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re: Edinburgh/MIT scientists to announce evidence for life in Venus’ atmosphere
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:31 am to AUCE05
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:31 am to AUCE05
quote:
TL;DR life in the universe progresses, but is always stopped by some event, never allowing it to hit a max potential. Some people claim it is the reason why we can't see evidence of life around other planets.
So it is just a reference to the extreme difficulty for life to get to interstellar / far future humanity science fiction levels?
Do that view it as a law that such a filter MUST and ALWAYS stops life? Or just referencing to the low odds of a single form of life advancing to that level.
Because the latter seems completely reasonable and lines up with one of my biggest problems with the "Look how many stars there are" analysis of whether or not highly intelligent life exists out there.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 9:35 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
The universe may offer a bigger variety of ways to try to destroy us than we may have previously estimated? Unawareness of of these threats is than the illusion of safety; it's a bar to do anything about them.
Venus seems like a planet sized stomach. A giant high pressure toxic chemical vat, we have life-like things besides bacteria that thrive in guts, most mammals do. It's not crazy to think they might develop elsewhere.
Venus seems like a planet sized stomach. A giant high pressure toxic chemical vat, we have life-like things besides bacteria that thrive in guts, most mammals do. It's not crazy to think they might develop elsewhere.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 10:24 am to Sneaky__Sally
It is more philosophy than a scientific fact. If you try and understand scale, it is obvious why we haven't found life yet. Ignoring physical travel, we can't even look out well. Our telescopes are very basic in the grand scheme of things.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 10:42 am to AUCE05
If there is life there, it could have come from earth. Microbes can survive being flung out into space from an asteroid impact.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 10:59 am to Sneaky__Sally
quote:
Sneaky__Sally
Those are good questions, I think. Could the "filter" not just be preventing intelligent species from reaching each other?
In the things I've read about the filter-after-where-we-are, there's this assumption that, even absent faster-than-light travel, species will branch out gradually to new habitable worlds, or terraform them, and we'll start bumping into each other.
That's a hell of an assumption, I think, given the size of the universe. And I fail to see how an intelligent species would ever make it to a second galaxy, absent something that would probably smell like pseudoscience if you tried to describe it.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 11:20 am to Sneaky__Sally
quote:
So it is just a reference to the extreme difficulty for life to get to interstellar / far future humanity science fiction levels?
Do that view it as a law that such a filter MUST and ALWAYS stops life? Or just referencing to the low odds of a single form of life advancing to that level.
Because the latter seems completely reasonable and lines up with one of my biggest problems with the "Look how many stars there are" analysis of whether or not highly intelligent life exists out there.
It's really just one of several high-level theories to explain the Fermi paradox. If you aren't familiar, the Fermi paradox is basically the following question: "if it is statistically likely that life exists outside of Earth, why is there no evidence of alien civilizations?"
The "Great Filter" theory suggests that we don't see signs of advanced alien civilizations because they are exceedingly rare or don't exist at all. But there are many other plausible explanations for the Fermi paradox:
- Mass colonization throughout the galaxy is not economically feasible, even for a highly advanced alien civilization.
- Advanced alien civilizations don't want to be found.
- Alien civilizations are so different from humans that we aren't capable of recognizing signs of their existence/communication.
- Our technology simply isn't advanced enough to detect the signs of intelligent life.
One thing about the paradox I find interesting is that we, as humans, tend to be pretty presumptuous. For example - since we would likely colonize the galaxy and actively search for extraterrestrial intelligence if we had the technology to do so, we assume that other alien species would do the same. But the reality is that we don't have the technology to colonize the galaxy, and we have no idea how our views as a species might change once we reach that point.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 11:28 am to Diseasefreeforall
quote:
If there is life there, it could have come from earth. Microbes can survive being flung out into space from an asteroid impact.
So Venus could have dinosaurs?
Posted on 9/14/20 at 11:35 am to beerJeep
quote:
Not really. “Simple life” could be prokaryotic and not eukaryotic with the great filter being the jump to eukaryotic life.
That's where I fall on this. As our imaging and analysis technology improves we are going to find there are prokaryotes everywhere. We are going to find that the great filter is in the jump to becoming eukaryotic.
They only thing that makes me question that maybe the filter is ahead of us is that there are some eight million seven hundred thousand species on Earth that have made that jump, largely independently. It's possible there are thousands or millions of other human level intelligences out there, but something kills them off before they can reach interplanetary or interstellar communication or travel. We aren't able to find them, and they can't find us yet.
My bet is either self destruction through nuclear level war or some kind of interplanetary event. Planet killing asteroid or solar event kind of stuff.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 11:43 am to USMEagles
quote:
Those are good questions, I think. Could the "filter" not just be preventing intelligent species from reaching each other?
In the things I've read about the filter-after-where-we-are, there's this assumption that, even absent faster-than-light travel, species will branch out gradually to new habitable worlds, or terraform them, and we'll start bumping into each other.
That's a hell of an assumption, I think, given the size of the universe. And I fail to see how an intelligent species would ever make it to a second galaxy, absent something that would probably smell like pseudoscience if you tried to describe it.
Most of the arguments around the Great Filter, Fermi paradox, and Drake equation are limited to the Milky Way galaxy, presumably for that reason.
