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Message

re: Francine - Landfall in Terrebonne Parish as CAT 2 100 mph

Posted on 9/10/24 at 9:08 am to
Posted by ragincajun03
Member since Nov 2007
29229 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 9:08 am to
quote:

Your gut feeling is wrong!!


Believe me, I hope it is selfishly, because this past Sunday morning I opted to push back my trip to the camp (Grand Isle) another week.

That was a last second decision before I knew of this possibility of a damn hurricane. Now it’s looking like next week might be a lot of cleanup. Those people who live down there certainly don’t need this. No one does.
Posted by DVinBR
Member since Jan 2013
15761 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 9:08 am to
i feel it will be a very subtle change from the existing cone if you look at the blend of ensembles
Posted by lsugolfredman
Member since Jun 2005
1941 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 9:08 am to
HRRR run, 12z. While not an accurate model for tropical purposes, its track seems reasonable here. Wallops SELA.



Accompanying wind gust projection.


This post was edited on 9/10/24 at 9:11 am
Posted by BeeFense5
Kenner
Member since Jul 2010
42469 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 9:09 am to
quote:

Then it jogged west, then back east and with the NHC 7am model, right back about where it was a day ago.


The track isn’t changed at 7am updates. Everyone is seeing what has changed from the 4am track with the new model info.
Posted by TH03
Mogadishu
Member since Dec 2008
172004 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 9:09 am to
you're looking at 39-57mph winds most likely, as of now.
Posted by OysterPoBoy
City of St. George
Member since Jul 2013
44922 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 9:09 am to
quote:

What's funny is that there's a ton of regulars like me that post in these threads long before anything significant is even happening. Just a bunch of weather geeks shitposting about the weather.

Then these no name posters invade the thread and demand seriousness from the people that keep the thread alive. They can go give themselves sandpaper and Tabasco hand jobs.


Thank you. It's tough being a first pager and having these idiots come in and say you don't know what you're talking about.
Posted by geauxtigers87
Louisiana
Member since Mar 2011
27431 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 9:09 am to
quote:

Wallops SELA.


easy, some people get very testy when you point this out
Posted by Oswald
South of the St. George Buffer Zone
Member since Aug 2011
4394 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 9:09 am to
quote:

Yesterday he was in Moran city

Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
476983 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 9:09 am to
quote:

my office is on the north side of it




Your office is in the Marco Hotel?
Posted by SulphursFinest
Lafayette
Member since Jan 2015
11701 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 9:10 am to
Looking more and more like we aren’t going to ride out crew in Lake Charles
Posted by JohnnyKilroy
Cajun Navy Vice Admiral
Member since Oct 2012
41093 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 9:10 am to
quote:

let real, necessary information flow


I see a ton of posts like this in these threads. What information isn't getting through?
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
111497 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 9:10 am to
quote:

you're looking at 39-57mph winds most likely, as of now.


Far less than Ida, so the tight corner method will be applied
Posted by LSUfanNkaty
LC, Louisiana
Member since Jan 2015
11962 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 9:10 am to
quote:

Your office is in the Marco Hotel?


Shhhh
Posted by TH03
Mogadishu
Member since Dec 2008
172004 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 9:11 am to
good news is that model shows the dry air eroding the southern eyewall right before landfall as Levi spoke about yesterday so you do see some weakening there
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
476983 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 9:11 am to
You must be the boss of those women stout was posting about the other night
Posted by LSUfanNkaty
LC, Louisiana
Member since Jan 2015
11962 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 9:11 am to
quote:

You must be the boss of those women stout was posting about the other night


I can neither confirm or deny
Posted by LSUfan4444
Member since Mar 2004
57069 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 9:12 am to
quote:

Everyone is seeing what has changed from the 4am track with the new model info.


I understand...which is right where it was 24 hours ago. People need to stop overreacting. It's moved both ways the last 24 hours.
Posted by VermilionTiger
Member since Dec 2012
39221 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 9:12 am to
quote:

Yesterday at this time we were looking at landfall east of Lake Charles, Cat 1 or 2. Then it jogged west, then back east and with the NHC 7am model, right back about where it was a day ago.


Full of shite

The 7am updates are wind
Posted by GeorgeTheGreek
Sparta, Greece
Member since Mar 2008
69188 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 9:12 am to
People come in here pretending they don’t want a bad storm. It’s comical.
Posted by Cowboyfan89
Member since Sep 2015
13047 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 9:13 am to
quote:

People act like someone hoping a storm will go somewhere actually has an effect.

Is if that, or is it just that it comes off as insensitive to "wish" a storm on someone else in an effort of self preservation?

Obviously no one can wish a storm onto another, but that doesn't change the perceived message--frick you, you should share in everyone else's misery.

I just don't see the point in posts like that.
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