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re: Delta Moves On...Cleanup Begins

Posted on 10/6/20 at 9:17 pm to
Posted by Festus
With Skillet
Member since Nov 2009
86127 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 9:17 pm to
I’m messing with you. I figure we’ll know a lot more in 24-48 hours. But definitely feel as though BR is gonna be in the thick of things.

More so than direction, I’m really hoping that it surprises us and weakens more than expected. I hope the strengthening gets thwarted a bit, formation gets scattered, and it never really fully strengthens when traveling over the gulf.
Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
79843 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 9:17 pm to
quote:

Yes, I have been drinking whisky and three sheets to the wind on back patio after grilling... I’m done with worrying. frick the Gulf of Mexico
Good for you. Relax for a bit. I've seen nothing hitting Lake Charles.
Posted by lostinbr
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Oct 2017
12846 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 9:17 pm to
quote:

BR residents talk about Gustav like Mississippi residents talk about Camille.



I mean, it’s all relative right? I’d imagine it was the most damaging storm in the BR area since Andrew. Neither storm wiped homes off slabs in Baton Rouge, but you don’t really expect that when you’re like 75 miles inland from the barrier islands..

Seems like the real danger is that there are a shitload of old trees above old houses in BR. That’s what scares me. Power outages are a nuisance. A tree falling on a house can kill someone.
Posted by BeerMoney
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2012
8906 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 9:19 pm to
quote:

IDK why people misremember Gustav so much, especially a pro met


With you on that. I was outside a lot during Gustav. Wasn’t terrible. Just had so many trees that had not been properly maintained in the area that it took out so many power lines and knocked down trees. The only recovery was cleaning up trees, patches roofs and waiting for power.
Posted by fallguy_1978
Best States #50
Member since Feb 2018
53506 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 9:19 pm to
We lived in Central during Andrew. I think we only lost power for a few hours. It helped that my neighbor was a higher up at Entergy or whatever we had back then.

We were 8 days or so with Gustav. Lost my shed and couldn't leave my neighborhood for a day due to downed trees.
This post was edited on 10/6/20 at 9:20 pm
Posted by RadThibodeaux
Houston, TX
Member since May 2015
723 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 9:19 pm to
I know it’s early, but with the eye looking dead at BR.... makes me remember being around for Gustav in college no power for a week, phuck that noise.

Live in Lexington next door to UClub. Worst case scenario, Delta comes right up our poop shoot, it’ll be a week before we get electricity back on, right?

Should have listened to that commercial midget Gordie Rush and bought a generac home generator :-(
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
26623 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 9:19 pm to
He's talking about the early 00Z runs that have already been posted, clustered around east of Lafayette.
Posted by jcaz
Laffy
Member since Aug 2014
19273 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 9:19 pm to
I don't see it.
Nearly all models are somewhere between Grand Chenier and Morgan City as a CAT 2-4. Regardless, as a Lafayette resident I am going to feel this one.
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14258 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 9:20 pm to
quote:

A tree falling on a house can kill someone.


Yep. The biggest threats to life in BR for hurricanes are:

flash floods near rivers and bayous
tornadoes
trees falling on houses
carbon monoxide poisoning from generators
This post was edited on 10/6/20 at 9:21 pm
Posted by Newc
Member since Feb 2017
398 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 9:20 pm to
If it is coming in the Baton Rouge direction, I'm just getting out. I've got a wife, kids, and about 10 trees that could kill us.
Posted by zsav77
Member since Oct 2011
6280 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 9:20 pm to
quote:

Good for you. Relax for a bit. I've seen nothing hitting Lake Charles.


Brother, after what LC has been through, I understand anyone around here freaking out. I’m just done with it.
Posted by EXPLAYER
Member since Jul 2017
10791 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 9:22 pm to
Thanks ,makes me feel better. Still fighting idea of running down to Slidell and pick them up. Appreciate the fact you responded.
Posted by Run up middle
DeRidder
Member since Oct 2012
1461 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 9:23 pm to
quote:

I've got a wife, kids, and about 10 trees that could kill us.


The good news is that your dangerous tree count is probably about to reduce
Posted by fallguy_1978
Best States #50
Member since Feb 2018
53506 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 9:23 pm to
quote:

I mean, it’s all relative right? 

Gustav was easily the worst hurricane I can recall in BR. Katrina and Rita were really nothing here from purely a weather standpoint. I don't recall Andrew being that bad either. Not a ton of rain at least.
Posted by RT1980
Member since Sep 2020
208 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 9:23 pm to
What's the chance I can get on I-10 Sunday and head to San Antonio from BR?
Posted by theOG
Member since Feb 2010
10830 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 9:24 pm to
quote:

What's the chance I can get on I-10 Sunday and head to San Antonio from BR?


Hopefully good. I’ll be making the reverse trip from San Antonio to New Orleans at the same time.
Posted by Stexas
SWLA
Member since May 2013
7012 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 9:24 pm to
It’ll be long gone by Sunday. Only issue you may have is evacuees returning making traffic worse
Posted by bigberg2000
houston, from chalmette
Member since Sep 2005
70733 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 9:25 pm to
10 was open in Lake Charles Friday afternoon after Laura so I would think you could get to Texas Sunday.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
74990 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 9:26 pm to
quote:

carbon monoxide poisoning from generators

Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 9:26 pm to
quote:

Have we talked about the HMON and HWRF being nearly identical on the last run?




We haven't, but the angle of approach and landfall are pretty different for each of them. HWRF is more due north into far eastern Cameron while HMON is more NNE to NE across western Marsh Island.





Landfall intensity at 115mph + is not ideal
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