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Posted on 9/8/24 at 1:50 pm to rds dc
Posted on 9/8/24 at 1:55 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
Would suspect if this thing has any wind there's going to be a lot of uprooted trees with how soggy it is on the ground from the past week straight of rain.
Posted on 9/8/24 at 1:58 pm to friendlyobservation
That’s wishcasting according to some here.
Posted on 9/8/24 at 2:01 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
My instinct, after the past five to seven years, is to lean into the hurricane model solutions.
Even if this isnt the typical cane models stronger situation. How long does this really take to organize? It doesnt have a ton of time, even with good conditions on the coastal approach.
Even if this isnt the typical cane models stronger situation. How long does this really take to organize? It doesnt have a ton of time, even with good conditions on the coastal approach.
Posted on 9/8/24 at 2:02 pm to Tarps99
quote:
should have known. I took the bait. Getting bored watching the Saints dominate the Little Sisters of the Poor aka Carolina.
All good bro, if I was serious good looking out… ha ha
Posted on 9/8/24 at 2:04 pm to SWLA92
quote:
Usually it’s the HWRF and HMON are the aggressive models. But the HMON is showing a TS and the HWRF isn’t showing much.
Wouldn’t the hurricane models struggle right now though due to no defined CoC yet
Posted on 9/8/24 at 2:06 pm to TDsngumbo
Why? It rained almost a week straight where I live several days it was nonstop. I can't imagine that's good for a tropical system like this that has any kind of sway with their wind field.
I'm trying to cut my grass now before this comes but I can't in the low points which takes a boatload of rain to do that in my yard.
I'm trying to cut my grass now before this comes but I can't in the low points which takes a boatload of rain to do that in my yard.
This post was edited on 9/8/24 at 2:08 pm
Posted on 9/8/24 at 2:07 pm to deltaland
Yeah you’re right
Posted on 9/8/24 at 2:11 pm to TDsngumbo
quote:
TDsngumbo
Would you just rub some dirt on your hurt vagina and stop the passive-aggressive whining?
Posted on 9/8/24 at 2:15 pm to TDsngumbo
quote:
That’s wishcasting according to some here
Storm going to hit Wednesday night and some people on hete will still be screaming “wishcasting”
Posted on 9/8/24 at 2:16 pm to purple18
There is going to be a lot of surprised people tomorrow morning.
Posted on 9/8/24 at 2:19 pm to friendlyobservation
This was the case for Gustav in BR. Long term power outages from so many toppled trees due to the soggy ground.
Posted on 9/8/24 at 2:21 pm to wasteland
Yeah, I think we did 7-8 days with no power during Gustav with young kids. It sucked arse.
Posted on 9/8/24 at 2:21 pm to purple18
When is the next update?
Posted on 9/8/24 at 2:23 pm to Cosmo
quote:
HMON and HWRF still struggling with this
Very interesting. The hurricane models are much slower to combine the vort maxes and conslidate things closer to the coast. I would kind of favor the slower consolidation but the general rule of thumb is to give less weight to the hurricane models until a center forms.
Posted on 9/8/24 at 2:23 pm to Impotent Waffle
Have the PJ models been run yet?
Posted on 9/8/24 at 2:24 pm to Rebel
Not to my knowledge but brace yourself and be prepared to Hunker down
Posted on 9/8/24 at 2:27 pm to Impotent Waffle
18z Spaghetti models still west of the operational runs
This post was edited on 9/8/24 at 2:28 pm
Posted on 9/8/24 at 2:28 pm to friendlyobservation
(no message)
This post was edited on 9/8/24 at 2:29 pm
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