- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
re: Helene - Recovery Begins...Devastating Flash Flooding in Western NC and Eastern TN
Posted on 9/25/24 at 7:09 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
Posted on 9/25/24 at 7:09 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
quote:
20 foot storm surge
2
Posted on 9/25/24 at 7:09 pm to Gee Grenouille
How are yall not evacuated??
Posted on 9/25/24 at 7:09 pm to rds dc
Anyone have the latest map showing the path?
Posted on 9/25/24 at 7:09 pm to Triple Bogey
The GFS is modeling the globe and the H- ?models are modeling the storm (typically using the GFS conditions for the shear/dry air/ect.).
Posted on 9/25/24 at 7:10 pm to UncleFestersLegs
Been a steady rain in Atlanta this afternoon, ground is going to be nice and soaked prior to Friday morning.
I smell flooding…
I smell flooding…
Posted on 9/25/24 at 7:10 pm to Saku
quote:
Anyone have the latest map showing the path?
Posted on 9/25/24 at 7:11 pm to stout
quote:
Round 2 in 10 days?
Why did you post a model 2 cycles old?
Its a weak slopfest into the keys now
Posted on 9/25/24 at 7:11 pm to RIPMachoMan
MachoMan, edit that post to say its a modeled future storm and not this one.
Posted on 9/25/24 at 7:12 pm to Triple Bogey
quote:
Maybe a dumb question, but why does the GFS have it way weaker than the HWRF, HMON, and the HAFS? 960mb (GFS) to 920mb on the others. Low cat 3 or damn near a cat 5.
The GFS is not run at the same resolution as some of the regional hurricane models. It can miss the minutiae.
The GFS has Helene at 979mb by 7pm and that pressure was already surpassed, so it’s coming in stronger so far than the GFS modeled.
Posted on 9/25/24 at 7:16 pm to Gee Grenouille
quote:
well baws I'm riding it out offshore. Don't believe the news, we ain't evacuated.
That is wild, how close are you to the storm?
Posted on 9/25/24 at 7:17 pm to rds dc
Appreciate it rds.
Posted on 9/25/24 at 7:20 pm to slackster
We're clearly in an organization phase. While it didnt go over land today, it was close enough delay organizing and contracting this big arse circulation.
This needs to close off an eyewall to really cook and the last VDM had us with a spiral band. Which, better than when recon got in there earlier with no notes about eye quality at all.
To get to the high end (4,5), it needs a symmetric eyewall to most efficiently flux that heat from the ocean.
This needs to close off an eyewall to really cook and the last VDM had us with a spiral band. Which, better than when recon got in there earlier with no notes about eye quality at all.
To get to the high end (4,5), it needs a symmetric eyewall to most efficiently flux that heat from the ocean.
Posted on 9/25/24 at 7:22 pm to tiger91
quote:
How are yall not evacuated??
We work for coonasses that get made bosses to be fall guys and they don't know any better, but they do know weather better than the weather man.
That is wild, how close are you to the storm?
The storm continues to creep west, so closer every hour.
Posted on 9/25/24 at 7:22 pm to stout
quote:
Round 2 in 10 days?
frick all that
Posted on 9/25/24 at 7:23 pm to Cosmo
quote:
Why did you post a model 2 cycles old?
My bad
This post was edited on 9/25/24 at 7:24 pm
Posted on 9/25/24 at 7:23 pm to slackster
quote:
HAFS-A 18z run seemed to have a pretty good handle on where Helene is now (972mb at 7pm was the model prediction). It still got her down to 944mb and up to 140mph before landfall.
The simulated IR didn’t have a well defined eye until mid morning tomorrow on that run.
Yeah, the A does seem to be doing better short-term vs. the other 3 operational hurricane models. The other 3 get it down in the 920s.
Posted on 9/25/24 at 7:24 pm to Gee Grenouille
Wow. To say “stay safe” sounds ridiculous but geeze I don’t envy you.
Posted on 9/25/24 at 7:25 pm to stout
Well shite.
Posted on 9/25/24 at 7:26 pm to Duke
quote:
We're clearly in an organization phase. While it didnt go over land today, it was close enough delay organizing and contracting this big arse circulation.
This needs to close off an eyewall to really cook and the last VDM had us with a spiral band. Which, better than when recon got in there earlier with no notes about eye quality at all.
To get to the high end (4,5), it needs a symmetric eyewall to most efficiently flux that heat from the ocean.
There are some deeper storms firing off right near the center now.
This post was edited on 9/25/24 at 7:28 pm
Posted on 9/25/24 at 7:26 pm to tiger91
Anyone seeing that last map from south texas is going to panic
Page 120 of 310
Popular
Back to top
Follow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News