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re: Francine - Landfall in Terrebonne Parish as CAT 2 100 mph

Posted on 9/10/24 at 6:35 am to
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
182361 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 6:35 am to
quote:

WWL’s Malone just said he expects the 10am update to move the track East.



This thing might wind up in Lake Pontchartrain as much as the models keep shifting it and I'm only half joking about that
Posted by maisweh
Member since Jan 2014
4222 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 6:35 am to
quote:

It has and for like the 800th time, Louisiana has ~40kt of sheer at its coast line.

I've seen RDS and others mention it, but they mention it a whole lot less than a bunch of randoms on here so I'm assuming it's alot less important than you're making it
This post was edited on 9/10/24 at 6:36 am
Posted by MOT
Member since Jul 2006
31012 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 6:35 am to
quote:

Yall are like 150 miles away from landfall. Everyone here is sating terrebonne as the target.
They aren’t saying it because they expect landfall to occur there, everyone knows it’s inland. The potential Terrebonne landfall brings the Ham/NS area much closer to the center once inland than the current track, that’s all people are saying.
This post was edited on 9/10/24 at 6:38 am
Posted by VermilionTiger
Member since Dec 2012
39218 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 6:36 am to
quote:

I was laughed off board when I said Houma, Metairie and Mandeville. We will see


You also had nothing but a “hunch” to go off of. Forgive the OT for not not bending the knee to your uneducated guess

You are the exact type of poster who shouldn’t be posting in this thread
Posted by iron banks
Destrehan
Member since Jul 2014
4259 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 6:36 am to
Based on what I just saw at the Metairie Walmart Francine is east bound and down.
Posted by Thib-a-doe Tiger
Member since Nov 2012
36763 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 6:36 am to
quote:

WWL’s Malone just said he expects the 10am update to move the track East.



frick Post Malone, he don’t know shite about hurricanes
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 6:37 am to
quote:

was laughed off board when I said Houma, Metairie and Mandeville. We will see.


Because you said you had a bowel movement that caused you to think this way.

A gut feeling is useless.
Posted by OceanMan
Member since Mar 2010
23216 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 6:38 am to
quote:

If you arent in the 30 mi radius of the eye your bigger problems will be the associated tornado outbreak more than the damn hurricane.


Yes, that’s always a big threat. Not sure why the Lol
Posted by BOSCEAUX
Where the Down Boys go.
Member since Mar 2008
52404 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 6:38 am to
The angle of attack on this frick is going to probably affect the entire coastal area of the state. Why there are still hurricane warnings outside of the westerly side of the cone.
Posted by loogaroo
Welsh
Member since Dec 2005
42364 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 6:38 am to
quote:

This thing might wind up in Lake Pontchartrain as much as the models keep shifting it and I'm only half joking about that


Wouldn’t surprise me. It’s a serious possibility. Many don’t want to hear though.
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43295 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 6:38 am to
Looks like Recon found the center near 96.6 or 96.7 Degress west. For reference at 4am they have it at 96.2 W
Posted by Chicken
Jackassistan
Member since Aug 2003
27472 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 6:39 am to
That's not good for Donz
Posted by choupiquesushi
yaton rouge
Member since Jun 2006
35076 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 6:39 am to
quote:

quote:
Why hasn’t parish presidents recognized this and prepared better to have extra necessities available before and after storms?!


Private consumers are wiping the shelves clean at Walmart. Could you imagine what it would look like if the parish government was handing out cases of bottled water before a storm that nobody knows when, where and how strong it will be? And how do you know “necessities” won’t be handed out after the storm?
this and the govt aint nobodies daddy
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 6:41 am to
Getting some lightning in the eyewall on radar. Allegedly a sign of strengthening but this storm presentation is still ragged.

That being said, the convection around the center is picking up in earnest the last hour or so.
Posted by STEVED00
Member since May 2007
23159 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 6:41 am to
quote:

GFS new run puts Northshore/Hammond/Houma in bullseye. Latoya may even get hit pretty good.


Obviously I’m no expert but the models spread out a good bit on the latest run.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50753 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 6:42 am to
Not to be a buzzkill here but look at the NWS forecast for Baton Rouge tomorrow.

Posted by JW6
Member since Jul 2013
1729 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 6:42 am to
This a week cat 2. We okay guys
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 6:43 am to
Recon in there now. Pressure looks unchanged from the midnight pass. Will have a couple planes in there most of the morning so if the strengthening begins we’ll get a pretty good grasp on it.
Posted by lostinbr
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Oct 2017
12846 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 6:43 am to
quote:

What’s scarier than this pathetic system is the fear mongering. All the Walmarts are completely empty of all brands of water. Thats not the most surprising thing as people want to be prepared for a couple weeks. Why hasn’t parish presidents recognized this and prepared better to have extra necessities available before and after storms?!

What exactly is it that you think the “parish presidents” should be doing? And which parishes?
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50753 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 6:43 am to
quote:

Looks like Recon found the center near 96.6 or 96.7 Degress west. For reference at 4am they have it at 96.2 W

Recon is just south of Terrebonne Parish on their way to the storm right now. I'm looking at the recon data on tidbits.com.


Edit: apparently I'm looking at old data.
This post was edited on 9/10/24 at 6:45 am
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