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re: Francine - Landfall in Terrebonne Parish as CAT 2 100 mph

Posted on 9/9/24 at 12:44 pm to
Posted by X123F45
Member since Apr 2015
29829 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 12:44 pm to
quote:

have tons of plastic gas cans if anyone in the costco area needs to borrow them instead of buying them.


Idk about tons, but I grabbed a few race cans from friendly on airline on friday. They didn't have many, but the guy said he was hoping more were in today.

Went by today and they were closed?

The cans are the ones without the safety vent.
Posted by SWLA92
SWLA
Member since Feb 2015
5054 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 12:45 pm to
12z Euro takes it slightly west of Intracoastal City at around 978mb. That’s pretty much exactly where the 00z run was but this was a tad stronger by 5mb
Posted by LSUTiger23
Madisonville, LA
Member since Jun 2010
1354 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 12:45 pm to
quote:

12z Euro running now


Looks to be in agreement with current track but has it as a low end Cat 2.
Posted by SWLA92
SWLA
Member since Feb 2015
5054 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 12:46 pm to
To me the rainfall isn’t as aggressive either as past runs
Posted by lsugolfredman
Member since Jun 2005
1941 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 12:47 pm to
Yep, almost zero change from prior runs.



Posted by Sev09
Nantucket
Member since Feb 2011
15839 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 12:48 pm to
Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
79985 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 12:48 pm to
quote:

12z Euro running now
Shouldn't that be 18z? Zulu is 5 hours ahead, right?
This post was edited on 9/9/24 at 12:50 pm
Posted by Meauxjeaux
102836 posts including my alters
Member since Jun 2005
46919 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 12:48 pm to
quote:

The right crowd is with me at Pat's RAW

I thought that was more a restaurant environment versus a hangout bar? Have been there a few times to eat but the bar area seems small.

Sorry for the off topic just passing the time.


The little bar on the right side is pretty dang cool
Posted by SelaTiger
Member since Aug 2016
21833 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 12:50 pm to
The stores are crazy now and only going to get worse. Gas stations too. Bunch of people panicking.
Posted by Gotabyte
Slidell
Member since Feb 2020
305 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 12:51 pm to
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Francine Intermediate Advisory Number 4A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062024
100 PM CDT Mon Sep 09 2024

...FRANCINE STRONGER AND BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED...
...PREPARATIONS ALONG THE LOUISIANA COAST SHOULD BE UNDERWAY...

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.7N 95.8W
ABOUT 180 MI...285 KM SSE OF MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE
ABOUT 450 MI...720 KM SSW OF CAMERON LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.41 INCHES
Posted by choupiquesushi
yaton rouge
Member since Jun 2006
35079 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 12:53 pm to
quote:

that the levee there would be overtopped, not by rain
rain water in NOLA doesn't drain into river
Posted by igoringa
South Mississippi
Member since Jun 2007
12397 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 12:53 pm to
1pm says 95.8 w? If so that was quite jog compared to initial track
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43295 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 12:54 pm to
None of the hurricane models are good news for Louisiana
Posted by Bigfishchoupique
Member since Jul 2017
9607 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 12:54 pm to
quote:

Jim Cantore and colleagues =douche bags to the 10 power.
Posted by Sev09
Nantucket
Member since Feb 2011
15839 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 12:55 pm to
BR gonna get “right-sided” on this one. Power loss guaranteed.
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43295 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 12:56 pm to

Already building an eyewall whic is open on the west side. Not good news
This post was edited on 9/9/24 at 12:57 pm
Posted by lsugolfredman
Member since Jun 2005
1941 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 12:56 pm to
Adding to the power loss post above, here is the 12z GFS Surface Winds Gust frame.

Note that this is represented in knots, not MPH.

Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75157 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 12:57 pm to
All kinds of satellite frickery so far with this one. Glitches everywhere with GOES-16 data. What a pain in the arse.
Posted by Mr Roboto
Seattle
Member since Jan 2023
8153 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 12:58 pm to
So hurricane force gusts in the Br area?
Posted by WestCoastAg
Member since Oct 2012
150142 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 12:58 pm to
Poor new iberia
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