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re: Hurricane Dorian - Headed to Canada

Posted on 9/1/19 at 12:53 pm to
Posted by purple18
Lafayette
Member since Aug 2009
1771 posts
Posted on 9/1/19 at 12:53 pm to
quote:

can someone explain why wilma had the same wind speed as dorian but was 882mb and dorian is 911mb


At the time of the 882mb reading the eye of Wilma was only 2 miles across.
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43444 posts
Posted on 9/1/19 at 12:54 pm to
quote:

slackster



Yo did you wake up on the wrong side of the bed?

Chill tf out. This is a discussion thread. Not a fricking Slackster's hangout with Hurricanes thread.
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43444 posts
Posted on 9/1/19 at 12:55 pm to
Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
79806 posts
Posted on 9/1/19 at 12:55 pm to
quote:

Strongest hurricane according to modern records...and its name is Dorian. Dorian.
Nope. Camile, Gilbert, Wilma...
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91836 posts
Posted on 9/1/19 at 12:58 pm to
quote:

Slack, so you think this will make landfall in Florida?




No, I think the fear factor in Florida should be 1/20th of what it is in Abacos until further notice.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91836 posts
Posted on 9/1/19 at 1:01 pm to
quote:

Meteorologists said it created its own environment.



They literally never said that.

The story with Gilbert is typically butchered on here.

Mets missed the ridge continuing to build over Gilbert.

For the last time, hurricanes don't control their own destiny. They're pushed about by ridges and troughs.

THERE IS NO SUCH THING AS MOMENTUM IN HURRICANES.
Posted by PT24-7
Member since Jul 2013
4582 posts
Posted on 9/1/19 at 1:01 pm to
Not a tornado, this was common here in PC. After Michael everyone was swearing a tornado went “right over my house”. No tornadoes, that was just 160+mph gust. Never forget the sight of train cars and semis stacked against each other trying to make it to my parents after the storm
Posted by Hangit
The Green Swamp
Member since Aug 2014
46752 posts
Posted on 9/1/19 at 1:02 pm to
Damn Baw. That is like getting a solid kick in the nads an hour before the fight starts.
Posted by highcotton2
Alabama
Member since Feb 2010
10509 posts
Posted on 9/1/19 at 1:02 pm to
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/1/19 at 1:03 pm to


Euro initializes with a stronger ridge vs projected on 12z yesterday. It doesn't seem to change the game very much through 48 hours. Ends up a little west of the 12z yesterday but seems pretty close to the 0z by me eyeballing it.
Posted by jlc05
Member since Nov 2005
33407 posts
Posted on 9/1/19 at 1:04 pm to
Is there a Christmas Tree in that room?
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91836 posts
Posted on 9/1/19 at 1:04 pm to
quote:

Yo did you wake up on the wrong side of the bed?

Chill tf out. This is a discussion thread. Not a fricking Slackster's hangout with Hurricanes thread.


Nah, you're just in here taking wishcasting from Storm2k and Wunderground and posting it here. Those sites suck. Stay off of them. Duke and rds won't say it, but I will.

I caught up on 15 pages of the thread since this morning and it's a bunch of unnecessary Florida hype. This storm will be within 100 or so miles of its current spot in the next 48 hours. It's about to slow to a crawl. Watching wobbles is useless. Stop the Florida hype until something changes. If you're on the east coast of Florida, stay vigilant. Nothing more, nothing less.
This post was edited on 9/1/19 at 1:06 pm
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14258 posts
Posted on 9/1/19 at 1:05 pm to
quote:

160+mph gust


That is what is hard for peole to comprehend.

Generally speaking, the force exerted by 160 mph wind is FOUR times more than 80 mph winds.

So basically 4x stronger than a solid Cat 1. Or similar damage as an EF3 tornado is possible
Posted by Hangit
The Green Swamp
Member since Aug 2014
46752 posts
Posted on 9/1/19 at 1:05 pm to
quote:

Inside of flooded house in Abaco


I don't think that big skylight was in the roof 4 hours ago. I hope those people live to tell the grandkids about it.
Posted by highcotton2
Alabama
Member since Feb 2010
10509 posts
Posted on 9/1/19 at 1:05 pm to
quote:

Is there a Christmas Tree in that room?


That’s what I was thinking.
Posted by highcotton2
Alabama
Member since Feb 2010
10509 posts
Posted on 9/1/19 at 1:06 pm to
Video from house right on the water

That was from 5 hours ago. Hope that guy is safe.
This post was edited on 9/1/19 at 1:08 pm
Posted by Tarps99
Lafourche Parish
Member since Apr 2017
12583 posts
Posted on 9/1/19 at 1:07 pm to
quote:

quote: People on wunderground are talking about a storm this size having the ability to control their own environment. They are citing Irma as an example. Hopefully this thing is steered out to see sooner than later.


I said this 3 days ago, got this stock answer.

quote:

Once again, that's not how it works. The environment controls the storm. That will never change.



Yes, there are many factors that determine where a storm is going. But the system has its own variables. So it is not that crazy that it will go where it wants.

Last night, I even heard Bryan Norcross of Andrew fame talking about Dorian eroding the high in order to make the turn. Wouldn’t that constitute my theory of storms impacting their own paths.

It is part of the same reason why you have look at previous storms and patterns to give you guidance.

Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/1/19 at 1:07 pm to
quote:

Mets missed the ridge continuing to build over Gilbert.


I suspect he probably pumped that ridge with all the latent heat he was throwing out, without doing any actual research on the subject.

quote:

THERE IS NO SUCH THING AS MOMENTUM IN HURRICANES.


There is angular momentum.

Yeah though, synoptic features do the steering.
Posted by al_cajun
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2017
2442 posts
Posted on 9/1/19 at 1:12 pm to
What are the chances of this thing actually making land fall in south Florida?
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/1/19 at 1:15 pm to
quote:

That is what is hard for peole to comprehend.


1/2mv^2
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