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Message

Does anyone see light at the end of the tunnel?
Posted on 3/21/20 at 3:31 pm
Posted on 3/21/20 at 3:31 pm
Man we need some good news. This shite just brings me down
Posted on 3/21/20 at 3:35 pm to Dale Doubak
Yes, essentially...this, too, shall pass.
Hold in there!
Hold in there!
Posted on 3/21/20 at 3:37 pm to Dale Doubak
quote:
Does anyone see light at the end of the tunnel?
April 4th.
If the hospitals in your area aren't completely overwhelmed by then, you may be hitting the plateau. Of the people who are requiring hospital care, it occurs an average of 21-23 days after contracting the virus. The severe social distancing didn't really start in most areas until March 14-15. So the weekend of April 4th may be when we know if we are going more like South Korea or more like Italy/China.
The number of those testing positive is not very useful right now. It's still not very good data - not everyone that is ill qualifies for testing, and many people who showed minor symptoms never bothered seeking medical treatment. More still may have had this come and go
with almost no symptoms before the public was really aware of it.
The important numbers aren't easy to find - that's the Coronavirus related traffic in our hospitals and ICU's.
IMO, if the April 4th traffic in the hospitals are approximately what they will be on March 28th, I would see that as evidence that we are flattening the curve. We should know by then if this will last to May or into mid/late April.
This post was edited on 3/21/20 at 3:43 pm
Posted on 3/21/20 at 3:38 pm to Dale Doubak
Rub one out. Get that post nut clarity and have a beer. It’s gonna be ok baw.
Posted on 3/21/20 at 3:39 pm to RummelTiger
Thanks guys. Maybe it’s just the media never posting anything good or positive lately. I did get drunk alone last night and just listened to outlaw country and had me some fun
Posted on 3/21/20 at 3:40 pm to Dale Doubak
Yes, the Washington state numbers are getting better.
Posted on 3/21/20 at 3:40 pm to Dale Doubak
Dude, do yourself a favor and don't watch the news, keep up with this on a regular basis, etc. Just find some other things to keep you occupied and the more you stay away from this the more you will find that its healthier for you mentally.
Posted on 3/21/20 at 3:41 pm to Dale Doubak
I see light at the end of April based on timelines and outbreak curves of foreign countries and provinces considering their density and population as compared to ours.
Posted on 3/21/20 at 3:43 pm to RummelTiger
quote:
Hold in there!
Haven't heard this since we were trying to have kids and I instinctively tried to pull out the first time.
Posted on 3/21/20 at 3:44 pm to Tbonepatron
quote:I need a massage so badly, but even if open, I can't bring myself to visit a Chinese massage shop right now.
Rub one out.
Posted on 3/21/20 at 3:45 pm to Dale Doubak
quote:
Maybe it’s just the media never posting anything good or positive lately.
If the media posted positive news, you’d feel relieved and go about your affairs. The negative news compels you to follow more closely, constantly seeking that ray of hope. So if you are looking for positive news on this crisis, you will be hard-presses to find it and not because it isn’t out there. Positive news doesn’t feed the cycle consumption.
Stay safe. Take care of yourself.
Posted on 3/21/20 at 3:45 pm to Dale Doubak
quote:
Man we need some good news. This shite just brings me down
After the jobless claims number comes out Thursday. It’s going to be awful.
Posted on 3/21/20 at 3:46 pm to RummelTiger
quote:
Yes, essentially...this, too, shall pass.
Posted on 3/21/20 at 3:47 pm to Dale Doubak
Whether a few weeks or a few months, it’s only temporary. There will be a vaccine out this time next year.
Between now and then these pain in the arse measures will be effective and save lives. Hopefully as more data comes in about how this is affecting our country and who exactly is most at risk, we can see things move back to normal and protect those who will be most vulnerable. I do not envy those who live in New York or other huge population centers because they will get it the worst and take the longest to resume normal life. For those of us in flyover country I truly feel things will be kicking back into gear sooner than the more negative among us would lead you believe.
Don’t let the spike in “new” cases terrify you because the testing has only just ramped up. Don’t let the positive test rate scare you more than it should either because many places are now only testing the at risk population who are showing symptoms to save materials. It is bad, no doubt, but not as bad as many people are saying. It will be a blip in most of our memories in 5 years.
ETA: the best minds in the world are working 20 hour days to find new ways to fight it. It’s awesome to think about all of that brain power and capital being channeled into the same effort.
Between now and then these pain in the arse measures will be effective and save lives. Hopefully as more data comes in about how this is affecting our country and who exactly is most at risk, we can see things move back to normal and protect those who will be most vulnerable. I do not envy those who live in New York or other huge population centers because they will get it the worst and take the longest to resume normal life. For those of us in flyover country I truly feel things will be kicking back into gear sooner than the more negative among us would lead you believe.
Don’t let the spike in “new” cases terrify you because the testing has only just ramped up. Don’t let the positive test rate scare you more than it should either because many places are now only testing the at risk population who are showing symptoms to save materials. It is bad, no doubt, but not as bad as many people are saying. It will be a blip in most of our memories in 5 years.
ETA: the best minds in the world are working 20 hour days to find new ways to fight it. It’s awesome to think about all of that brain power and capital being channeled into the same effort.
This post was edited on 3/21/20 at 3:51 pm
Posted on 3/21/20 at 3:47 pm to Dale Doubak
quote:
I did get drunk alone last night and just listened to outlaw country and had me some fun
shite yeah. I'm gonna do this tonight and play video games.
Posted on 3/21/20 at 3:48 pm to TROLA
quote:
Chloroquine
NY Dr just tweeted 100 patients, 100 recoveries
Posted on 3/21/20 at 3:52 pm to cleeveclever
quote:
If the media posted positive news
I would be wondering what was their angle. I trust those bastards less than a used car salesman.
Posted on 3/21/20 at 3:53 pm to Dale Doubak
(no message)
This post was edited on 5/6/20 at 10:25 pm
Posted on 3/21/20 at 3:55 pm to dewster
quote:
Of the people who are requiring hospital care, it occurs an average of 21-23 days after contracting the virus.
Is this true?
The anecdotes don't seen to support this. That's a long arse time.
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