That said, the Milky Way is estimated to be about 200,000 light years in diameter. Even at 5% of the speed of light, it would take about 4 million years to travel from one side of the galaxy to the other. There are stars in the galaxy that are thought to be nearly 13 billion years old. Meaning an advanced civilization in one of these star systems could have crossed the galaxy over 3,000 times by now - even if they never exceeded 5% of the speed of light.
If you agree with Drake's original conclusion that there are between 1,000 and 100,000,000 planets with civilizations in the galaxy, it's not that much of a leap to expect them to bump into each other.
Here's the thing, to your original point - if you think that it's unlikely any civilization would last long enough for them to start bumping into each other, then that does kind of play into the filter hypotheses.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 11:45 am to cgrand
quote:
the Atcama Large Millimeter Array in Chile.
Been there... very large place out on the middle of no where.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 11:50 am to TigerFanatic99
quote:
They only thing that makes me question that maybe the filter is ahead of us is that there are some eight million seven hundred thousand species on Earth that have made that jump, largely independently. It's possible there are thousands or millions of other human level intelligences out there, but something kills them off before they can reach interplanetary or interstellar communication or travel. We aren't able to find them, and they can't find us yet.
There's also the "water world hypothesis", which is (somewhat) supported by life on Earth. The idea is basically that it takes a water world to spawn life, but that it takes land-based evolution to evolve toward civilization. In other words, look at dolphins and whales as examples of highly evolved species that have not developed civilizations because they never left the ocean.
It's really just another version of the rare-Earth hypothesis, with the added caveat that not only do you need liquid water - you also need continental land masses.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 11:57 am to lostinbr
Lot of assumptions there. It is feasible that traveling that distance is not possible, even to the most advanced beings. Even of it is, the only real driver would be resources. But why travel that far if you have metal, etc in your own solar system? Distance alone is more than likely why we haven't seen any evidence of advanced civilization. Look up the photo "Pale Blue Dot." You can start to realize what we are up against. And our technology has trouble analyzing G2 type stars, which would be the prime elements for similar environments as ours.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 12:00 pm to beerJeep
quote:
Not really. “Simple life” could be prokaryotic and not eukaryotic with the great filter being the jump to eukaryotic life.
Yea but we have evidence of that happening multiple independent times on this planet alone so it can’t be that rare.
The other poster is right, if true this isn’t good news. It means that we have yet to reach some barrier that prevents a species from becoming interstellar. Otherwise, why don’t we see evidence of advanced life everywhere?
Posted on 9/14/20 at 1:26 pm to AUCE05
quote:
Lot of assumptions there. It is feasible that traveling that distance is not possible, even to the most advanced beings.
I don’t disagree. Personally, I think the most likely answer to the Fermi paradox is a combination of factors. In other words, there is no “Great Filter.” Rather, there are a bunch of “moderate” filters, some of which are ahead of us, which have prevented species from colonizing the galaxy to an extent that would allow us to detect them easily. Combined with an overestimation of our ability to understand and detect intelligent alien life.
quote:
Even of it is, the only real driver would be resources. But why travel that far if you have metal, etc in your own solar system?
My only counter to this would be that you still have to have a habitable planet. There have already been multiple mass extinction events on Earth, so how long can any civilization be expected to last without interstellar colonization? At a minimum, I would think they’d have to master interplanetary colonization, to the point of being able to sustain the species without a home planet.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 1:47 pm to Diseasefreeforall
quote:
If there is life there, it could have come from earth. Microbes can survive being flung out into space from an asteroid impact.
We have crashed instruments/probes onto Venus' surface as far back as 1970 (estimate). So we could have accidentally contaminated the planet as well.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 1:48 pm to Tigerstark
quote:
We have crashed instruments/probes onto Venus' surface as far back as 1970 (estimate). So we could have accidentally contaminated the planet as well.
no
those terran microbes have evolved in a completely different way and survive under completely different environmental circumstances
Posted on 9/14/20 at 1:59 pm to USMEagles
quote:
quote:
Sneaky__Sally
Those are good questions, I think. Could the "filter" not just be preventing intelligent species from reaching each other?
In the things I've read about the filter-after-where-we-are, there's this assumption that, even absent faster-than-light travel, species will branch out gradually to new habitable worlds, or terraform them, and we'll start bumping into each other.
That's a hell of an assumption, I think, given the size of the universe. And I fail to see how an intelligent species would ever make it to a second galaxy, absent something that would probably smell like pseudoscience if you tried to describe it.
And humanity is not doing a pristine job of indicating it knows how to control its momentum in a manner that would be conducive for long term / continued advancement. I think we are seeing more and more that not only are there huge obstacles in terms of just the violence of space, but also in how an intelligent species conducts itself that inhibits advancement to the sort of super intelligent beings we think of in these kinds of conversations
This post was edited on 9/14/20 at 2:01 pm
Posted on 9/14/20 at 2:03 pm to Mohican
quote:
We ain’t heard shite.
Maybe just maybe it was never swamp gas or weather balloons.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 2:19 pm to saturday
For more on the Drake Equation, the Great Filter and the Fermi thing, etc. there is a pretty good 20 minute clip on You Tube entitled Are We Alone by Aperture.
I found it a very understandable video about a complex topic. Highly recommend.
Also recommend Aperture’s short videos entitled Shower Thoughts that are funny and thought provoking. Very fast paced.
I found it a very understandable video about a complex topic. Highly recommend.
Also recommend Aperture’s short videos entitled Shower Thoughts that are funny and thought provoking. Very fast paced.
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