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re: Delta Moves On...Cleanup Begins
Posted on 10/6/20 at 9:01 pm to Glock17
Posted on 10/6/20 at 9:01 pm to Glock17
quote:
I wondered the same thing earlier today. Steve Cap said in his FB live this afternoon that Gustuv was really slow moving snd we had sustained tropical force winds in the BR area for 24-36 hours. He said delta should be in and out in about 12 hours
IDK why people misremember Gustav so much, especially a pro met.
Gustav was never a slow moving storm. BR did not sit in TS sustained winds for 24 hours. BR never experienced sustained hurricane winds period.
Gustav was moving 15-17 mph from a day before landfall until it dissipated. Gustav made landfall around 10AM and dissipated within 18 hours. As mentioned a few times in this thread, the maximum sustained winds in BR were like 61 MPH.
BR residents talk about Gustav like Mississippi residents talk about Camille.
ETA - not trying to call out the poster who is simply reposting what the guy said on FB.
This post was edited on 10/6/20 at 9:03 pm
6
Posted on 10/6/20 at 9:02 pm to The Pirate King
quote:
BR is not “fricked”. Some wind, some rain, probably some power outages and downed trees. We’re not talking sheering off the siding and leveling houses
I am no doomcaster/wishcaster, but I remember Gustav and this presents a good chance to be significantly worse.
I really hope I am wrong, but it looks like it will take a lot of good fortune for that to be the case.
This post was edited on 10/6/20 at 9:03 pm
Posted on 10/6/20 at 9:03 pm to slackster
quote:
Interesting on the operational since the ensembles mean was basically unchanged.
12z (old)
?
I'm confused. This looks different than the other one posted a few pages before. Wtf.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 9:03 pm to UnitedFruitCompany
quote:
Lead animator for this show is TJ Buford. Rummel 01 grad.
Love Archer and love that a really solid baw helped make that show the hit it is.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 9:04 pm to Notasnitch
Reed Timmer is on the scene live in Cancun right now.
The absolute madman.
The absolute madman.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 9:04 pm to Notasnitch
Different computer models
Posted on 10/6/20 at 9:04 pm to Notasnitch
Me too. I kinda commented the same thing but no one said anything about it. So IDK. LOL
Posted on 10/6/20 at 9:04 pm to ell_13
quote:
Different computer models
So which to believe?
Posted on 10/6/20 at 9:04 pm to slackster
Sorry, but I choose to believe Steve Cap. Are you on TV Slack?
Nope.
Nope.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 9:04 pm to rt3
Does that mean highest recorded so far is 104?
Posted on 10/6/20 at 9:05 pm to Festus
He is Steve Clap, you moran.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 9:05 pm to Notasnitch
quote:
So which to believe?
The NHC. They weigh all models and data that is available for input.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 9:05 pm to slackster
quote:
Gustav made landfall around 10AM and dissipated within 18 hours. As mentioned a few times in this thread, the maximum sustained winds in BR were like 61 MPH.
And that still caused 2 week power outages in older parts of the city. Hopefully the system has been hardened since then, but yeah BR has never seen hurricane force winds before.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 9:06 pm to Oates Mustache
Pics?
Posted on 10/6/20 at 9:06 pm to Ancient Astronaut
You’ve posted that four times (yes, I went through your shitty post history) in this thread.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 9:06 pm to slackster
How does New Orleans ,Slidell look like if landfall stays where it is now? Appreciate your knowledge, hell my parents in Slidell scared to death. Guess when you are 82 you get scared easier. Covid19 and all these hurricanes took a year off both their lives .
Posted on 10/6/20 at 9:06 pm to MardiGrasCajun
Since it is being discussed, from the NHC official reports on Andrew and Gustav...
Andrew winds (1-minute sustained)
Baton Rouge (BTR) - 48 mph gusting to 70 mph
Near Brusly - 79 mph gusting to 103 mph
Gustav winds (1-minute sustained)
Baton Rouge (BTR) - 61 mph gusting to 91 mph
St. Gabriel - 63 mph gusting to 85 mph
Ben Hur - 52 mph gusting to 78 mph
Details found here:
Andrew
Gustav
Andrew winds (1-minute sustained)
Baton Rouge (BTR) - 48 mph gusting to 70 mph
Near Brusly - 79 mph gusting to 103 mph
Gustav winds (1-minute sustained)
Baton Rouge (BTR) - 61 mph gusting to 91 mph
St. Gabriel - 63 mph gusting to 85 mph
Ben Hur - 52 mph gusting to 78 mph
Details found here:
Andrew
Gustav
Posted on 10/6/20 at 9:07 pm to Geaux23
heading again towards the eye from SE to NW
Posted on 10/6/20 at 9:07 pm to Festus
He has nudes on reddit.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 9:07 pm to Jake88
quote:
It is still forecast to cross over Lafayette or a slight bit east. BR will be 40-50 miles east of that. Thats only if it stays as is.
Correct. It has moved west quite a bit. It just has never been projected East of Laffy except by the Euro and a few posters. Delta is projected to be moving NE at landfall. It won’t be moving due north at landfall like Laura. Even if Delta made landfall where Laura did in Cameron, the center would likely pass over the Welsh or Jennings area. It wouldn’t take much of a bump East for BR to catch some really nasty weather. Even at it’s current projection, it’ll be a little rough.
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