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re: Helene - Recovery Begins...Devastating Flash Flooding in Western NC and Eastern TN

Posted on 9/26/24 at 11:50 am to
Posted by Funky Tide 8
Bayou Chico
Member since Feb 2009
56860 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 11:50 am to
Looks like Tallahassee might dodge the brunt of it, and get the west side. That's great news.
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
26623 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 11:51 am to
quote:

The remnants will. It will be a depression interacting with another area of low pressure that formed off of the trough that has been working through the Southeast over the past couple of days. The worst flooding threat is still in the western NC/TN border area and NE GA.


That's what I was wondering as well. It does sit over Tennessee, like the Nashville area, but the rain doesn't look significant there for now.
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14289 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 11:51 am to
If you look at the last few GFS runs, landfall time has been slowing. Was around 6 PM or 7 PM CDT a few runs back. Now it is about 10 PM as you showed.

That is bad for surge because the lunar low tide is at 7:38 PM EDT in St. Marks for example. It will rise for about 3-4 hours before peak surge around landfall time.
Posted by BigBro
Member since Jul 2021
20232 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 11:52 am to

She's about to introduce herself..

G. Eye Shape & Diameter: Circular with a diameter of 55 nautical miles (63 statute miles)

That's a big eye.
This post was edited on 9/26/24 at 11:54 am
Posted by PillPusher
Gulf Coast
Member since Oct 2009
5947 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 11:53 am to
Has Florida canceled their bye week yet?
Posted by TheRouxGuru
Member since Nov 2019
14256 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 11:54 am to
We still doing Florida jokes?

That shite was old on the 10th page
Posted by DeBoersTheMan
Member since Jan 2024
1106 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 11:54 am to
checking my bingo card has "nothing burger" been used yet? I did not have poster linking to their onlyfans page so I'm hoping I can catch up with nothing burger.
Posted by MasterAbe1
Member since Oct 2016
7096 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 11:54 am to
Pretty sure nothing burger got dropped well early on
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75122 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 11:55 am to
From the NWS Atlanta's 4am discussion:

quote:

Rainfall: Yesterday`s PRE (Predecessor Rain Event) has helped saturate the soils across much of the CWA. Rainfall totals along the Interstate 85 corridor ranged from 2 to 4 inches, with some locally higher amounts ranging from 4 to 5 inches. The heavy rainfall axis is expected once again today along the Interstate 85 corridor, with amounts ranging from 3 to 5 inches, with locally higher amounts likely. With Helene moving quickly northward overnight and early Friday, the axis of heavier rainfall should shift to the NE portion of the CWA. Rainfall totals overnight will average another 2 to 4 inches, with locally higher amounts, especially in the higher elevations of NE GA. By Friday, the remnants of Helene will push off to the NW. Rainfall should begin to taper off across the area, but another one quarter of an inch to an inch is possible north of the I-20 corridor. Adding all of this up, storm total QPF for today through Friday should average another 3 to 6 inches with locally higher amounts of up to around 8 inches possible.

Winds: Winds with the remnants of Helene will be stronger than what is typical further inland due to her quick movement. The strongest winds are expected to impact the CWA this evening through Friday. For later this afternoon into the late evening, the strongest winds should mainly be south of the Interstate 20 corridor. For overnight and early Friday, areas north of the Interstate 20 corridor should see the highest winds. The wind speed/gust potential will decrease the further north the remnants of Helene moves, but wind gusts up to 70 to 80 mph can be expected well inland into northern GA.

Tornadoes: The best potential for tropical tornadoes within the outer rainbands of Helene will be mainly along and east of a line from Helen to Peachtree City to Columbus. The tornado potential will begin to increase across SE portions of the state later this afternoon and then spreading northward overnight.
Posted by Slagathor
Makin' jokes about your teeny tiny
Member since Jul 2007
38984 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 11:55 am to
quote:

MasterAbe1
you asked about Jortsvegas... are you here/there?

Posted by sicboy
Because Awesome
Member since Nov 2010
79569 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 11:55 am to
quote:

We still doing Florida jokes?

That shite was old on the 10th page


Florida jokes never get old.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75122 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 11:56 am to
quote:

G. Eye Shape & Diameter: Circular with a diameter of 55 nautical miles (63 statute miles)

That's a big eye.

Francine says that ain't shite.
Posted by Gris Gris
OTIS!NO RULES FOR SAUCES ON STEAK!!
Member since Feb 2008
49636 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 11:56 am to
There was a woman posting on a meteorologist's Facebook page that she has relatives who just moved to Carrabelle, FL recently from the Pacific Northwest. There's mandatory evacuation, but they refuse to leave. She says they are at sea leval about 2 blocks inland. It looks like surge where they are is predicted to be 10-15 feet. The guy running the page even called them to no avail. People commenting told her they need to leave as well. The woman called authorities there who said they can't make them leave, but they would call them. They still won't go. Seems there are some other family members who live elsewhere in FL telling them they don't need to leave. What are their chances? It looks to be bad there.
Posted by ArHog
Gulf Coast
Member since Jan 2008
39456 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 11:58 am to
What an idiot

You can't fix stupid.
Posted by BigBro
Member since Jul 2021
20232 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 11:59 am to

eye is closed for now and building..
Posted by RockChalkTiger
A Little Bit South of Saskatoon
Member since May 2009
11119 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 11:59 am to
Darwin in action.
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51702 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 11:59 am to
quote:

What are their chances? It looks to be bad there.

They better hope the eye goes east of there. If they get a strong onshore flow, they’ll be trapped.

This advice has become a bit cliche with hurricanes, but they probably need to write their names and SSNs on their arms.
This post was edited on 9/26/24 at 12:02 pm
Posted by gaetti15
AK
Member since Apr 2013
15292 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 11:59 am to
quote:

Seems there are some other family members who live elsewhere in FL telling them they don't need to leave. What are their chances? It looks to be bad there.


well they aren't going to be good if that's what you are asking
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75122 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 12:00 pm to
quote:

What are their chances? It looks to be bad there.

Do they have gills?
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51702 posts
Posted on 9/26/24 at 12:00 pm to
Eye is looking good on radar. It’s hard to tell given the distance from the radar, but it looks like it is getting convection fully wrapped around the eye now.

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