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Message
re: Delta Moves On...Cleanup Begins
Posted on 10/6/20 at 11:08 am to Ancient Astronaut
Posted on 10/6/20 at 11:08 am to Ancient Astronaut
quote:
I remember he projected Georges wrong and everyone in WWL kept telling him how great he was.
I remember when every meteorologist in the country had Katrina hitting South Carolina and Nash pinpointed exactly where it hit and took crap from every one of those famous meteorologist for saying it was headed to Bay St. Louis. Bob Breck went ballistic on the air
3
Posted on 10/6/20 at 11:08 am to ABucks11
quote:
Baton Rouge airport sustained winds:
Record: 86mph on 8/1/1959
Gustav: 61mph
Andrew: 48mph
Gustav gusted to 91 mph. This could top that.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 11:09 am to Mr. Hangover
Before people start wishcasting this thing all the way from Houston to the Panhandle, can we get one of the OG guys to briefly explain steering? Levi spoke last night about a pressure system keeping it from going too far west. Has that changed much today?
Posted on 10/6/20 at 11:09 am to VermilionTiger
quote:
Boat, have you busted out Stone Cold yet?
He did so early. It was a bit controversial.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 11:09 am to MrLSU
quote:
I remember when every meteorologist in the country had Katrina hitting South Carolina and Nash pinpointed exactly where it hit and took crap from every one of those famous meteorologist for saying it was headed to Bay St. Louis. Bob Breck went ballistic on the air
Well that’s because Bob Breck was blind and no one knew it at the time
Posted on 10/6/20 at 11:09 am to sealawyer
Knots to mph -- knots x 1.2??
Posted on 10/6/20 at 11:11 am to BallsEleven
So the Euro has it hitting SWLA and GFS now has Vermillion Bay.
HWRF and HMON still stuck on much further east landfalls. What gives?
HWRF and HMON still stuck on much further east landfalls. What gives?
Posted on 10/6/20 at 11:12 am to jcaz
I don't want this to hit anywhere, but I REALLY don't want this to affect the northshore.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 11:12 am to sealawyer
quote:
Before people start wishcasting this thing all the way from Houston to the Panhandle, can we get one of the OG guys to briefly explain steering? Levi spoke last night about a pressure system keeping it from going too far west. Has that changed much today?
Directly from the NHC yesterday. The basic setup hasn't changed too much:
quote:
A northwestward heading around the southwestern portion of a deep-layer ridge should begin tonight or Tuesday, and that general motion with some increase in forward speed is expected to continue through 60-72 hours. After that time, a broad mid- to upper-level trough is forecast to develop over the south-central United States, which should weaken the western portion of the ridge and cause Delta to turn northward toward the northern Gulf Coast. After day 4, Delta should begin to accelerate north-northeastward or northeastward ahead of the aforementioned trough
Posted on 10/6/20 at 11:13 am to jcaz
Ignore all the model noise and just follow NHC
Posted on 10/6/20 at 11:13 am to tiger91
quote:
Knots to mph -- knots x 1.2??
Is there a good reason we keep using knots for ANY PURPOSE, or is it just purely a tradition/custom sort of deal?
Posted on 10/6/20 at 11:13 am to tiger91
quote:
HURRICANE DELTA ANALYSED POSITION : 18.0N 82.3W
ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL262020
LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 06.10.2020 0 18.0N 82.3W 977
0000UTC 07.10.2020 12 19.2N 84.8W 968
1200UTC 07.10.2020 24 21.2N 87.4W 972
0000UTC 08.10.2020 36 22.5N 90.3W 964
1200UTC 08.10.2020 48 23.8N 92.3W 964
0000UTC 09.10.2020 60 25.2N 93.1W 956
1200UTC 09.10.2020 72 27.0N 93.2W 946
0000UTC 10.10.2020 84 29.5N 92.2W 948
1200UTC 10.10.2020 96 32.0N 91.4W 984
0000UTC 11.10.2020 108 33.3N 90.0W 994
1200UTC 11.10.2020 120 34.9N 87.7W 999
0000UTC 12.10.2020 132 38.1N 84.6W 999
1200UTC 12.10.2020 144 41.0N 82.1W 999
UKMET right on top of the GFS. 948 MB sitting in Vermilion Bay
This post was edited on 10/6/20 at 11:14 am
Posted on 10/6/20 at 11:13 am to MrLSU
Did you catch Bob Breck's blog post calling out Levi from Tropical Tidbits for blowing this storm out of proportion? I bet Bob feels stupid now.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 11:13 am to tiger91
quote:
Knots to mph -- knots x 1.2??
x 1.15
This post was edited on 10/6/20 at 11:15 am
Posted on 10/6/20 at 11:14 am to Black n Gold
I was in the sixth grade and lived in Baton Rouge when Andrew came through. I don't remember the winds too much, but we didn't have power for three days afterwards, and it took about three days to get the yard cleaned up (we did have a big yard though). When Gustav came through the winds seemed worse than I remember Andrew's being, but not as much shite in the yard. We lost power again for about three or four days for that one, too. If the current path holds...well, I'm just glad I'm not in Baton Rouge anymore...
Posted on 10/6/20 at 11:14 am to GEAUXmedic
quote:
Did you catch Bob Breck's blog post calling out Levi from Tropical Tidbits for blowing this storm out of proportion? I bet Bob feels stupid now.
Of all people to call out, calling out a guy who is on the cutting edge of coding and modeling is not a great decision.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 11:14 am to GEAUXmedic
Bob Breck always comes off as a bitter little bitch.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 11:15 am to Y.A. Tittle
quote:
Is there a good reason we keep using knots for ANY PURPOSE, or is it just purely a tradition/custom sort of deal?
Because it’s a nautical term
Posted on 10/6/20 at 11:15 am to Mr Breeze
.86
OH crap .. I was a little off. Thanks.
OH crap .. I was a little off. Thanks.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 11:15 am to MrLSU
quote:
I remember when every meteorologist in the country had Katrina hitting South Carolina
what Katrina we talking about?
South Carolina?!!? was there a Katrina on Atlantic coast worth even mentioning?
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