to miss before we can call anyone lucky.
Just a one word reply. AMEN!
Posted on 9/2/19 at 7:15 am to rsbd
Did anyone see the live interview Cantore did Friday with the Florida Governor? As they were exchanging pleasantries, the Gov says “we are never happy to see you in our state Jim”. The look on Cantore’s face was priceless. 
Posted on 9/2/19 at 7:21 am to Icansee4miles
Cantore walking up to you is like seeing the grim reaper. You know you are fricked
Posted on 9/2/19 at 7:27 am to East Coast Band
quote:that 200+ mph wind in Dorian is not sustained. It's a gust. The winds measured in a storm are maximum sustained winds for 1 minute. That's where the 185 mph came from.
An EF4 tornado has winds around 200 mph.
Which lasts about 30 seconds over any given point.
I can't imagine what a nearly the same winds as that sustained for hours on end.
Posted on 9/2/19 at 7:37 am to Jake88
And being realistic I highly doubt anyone is getting 180+ plus for hours on end. I get the usefulness off weather pros using a tornado comparison, but it seems a bit misleading.
Posted on 9/2/19 at 7:39 am to DawgCountry
Latest GFS is no bueno for the east coast.
Posted on 9/2/19 at 7:40 am to St Augustine
Looking forward to your report. I have rental properties in Jupiter
Posted on 9/2/19 at 7:40 am to threeputtforbogie
Which model has the best track record so far for *this* storm and what is it showing right now?
Posted on 9/2/19 at 7:44 am to Dick Jacket
Posted on 9/2/19 at 7:45 am to Dick Jacket
Go watch the tropical tidbits video for last night. They've all been pretty good at predicting the slow down and I'm sure we'll see the turn. The interesting bit was that the HWRF model predicts some weakening from colder water being brought to the surface. That may shorten the storm vertically which lessens the steering flow from the upper atmosphere that the models have been counting on to steer it away from the coast.
This post was edited on 9/2/19 at 7:46 am
Posted on 9/2/19 at 7:47 am to GEAUXT
quote:
I know it's beating a dead horse, but my God. I just can't fathom being on the islands right now.
And if you look at the forecast, the eye will still be whipping the west side of the island TOMORROW MORNING!!!
Posted on 9/2/19 at 7:48 am to Roll Tide Ravens
Sunrise over Hurricane Dorian.


Posted on 9/2/19 at 7:48 am to threeputtforbogie
HMON, HWRF, GFS, CMS are all showing at least partial eye grinding away from near Jacksonville all the way to the the outer banks of North Carolina.
This is not a good forecast this morning as it it shows weakening in the trough to the north.
This is not a good forecast this morning as it it shows weakening in the trough to the north.
Posted on 9/2/19 at 7:52 am to rsbd
quote:
Cantore walking up to you is like seeing the grim reaper. You know you are fricked
Why? The dude is never goes where the storm hits. He stays just close enough to where he can get some wind gusts and create theatrics with his helmet, etc. At this point, he and most at TWC, are actors.
Posted on 9/2/19 at 7:54 am to Hangit
quote:
They showed him catching wind in a band that came through.
So dramatic
My 4 and 6 year olds had no difficulties walking upright and playing for the duration of the time out there.
Don't get me wrong its really windy, but not a whole lot windier than when we get a front at the beach.
This post was edited on 9/2/19 at 7:55 am
Posted on 9/2/19 at 7:58 am to Wild Thang
quote:
In all aspects of life, always trust your instincts.
That's terrible advice in a hurricane thread.
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