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Deaths are coming with the rise in new cases due to a lag. Be ready

Posted on 6/29/20 at 11:15 am
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
112637 posts
Posted on 6/29/20 at 11:15 am
Except that hasnt really been the case at all.....

Look at the graph, deaths and cases have matched up closely, until now.....


This post was edited on 6/29/20 at 11:16 am
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
76241 posts
Posted on 6/29/20 at 11:15 am to
"Come back in two weeks."

Yadda yadda
Posted by LSUBoo
Knoxville, TN
Member since Mar 2006
104488 posts
Posted on 6/29/20 at 11:16 am to
When you see the average ages of new cases, this isn't surprising.


ETA: Plus back at the start only people that were sick were getting tested.
This post was edited on 6/29/20 at 11:17 am
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
112637 posts
Posted on 6/29/20 at 11:17 am to
quote:

When you see the average ages of new cases, this isn't surprising.
Not at all. However, that hasnt stopped people from telling us the death spike is coming
Posted by LSUBoo
Knoxville, TN
Member since Mar 2006
104488 posts
Posted on 6/29/20 at 11:18 am to
Now, if Beach Bum Braydyn goes back home with the 'rona and goes and visits all his elderly relatives...
Posted by swolverine
Member since Jun 2020
1966 posts
Posted on 6/29/20 at 11:19 am to
quote:

Except that hasnt really been the case at all.....


That’s a great chart. I’m really starting to question the validity of the recent spike. Especially when most cases are asymptomatic and deaths (as you indicated) have been declining.
Posted by Tiger Prawn
Member since Dec 2016
26381 posts
Posted on 6/29/20 at 11:19 am to
Most of the new cases are young people in their 20's and 30's. Now that there's enough tests to go around for anybody who wants to take one and not just reserved for older folks and people exhibiting symptoms, the mortality rate on those graphs are going to be a lot lower.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
135363 posts
Posted on 6/29/20 at 11:20 am to
My gut tells me the declining mortality rate is a result of our medical professionals now knowing better how to treat and prevent many of the worst cases from developing.

That includes using Remdesivir to treat the worst cases. That drug was approved by the FDA to treat the most severe cases of COVID-19 on May 1, 2020.
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
179950 posts
Posted on 6/29/20 at 11:20 am to
cases are fake as frick.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
178364 posts
Posted on 6/29/20 at 11:21 am to
In the words of a broken heart it's just emotion taken me over

Caught up in sorrow, lost in my soul

But if you don't come back come home to me, darling

Know that they'll be nobody left in this world to hold me tight

Nobody left in this world kiss goodnight
Posted by Mingo Was His NameO
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2016
37588 posts
Posted on 6/29/20 at 11:22 am to
quote:

My gut tells me the declining mortality rate is a result of our medical professionals now knowing better how to treat and prevent many of the worst cases from developing.


That'd be true if hospitalizations were going up as well, but cases are rising, yet both deaths and hospitalizations are down. That can only mean people are getting less sick from the virus, and probably aren't really being treated at all
Posted by Epic Cajun
Lafayette, LA
Member since Feb 2013
37493 posts
Posted on 6/29/20 at 11:24 am to
quote:

When you see the average ages of new cases, this isn't surprising.


This and the number of tests (catching asymptotic cases), is going to lead to a dramatic decrease in the death rate, IMO.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
135363 posts
Posted on 6/29/20 at 11:24 am to
Good point.
Posted by fillmoregandt
OTM
Member since Nov 2009
14368 posts
Posted on 6/29/20 at 11:24 am to
Virus hits society
Takes out the easy targets first (old, sickly, etc)
Moves on to young people, who are healthier and most resistant
Isolated pockets show up but nothing serious
Virus fades away
Posted by NIH
Member since Aug 2008
125159 posts
Posted on 6/29/20 at 11:25 am to
Harris County, Texas

“New epicenter of COVID”

“Catastrophic numbers”

“New York all over again”

Deaths: 371
Posted by Pelican fan99
Lafayette, Louisiana
Member since Jun 2013
39661 posts
Posted on 6/29/20 at 11:26 am to
It is such bullshite that we are not fully open with zero restrictions at this point.


Republicans caving to this bs are the worst
Posted by HempHead
Big Sky Country
Member since Mar 2011
56776 posts
Posted on 6/29/20 at 11:36 am to
quote:

Republicans caving to this bs are the worst



They don't really have a choice. Short-term incentives are the heart of democracy, and when you have a media complex that will fricking destroy and amplify any little mistake that isn't on the agenda, you will get cowardice.
Posted by Magician2
Member since Oct 2015
14553 posts
Posted on 6/29/20 at 11:37 am to
Doubt it.

The rise is mostly young people
Posted by Copernicus
South FL
Member since Sep 2017
895 posts
Posted on 6/29/20 at 11:40 am to
Upvote
Posted by Mid Iowa Tiger
Undisclosed Secure Location
Member since Feb 2008
25170 posts
Posted on 6/29/20 at 11:43 am to
LOl notice the divergence of the trend lines? Deaths are not going to move much even with the case climb. The case count climb is because we are testing so many more people. If you look at the spread on the initial climb the case/death climb matched with about a week or so lag. Cases started climbing two weeks ago and deaths are still heading down.

What has happened is many of the new positive cases are people who are asymptomatic being tested and discovering they are positive. What ever data you pulled this from see if there is a total number of tests administered data set and give it a look. Also look at the positive results per test ratio and the deaths per positive reading ratio. You will sleep better.
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