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Started By
Message
re: Delta Moves On...Cleanup Begins
Posted on 10/6/20 at 7:42 pm to fallguy_1978
Posted on 10/6/20 at 7:42 pm to fallguy_1978
Current track won’t stand
0
Posted on 10/6/20 at 7:42 pm to rt3
quote:
while I'm neither rds nor Duke... it essentially means the midlevel shear is a little stronger than was previously thought
It’s double what the model predicted.
quote:
and while that shear hasn't really impacted the storm's intensity... it has impacted its shape... like why the eyewall isn't completely circular and closed off and 1 of the reasons why we still can't see a visible eye even though it's a Cat 4 hurricane
You obviously know a lot more about these things than I do, but couldn’t this shear be preventing the storm becoming even stronger? I get that it isn’t weakening it, but it seems like this shear is one of the things preventing this from exceeding theoretical limits.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 7:43 pm to FelicianaTigerfan
quote:
I really think we’ll know more in the coming days and wouldn’t be surprised to see the models move one way or the other before landfall somewhere on the Gulf Coast. /s
I actually agree
Once we get more information we’ll know more
Posted on 10/6/20 at 7:43 pm to Tigerpaw123
quote:
quote:
I really think we’ll know more in the coming days and wouldn’t be surprised to see the models move one way or the other before landfall somewhere on the Gulf Coast. /s
Wow, that is going out on a limb, thanks for the insight
I feel like a well reasoned wait and see approach is more useful for most people than going out on a limb for some bold predictions.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 7:43 pm to ibldprplgld
quote:
Seriously. I want to punch every person in here cheering (or trying to reverse jinx) Nola being clear. Do we not remember the Eastward jog Sally did before wrecking shite in AL/FL?
Hence why my post says:
Could change but I doubt we see any East shifts unless something big changes.
Y’all need to chill the frick out. Just let people talk if they want to. Sometimes you have to say your opinion and just get it off your chest. Read Duke and rds’ posts exclusively if you don’t want to read bullshite.
Or go to storm2k
ETA: my gf is in FL and just experienced a bit of Sally and my family in LC got nailed by Laura. It’s been a nerve wrecking season. Stop getting bent out of shape when people whose nerves are terrible vent whatever is on their mind.
This post was edited on 10/6/20 at 7:47 pm
Posted on 10/6/20 at 7:43 pm to LSUTiger23
quote:
Slight shift east.
Not possible
Posted on 10/6/20 at 7:44 pm to Hamma1122
quote:
You got me Dude I’m done
I figured you were purposely trolling and that got missed that on the Bingo card
There was a storm a season or two ago that people were convinced it would never turn b/c it was going too fast.
This post was edited on 10/6/20 at 7:45 pm
Posted on 10/6/20 at 7:44 pm to JPLSU1981
checks thread, yup it's a shiteshow. Carry on!
Posted on 10/6/20 at 7:44 pm to rmnldr
How about you share it on FB, because FB is for that kind of shite
I Think
I bet
I would guess
I I i I i
I Think
I bet
I would guess
I I i I i
Posted on 10/6/20 at 7:45 pm to tiger91
quote:
I'm thinking I need to pack my "important things". PHotos, baby quilts made by their grandmothers, that kind of thing that can't be replaced. Not worried about water unless it's from a roof that is gone.
As trivial as it seems, everything else can be replaced. Trophy mounts, grandparents china, photos, journals can’t. Make every effort to save them.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 7:47 pm to Capt ST
quote:
As trivial as it seems, everything else can be replaced. Trophy mounts, grandparents china, photos, journals can’t. Make every effort to save them.
I fricking love Louisiana.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 7:47 pm to Hamma1122
You need to be banned or shut the frick up.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 7:48 pm to theOG
quote:
You obviously know a lot more about these things than I do, but couldn’t this shear be preventing the storm becoming even stronger? I get that it isn’t weakening it, but it seems like this shear is one of the things preventing this from exceeding theoretical limits.
when I think shear impacting a storm... I think what happened to Marco... how it just got ripped and torn apart... not just stopping the rapid intensification of a cat 4 freak of a storm
this shear didn't stop Delta from becoming a major hurricane... but yes it could be preventing it from becoming a cat 5
Posted on 10/6/20 at 7:50 pm to rt3
Wouldn’t call it an eastern shift, more or less a consolidation of track
This post was edited on 10/6/20 at 7:51 pm
Posted on 10/6/20 at 7:51 pm to JPLSU1981
quote:
Not possible
Posted on 10/6/20 at 7:53 pm to lsugolfredman
It was an eastern shift and a tigher consolidation of the models. The NHC is even outside of the consensus now.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 7:53 pm to lsugolfredman
quote:
Wouldn’t call it an eastern shift, more or less a consolidation of track
don't use that figure for uncertainty purposes (which is why Levi put that top right hand caption on it).
Posted on 10/6/20 at 7:53 pm to Hamma1122
quote:
I find it hard to believe a storm going 15mph is going to turn
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