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re: Deep South winter storm and arctic outbreak - Jan. 20-23 timeframe

Posted on 1/18/25 at 3:35 pm to
Posted by BOSCEAUX
Where the Down Boys go.
Member since Mar 2008
52385 posts
Posted on 1/18/25 at 3:35 pm to
I drip the kitchen faucet near the front of the house and a bathroom faucet in the back. Going to check the dishwasher thing out though.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75079 posts
Posted on 1/18/25 at 3:43 pm to
quote:

12z NAM run had higher totals because the storm had fully passed through by the end of the run.

18z NAM, the storm was delayed a few hours so the last frame has precipitation still on the eastern half of the state that aren't accounted for in the totals.

The NAM is not your friend if it is snow you're wanting.
Posted by LSUGrrrl
Frisco, TX
Member since Jul 2007
46365 posts
Posted on 1/18/25 at 4:00 pm to
Is that showing DFW getting a pass on this?


Please say yes.
Posted by lsugolfredman
Member since Jun 2005
1941 posts
Posted on 1/18/25 at 4:01 pm to
18z GFS just keeps creeping upwards on snow totals for the 10/12 corridor. Damn




Posted by jaytothen
Member since Jan 2020
8677 posts
Posted on 1/18/25 at 4:03 pm to
For the guys worried about the NAM, it's the outlier.

Euro and ICON BURY Louisiana in snow.

GFS is trending all snow but lower totals and the system moving further north.

GRAFF (which was garbage for Tropical systems) has all snow except the coast. More sleet and ice to start but moves the snow line down as the moisture comes in.

NAM isn't the model to focus on right now.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75079 posts
Posted on 1/18/25 at 4:05 pm to
quote:

NAM isn't the model to focus on right now.

It is the only high resolution model in range.
Posted by SWLA92
SWLA
Member since Feb 2015
5042 posts
Posted on 1/18/25 at 4:06 pm to
Posted by Twincam
Member since Nov 2021
979 posts
Posted on 1/18/25 at 4:07 pm to
And pretty much took it away from central MS. Damn
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75079 posts
Posted on 1/18/25 at 4:11 pm to
quote:

Graf starting to get into range

Similar to the NAM.
Posted by DVinBR
Member since Jan 2013
15737 posts
Posted on 1/18/25 at 4:16 pm to
i hear there's a snowstorm coming

but first, I make a roux
Posted by 3HourTour
A whiskey barrel
Member since Mar 2006
21910 posts
Posted on 1/18/25 at 4:19 pm to
Tuesdays forecast for Prairieville just moved to 100% chance of snow
Posted by wfallstiger
Wichita Falls, Texas
Member since Jun 2006
15738 posts
Posted on 1/18/25 at 4:23 pm to
Snow/ice cover keeps temperatures colder....
Posted by wfallstiger
Wichita Falls, Texas
Member since Jun 2006
15738 posts
Posted on 1/18/25 at 4:25 pm to
I think our neck of the woods is coldddddd and dry
Posted by Tiger328
Member since Mar 2017
990 posts
Posted on 1/18/25 at 4:27 pm to
What’s your neck of the woods
Posted by LSUGrrrl
Frisco, TX
Member since Jul 2007
46365 posts
Posted on 1/18/25 at 4:27 pm to
We have a match tomorrow and USTA rules state that the match can’t be rescheduled unless actual temps on weather.com are 34° or below. Wind chill doesn’t count. It’s going to be brutal
Posted by speedbump032
The Enterprise
Member since Sep 2015
149 posts
Posted on 1/18/25 at 4:34 pm to
Lake Charles infrastructure is brand new.

Took a lot of awful for that to happen though
Yep, and a couple weeks ago it failed. 1st cold spell we had it shut down for 8hrs just for cold temps
Posted by LSUneaux
Metairie and MAGA AF
Member since Mar 2014
4958 posts
Posted on 1/18/25 at 4:41 pm to
The local National Weather Service office for New Orleans/Baton Rouge is starting to get a handle on what they think is gonna happen.

This post was edited on 1/18/25 at 4:42 pm
Posted by Dire Wolf
bawcomville
Member since Sep 2008
40317 posts
Posted on 1/18/25 at 4:41 pm to
frick that ice in Houston
Posted by Who_Dat_Tiger
Member since Nov 2015
25524 posts
Posted on 1/18/25 at 4:44 pm to
quote:

pretty much took it away from central MS. Damn
the GRAF model which is now in range posted right above you shows south central MS snow beginning overnight into Tuesday morning and snow through the end of the run in the afternoon. Depends on where you are but with the colder temps in central MS you’re less likely to see ice and could snow the entirety of the day
Posted by purple18
Lafayette
Member since Aug 2009
1772 posts
Posted on 1/18/25 at 4:49 pm to
The NAM isn’t a great model in predicting winter weather
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