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Started By
Message
re: Francine - Landfall in Terrebonne Parish as CAT 2 100 mph
Posted on 9/10/24 at 6:17 am to Sus-Scrofa
Posted on 9/10/24 at 6:17 am to Sus-Scrofa
I’m walking up to people saying Hammond/Northshore target zone but where is this data coming from? Just trying to see it for myself. People just seeing a few early morning models pushing the possible path east of BR?
6
Posted on 9/10/24 at 6:20 am to HottyToddy7
quote:
Hammond/Northshore target zone
Yall are like 150 miles away from landfall. Everyone here is sating terrebonne as the target.
Posted on 9/10/24 at 6:20 am to HottyToddy7
Someone make this go away
Posted on 9/10/24 at 6:23 am to HottyToddy7
Basically, until the experts weigh in, the track hasn’t changed much but there is a concern for a likely eastward turn.
Posted on 9/10/24 at 6:23 am to HottyToddy7
The OT woke up haywire. The GFS continues to model east of the NHC, which is giving people anxiety.
Its certainly possible, but it seems like we’re jumping the gun.
Its certainly possible, but it seems like we’re jumping the gun.
Posted on 9/10/24 at 6:24 am to maisweh
The 06z hurricane models are coming in with St Mary coastline landfall but the official NHC Track is still Iberia parish.
The 10 am NHC update will obviously be important for whether the professionals agree with model trends and shift track eastward.
The 10 am NHC update will obviously be important for whether the professionals agree with model trends and shift track eastward.
This post was edited on 9/10/24 at 6:25 am
Posted on 9/10/24 at 6:26 am to Brobocop
Radar GIF in OP, you can really see the dry air being sucked in. Good sign.
Posted on 9/10/24 at 6:26 am to TrigSwig
He’s not being sensitive, you’re throwing out baseless, fear mongering bullshite opinions. “A week with no power in my opinion”. fricking stupid thing to say when lots of people are worried enough already. frick off.
Posted on 9/10/24 at 6:26 am to Swagga
quote:
The OT woke up haywire. The GFS continues to model east of the NHC, which is giving people anxiety. Its certainly possible, but it seems like we’re jumping the gun.
WWL’s Malone just said he expects the 10am update to move the track East.
Posted on 9/10/24 at 6:27 am to NorthEndZone
The 06z Euro is running. Like said previously the NHC seems to take the Euro more so than the GFS for some reason
Posted on 9/10/24 at 6:28 am to Swagga
quote:
The OT woke up haywire. The GFS continues to model east of the NHC, which is giving people anxiety.
NHC moved east overnight.
Posted on 9/10/24 at 6:29 am to HottyToddy7
quote:I think the official track has been west of the models for a while now.
People just seeing a few early morning models pushing the possible path east of BR?
Posted on 9/10/24 at 6:29 am to Brobocop
Can we please ban these clowns? Some people use this thread for legitimate information and could do without the bullshite.
Posted on 9/10/24 at 6:29 am to OceanMan
Yep
Easterly move in coming
Appears about the whole state is going to feel the effects at this point.
Easterly move in coming
Appears about the whole state is going to feel the effects at this point.
This post was edited on 9/10/24 at 6:41 am
Posted on 9/10/24 at 6:31 am to HottyToddy7
quote:
I’m walking up to people saying Hammond/Northshore target zone but where is this data coming from?
All the trusted models are East of the forest track.
This post was edited on 9/10/24 at 6:33 am
Posted on 9/10/24 at 6:32 am to SlidellCajun
I was laughed off board when I said Houma, Metairie and Mandeville. We will see.
Posted on 9/10/24 at 6:32 am to MOT
quote:
I think the official track has been west of the models for a while now.
At what point does the NHC cave to almost every model?
Posted on 9/10/24 at 6:32 am to MOT
quote:
I think the official track has been west of the models for a while now.
It has and for like the 800th time, Louisiana has ~40kt of sheer at its coast line. If you arent in the 30 mi radius of the eye your bigger problems will be the associated tornado outbreak more than the damn hurricane.
Posted on 9/10/24 at 6:34 am to TDsngumbo
Cantore is in Morgan City so the move east was foretold
Posted on 9/10/24 at 6:35 am to shadyone2
quote:
I was laughed off board when I said Houma, Metairie and Mandeville. We will see.
A few Mets called this a couple days ago and this board was having none of it.
The NHC kept saying they had low confidence in their forecast.
Now good data is coming in so they can hone in.
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