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re: Delta Moves On...Cleanup Begins

Posted on 10/6/20 at 10:53 am to
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
74955 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 10:53 am to
quote:

not trying to be a dick brotha...i just know that alot of people depend on the info here to make decisions


Gotcha....brotha.....frick off.
Posted by Mr. Hangover
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2003
34925 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 10:53 am to
quote:

These people secretly want it to hit them. It's wanting tragedy for sympathy or in other words to feel special, like the light is shining on them. Sickening.


That’s that social media disease I’ve been talkin about
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43445 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 10:54 am to
Storm is really really compact.

Is the expectation for this to continue or will the windfield widen once past the Yucatan?
Posted by burdman
Louisiana
Member since Aug 2007
22731 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 10:55 am to
quote:

This frickin 12z GFS


I do not like this run one bit.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
74955 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 10:55 am to
quote:

Is the expectation for this to continue or will the windfield widen once past the Yucatan?

Land interaction with the Yucatan will likely disrupt it. It will regroup and the eye and wind field will likely be bigger on approach to landfall.
This post was edited on 10/6/20 at 10:56 am
Posted by wope
Member since Aug 2011
5684 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 10:56 am to
Where can a layman like myself see the most recent computer models, and how often are they run?
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42053 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 10:56 am to
The fact that it's faster, and still not THAT much farther west shows me the track pretty much locked down, relatively.
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
42539 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 10:56 am to
quote:


You notice these storm projections always pass over cities early on?


Like Laura?
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177195 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 10:57 am to


Right up the poop chute.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
74955 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 10:57 am to
quote:

Where can a layman like myself see the most recent computer models, and how often are they run?

www.tropicaltidbits.com

Follow @tropicaltidbits on Twitter
This post was edited on 10/6/20 at 10:57 am
Posted by BallsEleven
Member since Mar 2019
6163 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 10:57 am to
Posted by burdman
Louisiana
Member since Aug 2007
22731 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 10:57 am to
quote:

Where can a layman like myself see the most recent computer models,


LINK

tropicaltidbits.com has the models and lots of other info
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
74955 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 10:58 am to
quote:

The fact that it's faster, and still not THAT much farther west shows me the track pretty much locked down, relatively.

Well, it can't hit Houston if that's the case. You sure?
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43445 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 10:58 am to
HWRF showing a 937mb doomcane 12 hours off coast then goes up 30mb while going into Vermillion Bay?

This seems off???
This post was edited on 10/6/20 at 10:59 am
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42053 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 10:58 am to

This post was edited on 10/6/20 at 10:59 am
Posted by lsugolfredman
Member since Jun 2005
1941 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 10:59 am to


This specific GFS run would be very bad for the Metro BR area with gusts into the 80's
This post was edited on 10/6/20 at 11:00 am
Posted by BallsEleven
Member since Mar 2019
6163 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 10:59 am to
I see that shifting west on the next full update. Maybe not all the way where GFS has it going since they have already said they are favoring a spot east of the models. But it probably will move some. (Assuming other models follow and Euro stays stupid west.)
Posted by Notasnitch
Member since Dec 2017
315 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 11:00 am to
That would suck for BR but it would put landfall further from me.
I'll take it.
Posted by MrLSU
Yellowstone, Val d'isere
Member since Jan 2004
29713 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 11:00 am to
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
74955 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 11:00 am to
quote:

HWRF showing a 937mb doomcane 12 hours off coast then goes up 30mb while going into Vermillion Bay?

This seems off???

I think that's overblown a bit, but who knows?

I'm not convinced the cooler water will work it over as much as some think.
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