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Started By
Message
re: Helene - Recovery Begins...Devastating Flash Flooding in Western NC and Eastern TN
Posted on 9/23/24 at 4:20 pm to okietiger
Posted on 9/23/24 at 4:20 pm to okietiger
quote:
There are some miserable people on this.
I thought I was on Reddit for a sec
Me too
A major 24 hours off the Louisiana coast? Yeah, maybe Nashville questions arent relevant.
Three days from a projected big bend landfall?
C'mon yall.
2
Posted on 9/23/24 at 4:27 pm to Duke
Posted on 9/23/24 at 4:29 pm to stout
man I just hope it isn't as bad as it seems like it will be.
Posted on 9/23/24 at 4:30 pm to Duke
That last ICON run is really bad if you're a Tamponian. From Wxman on storm2k, "could push over 20 feet of water into Tampa Bay". It's just one run, but shite.
Posted on 9/23/24 at 4:30 pm to stout
High end cat 5 traveling 20mph inland
Posted on 9/23/24 at 4:31 pm to SlidellCajun
Alexandra has a bun in the oven and is on maternity leave. Won't be seeing her.
Posted on 9/23/24 at 4:32 pm to Duke
quote:
Three days from a projected big bend landfall?
C'mon yall.
What makes his question relevant is the hook back to the NW, taking it over that area, potentially still a TS with that 23mph movement. It's about as relevant a question as any other type of tropical impact during a landfall.
Posted on 9/23/24 at 4:35 pm to Chad504boy
Hope it doesn't affect the opening of Tampa Bay Downs in November.
Posted on 9/23/24 at 4:35 pm to stout
It’ll be interesting to see which models win out.
I don’t even know how to process an 889.
I don’t even know how to process an 889.
Posted on 9/23/24 at 4:39 pm to Oates Mustache
quote:
From Wxman on storm2k, "could push over 20 feet of water into Tampa Bay"
That’s just stupidity to even post that. 20’ surge is not going into Tampa just like the 888mb will materialize.
Edit….not you, the Wxman.
This post was edited on 9/23/24 at 4:42 pm
Posted on 9/23/24 at 4:41 pm to SippyCup
He's a very low key, seasoned professional meteorologist. If he posts something alarming like that, most people listen. He's the last guy to hype up any system. He's only referencing the ICON (one run), but if that trough kicks further east, you'll see more east adjusted tracks for future Helene.
I figured that.
quote:
Edit….not you, the Wxman.
I figured that.
This post was edited on 9/23/24 at 4:43 pm
Posted on 9/23/24 at 4:43 pm to tide06
quote:
I don’t even know how to process an 889.
That would have to be a Gulf record, right?
Posted on 9/23/24 at 4:44 pm to Oates Mustache
quote:
He's a very low key, seasoned professional meteorologist.
I get it. I know who he is. He’s trying to get everyone’s attention because this is sneaking up on many but he looks like an alarmist with that post.
Posted on 9/23/24 at 4:44 pm to stout
Pinpoint eye there on HAFSB
You just dont see that in the Gulf
Wilma had it in the WCab and Patricia in the EPac but not sure a Gulf storm has ever had it
You just dont see that in the Gulf
Wilma had it in the WCab and Patricia in the EPac but not sure a Gulf storm has ever had it
Posted on 9/23/24 at 4:44 pm to tide06
Okay, explain the xxxMb stuff to me like I'm a complete and total retard.
So, like you normally would
So, like you normally would
Posted on 9/23/24 at 4:46 pm to fr33manator
quote:
Okay, explain the xxxMb stuff to me like I'm a complete and total retard.
If the mb is below 900 you are talking about pretty much the strongest storm ever in the Atlantic Basin. Only a handful have been down there
This post was edited on 9/23/24 at 4:47 pm
Posted on 9/23/24 at 4:46 pm to Chad504boy
quote:the Icon model is significantly weaker than other models are showing. It’s showing a low end cat 2- track would be bad enough though with even ‘just’ cat 2 winds and surge.
High end cat 5 traveling 20mph inland
Posted on 9/23/24 at 4:47 pm to fr33manator
quote:
explain the xxxMb stuff to
Sub-900 is really bad.
This post was edited on 9/23/24 at 4:48 pm
Posted on 9/23/24 at 4:48 pm to Cosmo
So why are they doomcasting this horrible, rare storm again?
Any particular hard evidence?
Any particular hard evidence?
Posted on 9/23/24 at 4:48 pm to stout
I aint calling for a 5, right now.
But going over deep warm water, gonna take a deep breath in as it goes over that. Gets organized fast enough, sub 900 isnt ridiculous.
Its obvious the ceiling is extremely high on this one.
But going over deep warm water, gonna take a deep breath in as it goes over that. Gets organized fast enough, sub 900 isnt ridiculous.
Its obvious the ceiling is extremely high on this one.
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