re: Helene - Recovery Begins...Devastating Flash Flooding in Western NC and Eastern TN

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Is it?

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I am being honest when I say I have no idea, but this thread has mentioned Cat 3 and 4 the last few pages.

I am just trying to figure out what is what.

Thank you

After this am and into the afternoon, the X on the NHC graph is gonna be our system, imo.

Levi with a good synopsis of what we've been talking about and watching over the past few days.

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The seedling of a tropical cyclone is likely taking shape in the western Caribbean. Low-level rotation is aggregating off the coast of Nicaragua/Honduras as an upper-level trough to the north aids large-scale deep convection (thunderstorms) in the area. Odds favor a tropical depression or storm forming east of the Yucatan Peninsula on Monday or Tuesday. The storm would likely be named #Helene.

This initial location would favor a storm track northward into the eastern half of the Gulf of Mexico as a longwave trough digs into the south-central US. Eastern #Mexico, western #Cuba, and the #CaymanIslands could see impacts on Tuesday/Wednesday, with heavy rains already spreading into the Caymans today.

The eastern gulf coast of the southeastern U.S. should be preparing for impacts from a possible hurricane spreading northward during Wednesday-Friday this week. Environmental conditions will be imperfect but will likely still favor intensification. The eventual track of this expected storm will not become clear until it actually forms in a day or two, but by that time, there may only be a couple days of time to prepare.

I'll probably begin video updates on this system Monday morning.

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The seedling of a tropical cyclone is likely taking shape in the western Caribbean.

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So the government is out there creating and fricking around with storms!

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The storm would likely be named #Helene.

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All the way down.

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Well, crap. Not looking good right now for Florida panhandle.

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people should've listened to me back on Page 6

Exactly. He shared the 12z EURO and said he wouldn’t share the 12z GFS.

Oh, but he’ll be live later.

Live look at me on mornings when I wake up and don't see relatively recent updates from RDS, Duke, Legend , or near real-time graphics from Bobby, Slack and others always sharing useful information.

To each their own but he’s really such a goober. No one should use him for important information. He has no meteorological background. He’s pretty much using the professionals information and plugging it into his website.