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re: Francine - Landfall in Terrebonne Parish as CAT 2 100 mph

Posted on 9/8/24 at 2:29 pm to
Posted by kc8876
Member since May 2012
3714 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 2:29 pm to
quote:

Would suspect if this thing has any wind there's going to be a lot of uprooted trees with how soggy it is on the ground from the past week straight of rain.


Fresh take man, haven’t heard this one yet
Posted by headedwest21
Member since Dec 2016
1146 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 2:30 pm to
Hunters picking up some pretty good SFMR for this early on.
Posted by Domeskeller
Astrodome
Member since Jun 2020
9952 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 2:31 pm to
quote:

quote:
TDsngumbo

Would you just rub some dirt on your hurt vagina and stop the passive-aggressive whining?


quote:

LegendInMyMind




Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 2:31 pm to
quote:

I would kind of favor the slower consolidation but the general rule of thumb is to give less weight to the hurricane models until a center forms


Rules of thumb exist for a reason, but when the model(s) are doing what I think makes more sense, I give it more weight personally.
Posted by maisweh
Member since Jan 2014
4222 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 2:33 pm to
quote:

18z Spaghetti models still west of the operational runs

I'll take that
Posted by Meauxjeaux
102836 posts including my alters
Member since Jun 2005
46920 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 2:34 pm to
Stickied - it's on!
Posted by BottomlandBrew
Member since Aug 2010
29899 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 2:34 pm to
quote:

Long term power outages from so many toppled trees due to the soggy ground.


The 100 mile/hr winds didn't help either

shite sucked. 3 weeks at my place without power. I couch surfed the whole time.
Posted by Impotent Waffle
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2007
10129 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 2:37 pm to
We lost power for a little over 2 weeks with Gustav, good times…
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
33494 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 2:44 pm to
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
33494 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 2:45 pm to
Posted by Mr Roboto
Seattle
Member since Jan 2023
8153 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 2:47 pm to
Interesting they say “northwestern Gulf coast”

How far east along the Louisiana coast does that imply?
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21526 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 2:48 pm to
A pretty significant uptick in stronger members on the 12z ensembles.
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131579 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 2:50 pm to
NHC favoring the ensembles which are more west I reckon
Posted by SWLA92
SWLA
Member since Feb 2015
5054 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 2:52 pm to
Have you seen the 12z EPS ensembles Rds? I can’t find them
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131579 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 2:52 pm to
This post was edited on 9/8/24 at 2:54 pm
Posted by SWLA92
SWLA
Member since Feb 2015
5054 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 2:56 pm to
TVCN which is what the NHC uses for forecast track has landfall in on the TX side of the border. Big difference in the operational runs
Posted by lsugolfredman
Member since Jun 2005
1941 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 2:58 pm to


Notable uptick in eastern and stronger members
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
105303 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 3:01 pm to
Welp that settles it. Evacuating to Punta Cana.
Posted by OchoDedos
Republic of Texas
Member since Oct 2014
39931 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 3:03 pm to
Are the latest tracks shifting more to the west ?
Posted by Nguyener
Kame House
Member since Mar 2013
21057 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 3:04 pm to
What are the landfall timing predictions for this stupid thing? Any idea how this will effect air travel? I need to change my flight situation.

I am trying to get home from California with a flight currently scheduled for Wednesday evening am I better off trying to get back Tuesday night or Wednesday morning?

Before anyone says "stay where you are" I'd like to be home to help my family not watching from another state and praying theyre ok while i cant do anything.

I hate hurricane season so fricking much.
This post was edited on 9/8/24 at 3:09 pm
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