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re: Delta Moves On...Cleanup Begins

Posted on 10/6/20 at 7:33 pm to
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 7:33 pm to
It's catching more shear than models expected yesterday and that's why it didn't just rocket off this afternoon.
Posted by theOG
Member since Feb 2010
10830 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 7:33 pm to
quote:

Hey rds, what does this mean:


Good news for people, bad news for Delta.
Posted by Hamma1122
Member since Sep 2016
22290 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 7:33 pm to
Means it’s going west
Posted by ibldprplgld
Member since Feb 2008
27759 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 7:33 pm to
quote:

If this thing turns North even a few hours early, Nola is in bad shape.
.

This thing could turn due South and New Orleans would still be in bad shape.



Obviously you won't hear any arguments from me, we just don't need a hurricane to add to it.
Posted by tilco
Spanish Fort, AL
Member since Nov 2013
14472 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 7:34 pm to
It looks like this bitch is just blasting that other little storm out the way. This is nuts.
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
40975 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 7:35 pm to
Looking like Mr Sanchos is about to get his donkey nailed.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147072 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 7:35 pm to
quote:

Large Farva

while I'm neither rds nor Duke... it essentially means the midlevel shear is a little stronger than was previously thought

and while that shear hasn't really impacted the storm's intensity... it has impacted its shape... like why the eyewall isn't completely circular and closed off and 1 of the reasons why we still can't see a visible eye even though it's a Cat 4 hurricane
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40226 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 7:36 pm to
I'm thinking I need to pack my "important things". PHotos, baby quilts made by their grandmothers, that kind of thing that can't be replaced. Not worried about water unless it's from a roof that is gone.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21478 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 7:37 pm to
quote:

econ first pass not as impressive in the wind but it looks like it killed off that little eye structure from earlier. Pressure probably 961 mb.


To be expected given the degradation in sat presentation this afternoon. In addition to shear, like you noted, there has been some restructuring of the core. This will be the 1st of many structural changes over the next couple of days that will result in a huge expansion of the wind field.

18z GFS for 00z Wednsday



vs 06z Friday

Posted by Clashmore Mike
Member since Oct 2014
1133 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 7:38 pm to
quote:

It looks like this bitch is just blasting that other little storm out the way. This is nuts.


This hurricane is misnamed. This is the real Hurricane Alpha!
Posted by Large Farva
New Orleans
Member since Jan 2013
8724 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 7:38 pm to
Can that LPS southeast of delta get fricked please.
Posted by LSUTiger23
Madisonville, LA
Member since Jun 2010
1351 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 7:38 pm to
LINK

00z models out. Slight shift east.
Posted by TigerNAtux
Louisiana
Member since Dec 2007
18622 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 7:39 pm to
Duke how is the Duchess? Hope all is well.

What a year to be studying meteorology!







Posted by loogaroo
Welsh
Member since Dec 2005
42024 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 7:39 pm to
quote:

Alex wilson. Wyhi?


She looks prego.

And yes.
This post was edited on 10/6/20 at 7:40 pm
Posted by FelicianaTigerfan
Comanche County
Member since Aug 2009
26059 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 7:39 pm to
I really think we’ll know more in the coming days and wouldn’t be surprised to see the models move one way or the other before landfall somewhere on the Gulf Coast. /s
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 7:39 pm to
Rds are you saying that a storm that still has to go over land and hasn’t even entered the GOM is hard to predict?

Crazy

But apparently there are 3 other posters here that seem to know more than you and the NHC
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21478 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 7:39 pm to
quote:

I find it hard to believe a storm going 15mph is going to turn



Posted by Tllsu
Maurice
Member since Nov 2015
2476 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 7:40 pm to
She thic. Iwfhitb
Posted by fallguy_1978
Best States #50
Member since Feb 2018
53506 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 7:41 pm to
Well, that sucks for me although I don't want Lake Charles to get hit again either.
Posted by Tigerpaw123
Louisiana
Member since Mar 2007
17876 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 7:41 pm to
quote:

I really think we’ll know more in the coming days and wouldn’t be surprised to see the models move one way or the other before landfall somewhere on the Gulf Coast. /s


Wow, that is going out on a limb, thanks for the insight
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