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re: Helene - Recovery Begins...Devastating Flash Flooding in Western NC and Eastern TN
Posted on 9/25/24 at 7:45 pm to jlnoles79
Posted on 9/25/24 at 7:45 pm to jlnoles79
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Damn. I’ve got a buddy who lives in Newnan that just got back from deployment. That will be a nice welcome home for him.
0
Posted on 9/25/24 at 7:50 pm to PJinAtl
Part of the forecast discussion from NWS Atlanta:
quote:
SITUATION OVERVIEW ------------------ Hurricane Helene is currently southwest of the Florida Peninsula and is forecast to track northward and accelerate over the eastern Gulf of Mexico through Thursday. Helene is forecast to become a major hurricane shortly before making landfall along the Big Bend of Florida on Thursday evening. Significant impacts are expected across the north and central Georgia Thursday and Friday with lingering flooding impacts over the weekend.
Rainfall amounts of 4 to 10 inches, with localized amounts over 12 inches, are expected. The highest amounts are expected over a wide swath paralleling I-85 into northeast Georgia from Columbus to Atlanta to Gainesville and the northeast Georgia mountains. Widespread flooding is expected with significant flash flooding and moderate to major river flooding possible.
Hurricane and tropical storm force wind gusts, potentially exceeding 70 mph, are expected to begin across the southern portion of the forecast area on Thursday evening, then spread north overnight into Friday morning and continuing into the afternoon. Given the saturated soils, widespread downing of trees and significant power outages are expected.
Prepare for an extended period of power loss! Short-lived tornadoes will also be possible across east-central Georgia Thursday evening through early Friday morning, with greatest potential for areas north and east of the track of Helene.
Helene will be an expansive system with impacts occurring well away from the storm center. Preparations should be completed well before impacts begin. The time to act is now!
POTENTIAL IMPACTS ----------------- *
FLOODING RAIN: Protect against life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible devastating impacts across portions of northeast Georgia. Potential impacts include:
- Extreme rainfall flooding may prompt numerous evacuations and rescues. - Rivers and tributaries may overwhelmingly overflow their banks in many places with deep moving water. Small streams, creeks, canals, arroyos, and ditches may become raging rivers. In mountain areas, deadly runoff may rage down valleys while increasing susceptibility to rockslides and mudslides. Flood control systems and barriers may become stressed.
- Flood waters can enter numerous structures within multiple communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed away. Numerous places where flood waters may cover escape routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of raging water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become very dangerous. Numerous road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out.
This post was edited on 9/25/24 at 7:52 pm
Posted on 9/25/24 at 7:52 pm to PJinAtl
quote:
Thankfully those Atlanta wind gusts are from one model and not an official forecast. There wouldn't be a single tree over 5 feet tall standing anywhere in the metro if that came to fruition.
I’m pretty sure those are official forecasts from the NWS.
Posted on 9/25/24 at 7:54 pm to JS87
quote:
Jim Cantore was interviewing someone in Tallahassee and some young guy ran up screaming Trump 2024 over and over till he got pulled away. In studio host Jaqui Jeras no doubt a Kamala voter was pissed. When they went back to Jim he was laughing.
I saw that. Hilarious.
Jaqui Jeras’ whiney voice drives me crazy. I have to mute the tv when she’s on TWC.
This post was edited on 9/25/24 at 7:56 pm
Posted on 9/25/24 at 7:55 pm to LegendInMyMind
So it says expected to become major shortly before landfall … does that mean maybe it won’t reach cat 4? Or not necessarily.
Posted on 9/25/24 at 7:55 pm to rds dc
They should probably move the Saints/ATL game to NOLA
Posted on 9/25/24 at 7:57 pm to tiger91
quote:
So it says expected to become major shortly before landfall … does that mean maybe it won’t reach cat 4? Or not necessarily.
I think shortly is a relative term in this case.
Posted on 9/25/24 at 7:57 pm to LegendInMyMind
Damn. I don’t believe I’ve ever seen that kind of warning that far inland… crazy.
Posted on 9/25/24 at 7:58 pm to LegendInMyMind
This would put it further to the east of me but my God if this happens
Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here.Posted on 9/25/24 at 8:00 pm to Bobby OG Johnson
Posted on 9/25/24 at 8:00 pm to jlnoles79
quote:
This would put it further to the east of me but my God if this happens
Are you staying?
Posted on 9/25/24 at 8:00 pm to tiger91
quote:
become major shortly before landfall … does that mean maybe it won’t reach cat 4? Or not necessarily.
Intensity forecast have it on the weaker end of a cat 3. Non of the models currently show a 4. Honestly though between 2 and 4 you are kinda splitting hairs. Prepare for the worst.
Posted on 9/25/24 at 8:01 pm to jlnoles79
The people I know in Talle aren’t leaving as of now. She’s asking for prayers as they have old trees around them.
Dont know them really well but damn I hope that they change their mind.
Dont know them really well but damn I hope that they change their mind.
Posted on 9/25/24 at 8:02 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
Are you staying?
Yeah I'll be on the west side so I feel comfortable staying. We road out Michael when the eye passed right over the house
Posted on 9/25/24 at 8:02 pm to LegendInMyMind
What poster said they have a buddy who lives in the woods basically and has no electricity??
Dear Lord I hope that guy will be ok. Can’t remember who posted or where exactly that the guy is located. I can’t imagine.
Dear Lord I hope that guy will be ok. Can’t remember who posted or where exactly that the guy is located. I can’t imagine.
Posted on 9/25/24 at 8:03 pm to Purple Spoon
quote:
Intensity forecast have it on the weaker end of a cat 3.
NHC forecasts a Cat. 4.
From the 4pm discussion:
quote:
The environment appears primed for significant strengthening while Helene moves across the Gulf of Mexico. The forecast track more or less runs along the axis of the Loop Current during the next 24 hours, where ocean temperatures are about 30 degrees Celsius. In addition, Helene will be moving through an environment of low vertical shear and strong upper-level divergence. Some of the Rapid Intensification (RI) indices, particular DTOPS, respond to this environment by indicating at least a 90 percent chance of a 35-kt increase in intensity over the next 24 hours. The NHC intensity forecast now shows an intensity of 115 kt (Category 4) at 24 hours, which is mirrored by several of the regional hurricane models and the SHIPS guidance. It should be noted that additional strengthening is possible beyond 24 hours before Helene makes landfall Thursday evening.
This post was edited on 9/25/24 at 8:04 pm
Posted on 9/25/24 at 8:03 pm to tiger91
quote:
The people I know in Talle aren’t leaving as of now. She’s asking for prayers as they have old trees around them.
Having grandaddy oaks around would be scary
Posted on 9/25/24 at 8:05 pm to jlnoles79
quote:
This would put it further to the east of me but my God if this happens
They been saying it will go over Tallahassee all day bud. Might want to pay attention to these things.
This post was edited on 9/25/24 at 8:07 pm
Posted on 9/25/24 at 8:05 pm to jlnoles79
quote:
Yeah I'll be on the west side so I feel comfortable staying. We road out Michael when the eye passed right over the house
I have a friend doing the same. It should be a ride. Good luck.
Posted on 9/25/24 at 8:06 pm to tiger91
quote:
The people I know in Talle aren’t leaving as of now. She’s asking for prayers as they have old trees around them.
Looking at the track that is not a smart decision. I know it’s out of your hands but maybe shoot them a text or give them a quick call before it’s too late.
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