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Message
1
Posted on 9/23/24 at 8:59 am to Cosmo
Spaghetti models have big time consensus.
Posted on 9/23/24 at 9:01 am to Cosmo
Big bend is the least populated coastal area of Florida. I suppose that’s the best place for it to hit if it must hit. I hate it for the people it does effect.
I am in no way wishcasting it on them.
I am in no way wishcasting it on them.
Posted on 9/23/24 at 9:01 am to GumboPot
quote:
Spaghetti models have big time consensus.
I'll never understand some of you people
Posted on 9/23/24 at 9:02 am to Festus
Trough will have counterclockwise winds around it. Thats to the west, so will be pushing N to NE.
Ridge has clockwise winds around it. It is to the east, so will be also pushing N to NE.
Its gonna go N to NE
Ridge has clockwise winds around it. It is to the east, so will be also pushing N to NE.
Its gonna go N to NE
Posted on 9/23/24 at 9:03 am to Cosmo
quote:
Trough to west and ridge to east
Stuck in the middle with you...
Posted on 9/23/24 at 9:04 am to Duke
Appreciate the clear explanation, both to you and Cosmos. I have a buddy in Tampa. Watching this closely. I've learned a lot from you guys.
Posted on 9/23/24 at 9:05 am to XenScott
quote:
Big bend is the least populated coastal area of Florida. I suppose that’s the best place for it to hit if it must hit. I hate it for the people it does effect.
I am in no way wishcasting it on them.
Usually the saving grace for this area storms are a bit weakened by the right side being over land. But the track of this storm is unfortunately might be the worst case path for this area of Florida. Hopefully this is a fast mover.
Posted on 9/23/24 at 9:06 am to Festus
quote:
Is there any expectation on this system, as to whether it may drift more eastern, or western, based on what's above the states
My bias is to put the track a little east. Cutoff low (trough mentioned above) may want to push a little farther east. In addition, shear from the storm in the PAC would probably push it a little east in the early going.
Posted on 9/23/24 at 9:10 am to Festus
This is Baton Rouge local weather forecaster, if it helps anyone rest a little easier, of course Francine was a little stronger then the experts predicted
Development odds listed at 90% with #97L as of 7 AM but I'd place them close to 100%. Most signs point toward a Florida threat this morning, but we'll continue to monitor.
*Some* guidance shows the potential for a major hurricane although there less confidence in that currently. There is some potential that drier air & wind shear could be in play late in the week.
Development odds listed at 90% with #97L as of 7 AM but I'd place them close to 100%. Most signs point toward a Florida threat this morning, but we'll continue to monitor.
*Some* guidance shows the potential for a major hurricane although there less confidence in that currently. There is some potential that drier air & wind shear could be in play late in the week.
Posted on 9/23/24 at 9:10 am to Costanza
quote:quote:
Spaghetti models have big time consensus.
I'll never understand some of you people
What did I do wrong?
Posted on 9/23/24 at 9:10 am to Suntiger
quote:
ending up in St. Louis? That’s really odd
Yup, definitely not normal movement. There's a low pressure that will move in to LA, the storm may want to ride that circulation up and around it a bit to the west once it's well ashore.
Posted on 9/23/24 at 9:12 am to TD422
When i think about hurricane names, helene seems like a strong 4 to me. hope i'm wrong.
Posted on 9/23/24 at 9:12 am to tarzana
quote:
Northeastern Arkansas from Forrest City to Jonesboro looks screwed in that graphic
Last one screwed them, this one would finish them off. Soybeans are already sprouting in pods due to all the rain earlier this month.
Posted on 9/23/24 at 9:16 am to beebefootballfan
I'm supposed to be in Nashville this weekend. How screwed am I? This damn storm looks like it hooks left and goes right over Tennessee this weekend. 
Posted on 9/23/24 at 9:18 am to GumboPot
RIP Carrabelle and Dog Island
Posted on 9/23/24 at 9:21 am to GumboPot
quote:
No wonder it is female storm. She gets lost after making landfall curves back before getting pushed out to sea.
Posted on 9/23/24 at 9:24 am to rds dc
Hmon just wiped tamba bay offf the face of earth
Posted on 9/23/24 at 9:25 am to Tarps99
Looks like it might get sassy in Tallahassee
Posted on 9/23/24 at 9:27 am to Tarps99
quote:
No wonder it is female storm. She gets lost after making landfall curves back before getting pushed out to sea.
That's what I'm saying. I finally get to be that guy.
But seriously, it hooks over on top of Tennessee, wth. I wonder what intensity it'll still be that far north. I was expecting some nice, cool, fall weather, not a freakin tropical system.
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