re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) ***W.H.O. DECLARES A GLOBAL PANDEMIC***

Surprisingly I find this thread therapeutic. I just skip all the trolls and read the good info. It gives me faith that people are taking it seriously. I think transparency and sharing info decreases panic. I wish we had a thread of medical worker to check in and read what other hospitals are experiencing.

We just need to cut put all the bullshite red tape and get a vaccine as soon as possible. Apparently the first clinical trials for a vaccine have started so there's some good news

Good article Jenn.

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Arguments about the exact case fatality rate (CFR) have become a distraction from the real issue at hand — preparedness. While it’s a worthy exercise to determine if CFR estimates are including mild or asymptomatic patients in the denominator, it does not change our need to prepare or how we treat individual patients. Data from Italy suggests the CFR may be as high as 3%-4%. Adding an assumption that roughly half of people with mild or no symptoms were not tested, it may be closer to 1.5%-2%, just below that of the 1918 Spanish flu pandemic which killed 30 million people. The Diamond Princess ship was a controlled case study: 705 people tested positive for the virus, and seven died, suggesting a 1% CFR, albeit a slightly older skewed population. Regardless of where the true CFR is between 1% and 3.4% as the WHO is reporting, this is, at best, at least ten times worse than a bad flu season and, at worst, a pandemic that could claim millions of American lives.

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The only thing I would add is I think the CFR will vary in a typical US population between 0.1-5% depending on the age group (healthy under 50 will be closer to 0.1%) and the extent to which the system is overwhelmed.

Remember a CFR of 2.5% is in line with the Spanish Flu, with the primary difference being this one doesn't mostly attack younger people. Don't panic, but give it the respect it deserves.

We still got at least a year until it's ready to hit the market but it's really good news

You should start a thread like that. I’d have nothing to contribute other than updates from my nursing home (although I’m working from home) butnitnwould be interesting.

Takes effect tonight...

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Los Angeles bars and nightclubs will close and restaurants must halt dine-in service and limit their business to takeout orders until March 31 as part of the city’s efforts to slow the spread of the novel coronavirus, Mayor Garcetti said Sunday night.

Movie theaters, gyms and fitness centers will be closed, Garcetti said in a video press conference. Grocery stores, pharmacies and food banks will remain open.

The order goes into effect midnight Sunday.

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LINK

How long until stuff starts getting shut down in the Southeast?

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LouisianaLady

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Weren't you told to stay put by people in this thread?

Maybe try a car rental and drive? Hope you get out of there safely.

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Mid January? I think sooner based on this.

LINK

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That is the group that found this, which is January 19, still the earliest documented in the US.



which predates this branch