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Message

re: Francine - Landfall in Terrebonne Parish as CAT 2 100 mph

Posted on 9/10/24 at 8:50 pm to
Posted by tunechi
Member since Jun 2009
10577 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 8:50 pm to
quote:

Western Washington Parish


Pain
Posted by LSUfan4444
Member since Mar 2004
57069 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 8:52 pm to
quote:

Should I be worried about a couple Pine Trees in the neighbors yard?


Pine trees always make me nervous. I'm in Mandeville and have two in my yard; we've decided to go stay at a friends house in the neighborhood tomorrow night to be safe.

Pine trees can snap in winds under 60MPH so yeah, if you've got some within fall distance of your home I would be worried.
Posted by Jebadeb
Member since Oct 2017
5840 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 8:53 pm to
Been lurking this thread for days, so might as well post now.

I'm in central Louisiana so never had a major threat. Said threat has decreased since the track has shifted East.

Work closed tomorrow out of caution. Would have had to stay home tomorrow anyway because daycare is closed too (followed the school closures).

We polished off a bottle of wine and my wife (no pics) who still has to work tomorrow has decided to mop the whole house.

Currently on Tito's and crockpot buffalo chicken.

Best of luck to you baws and everyone in the danger zone.
Posted by sealawyer
Coonassganistan
Member since Nov 2012
3145 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 8:54 pm to
quote:

Pine trees can snap in winds under 60MPH so yeah, if you've got some within fall distance of your home I would be worried.


My butthole is already puckered.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 8:56 pm to
Im with the consensus that this storm is ragged and fighting some shear currently. Its running out of time, imo, to build enough of an inner core to fight the near shore shear off for any period of time.

Small core, things can happen fast, but Im in camp "cautiously optimistic" tonight.
Posted by LSUfan4444
Member since Mar 2004
57069 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 8:57 pm to
Let me say too....I think the direction of the home in relation to the pine trees should also factor in. Factor in wind direction during the highest wind speeds.

Is your home to the east of those trees? South of those trees or north of them?
Posted by Tigercowboy
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2007
5094 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 8:58 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 9/10/24 at 8:58 pm
Posted by Old Man and a Porch
Member since Dec 2023
863 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 8:59 pm to
You still feel confident with the 4:00 track that Capsrotta showed or do you think it will go farther east?
Posted by soccerfüt
Location: A Series of Tubes
Member since May 2013
74865 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 9:02 pm to
quote:

I like to brag about being an arse/legs guy but

Mannnnnnn i love boobies


Posted by SWLA92
SWLA
Member since Feb 2015
5054 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 9:06 pm to
Duke say Francine becomes a sheared mess and gets back down to a tropical storm, does that change the track or it wouldn’t matter?
Posted by CuseTiger
Member since Jul 2013
9070 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 9:08 pm to
Interesting that the airlines did operate all of their late night flights into BTR and MSY this evening due to good weather. Meaning they will operate their first flights of the day tomorrow morning before the storm hits. Most flights cancelled after around 9am from both airports tomorrow and early thursday morning flights are also cancelled as planes cannot get in tomorrow evening.
Posted by gaetti15
AK
Member since Apr 2013
15295 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 9:09 pm to
What's not really discussed by anybody (I've been watching coastal MS news for a bit) is the tornado risk and rain risk for coastal MS/AL.

The news here in coastal MS has been week. Both wlox and wxxv are essentially saying this will be nothing.

I think because of the shear people out here are lax

Posted by Havoc
Member since Nov 2015
39267 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 9:12 pm to
Posted by Armymann50
Playing with my
Member since Sep 2011
22394 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 9:12 pm to
quote:

government is pushing this storm to Louisiana


fricking bastards
Posted by 904
BR
Member since Dec 2009
1181 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 9:12 pm to
Yeah, in my very unqualified opinion this storm looks like a mess.

Just a couple hours ago ...





And now in the last 30 minutes, looks like some dry air has reached around and found its way into the eyewall (if you can call it that) again




Hopefully it continues to be a mess
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75150 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 9:13 pm to
quote:

What's not really discussed by anybody (I've been watching coastal MS news for a bit) is the tornado risk and rain risk for coastal MS/AL.

You'll have some tornado risk, but it will likely be limited along wherever the warm front sets up, and is in a narrow corridor. SPC has a Slight Risk with a 5% Tor probability. The news should mention it, but I don't know how much beyond "We will watch any bands or storms......"
This post was edited on 9/10/24 at 9:14 pm
Posted by RT1980
Member since Sep 2020
208 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 9:13 pm to
Where did you read this? Have a flight at 10 am and still showing on time as of now
Posted by tunechi
Member since Jun 2009
10577 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 9:14 pm to
We went from arguing over “my hurricane is worse than your hurricane” to arguing over fricking degree credentials. Christ
Posted by alphaandomega
Tuscaloosa-Here to Serve
Member since Aug 2012
17135 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 9:15 pm to
quote:

Duke say Francine becomes a sheared mess and gets back down to a tropical storm, does that change the track or it wouldn’t matter?


And would the storm reducing in strength mean less storm surge?
Posted by BilJ
Member since Sep 2003
162915 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 9:15 pm to
Francine is getting her arse whipped
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