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Message
re: Hurricane Dorian - Headed to Canada
Posted on 9/1/19 at 12:33 pm to RummelTiger
Posted on 9/1/19 at 12:33 pm to RummelTiger
quote:Let this be a reminder to all the boomers who throw away resumes with millenial names.
Strongest hurricane according to modern records...and its name is Dorian. Dorian.
2
Posted on 9/1/19 at 12:34 pm to DeCat ODahouse
quote:Yes, this true. Certainly should be cause for making precautionary moves in Florida NOW, just in case.
There was a very powerful storm, Gilbert, (back in the 90's? ) that was forecast to turn north after it entered the Gulf of M. from the Caribbean.
It very slowly and persistently continued heading west during which time forecasters continued to predict a north turn all the way until it hit a relatively empty stretch of Mexico after crossing the entire Gulf of M. in a straight line.
Afterward forecasters attributed this error in their predictions to the massive overall size and strength of the storm negating the effect of external steering.
Posted on 9/1/19 at 12:35 pm to slackster
Slack, so you think this will make landfall in Florida?
Posted on 9/1/19 at 12:35 pm to TigerstuckinMS
quote:
Think of it this way: when a nuclear weapon goes off on top of your head and turns you into plasma, does it matter if it was a 15 kt device or a 150kt device?
Agreed. We just need to drop 150kt device and turn Dorian into plasma
Posted on 9/1/19 at 12:36 pm to Dr Lecter
quote:
Agreed. We just need to drop 150kt device and turn Dorian into plasma
RADIOCANE!
This post was edited on 9/1/19 at 12:41 pm
Posted on 9/1/19 at 12:36 pm to RummelTiger
quote:
Strongest hurricane according to modern records...and its name is Dorian. Dorian.
Posted on 9/1/19 at 12:37 pm to Python
quote:only as much as you would trust someone that doesn’t know the difference between a graph and a table.
Should I trust a graph that can't spell category?
This post was edited on 9/1/19 at 12:37 pm
Posted on 9/1/19 at 12:37 pm to Dr Lecter
quote:
Agreed. We just need to drop 150kt device and turn Dorian into plasma
If you thought Florida was weird before now...
Posted on 9/1/19 at 12:38 pm to AFtigerFan
I think you mean tayble.
Posted on 9/1/19 at 12:40 pm to EventHorizon
quote:
This might be the most stable eye i've seen...
No EWRCs is pretty incredible sor a storm of this intensity is his long.
There is a reason every NHC discussion of EWRCs talks about how difficult they are to predict.
Posted on 9/1/19 at 12:40 pm to Duke
last frames finally showing a little northerly wobble!
Posted on 9/1/19 at 12:44 pm to 50_Tiger
The weather establishment is going to have a lot of egg on its face when this thing wipes out the Florida coast. They’ve been preaching a turn for days, lulling people into a false sense of security.
Posted on 9/1/19 at 12:45 pm to 50_Tiger
quote:
last frames finally showing a little northerly wobble!
So overall moving west nice and slow.
Wobbles N or S aren't going to have much of an impact on Florida's story. It's how far west Dorian gets.
Posted on 9/1/19 at 12:45 pm to HubbaBubba
Not saying this storm won't hit Florida but Gilbert was a different monster. Twice the size of Dorian. So big and strong it had sustained winds over 200mph and a double eye wall. The weak steering winds had no effect on it. Meteorologists said it created its own environment.
Posted on 9/1/19 at 12:46 pm to slackster
quote:
Let's do this on a relative basis for now. If Abacos is 100%, the rest are sub 5%.
That’s what I wanted- a comparative analysis of fricked.
Posted on 9/1/19 at 12:47 pm to 50_Tiger
quote:
Perfect map to judge direction.
Show me the northerly component in Dorian.
He needs one soon if hes gonna miss FL.
Don't do this shite in here. Thanks.
Posted on 9/1/19 at 12:49 pm to DVinBR
quote:
can someone explain why wilma had the same wind speed as dorian but was 882mb and dorian is 911mb
Depends on the surrounding environment. Wind speed is because of the pressure differential, so 882 in a lower pressure environment will produce similar winds as 911 in a higher pressure environment.
It also has to go with some side. Dorian is not very big.
Posted on 9/1/19 at 12:51 pm to slackster
quote:
Strongest hurricane according to modern records...and its name is Dorian. Dorian.
Wrong
Posted on 9/1/19 at 12:53 pm to 50_Tiger
quote:
looks WSW motion to me still.
Just stop.
ETA - look at the southern eyewall in the first Fram and the last frame. It's slowly gaining latitude, if anything.
This post was edited on 9/1/19 at 12:56 pm
Posted on 9/1/19 at 12:53 pm to slackster
The eye is right over Marsh Harbour right now.
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