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Message

re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) ***W.H.O. DECLARES A GLOBAL PANDEMIC***

Posted on 3/11/20 at 9:25 am to
Posted by SaintsandTigers
Member since Feb 2020
461 posts
Posted on 3/11/20 at 9:25 am to
quote:

50,000 Americans aren't going to die from the coronavirus.

I am asking a question though

If 50k were to die this year and years going forward in the US, would that be ok for us to start going about our daily lives again normally, or is that not an acceptable number?
Posted by NOFOX
New Orleans
Member since Jan 2014
10128 posts
Posted on 3/11/20 at 9:25 am to
quote:

No wonder wait times are shite. Doctors are texting and on TD.


If you are being seen by my brother wait times are the least of your concerns.
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
88028 posts
Posted on 3/11/20 at 9:26 am to
Depends. If over that time, 50,000,000 were infected, it’s all good.

Signed,

The flu
Posted by Kingpenm3
Xanadu
Member since Aug 2011
9925 posts
Posted on 3/11/20 at 9:27 am to
This chart is either wrong, or very interesting and encouraging.



https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/china/
Posted by Volvagia
Fort Worth
Member since Mar 2006
53483 posts
Posted on 3/11/20 at 9:28 am to
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
182640 posts
Posted on 3/11/20 at 9:28 am to
quote:

This chart is either wrong


It's not. Factories are getting the all-clear and going back to work. This isn't from China saying so but American companies that manufacture there reporting so.
Posted by lsu13lsu
Member since Jan 2008
11824 posts
Posted on 3/11/20 at 9:30 am to
quote:

If you are being seen by my brother wait times are the least of your concerns.


I don't know how he does that job whatever it is. Glad he does.
Posted by lsutiger2010
Member since Aug 2008
14790 posts
Posted on 3/11/20 at 9:33 am to
(no message)
This post was edited on 10/19/21 at 6:43 am
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
88028 posts
Posted on 3/11/20 at 9:36 am to
As soon as I get back on topic, one of y’all directs a response like this at me and it’s my fault. Chill.
Posted by CivilTiger83
Member since Dec 2017
2525 posts
Posted on 3/11/20 at 9:36 am to
Yes, assuming China's numbers are true, their extreme quarantine measures were effective.

I would be careful about taking that to mean the curve won't make a significant turn upwards in the next month as the rest of the world deals with this virus. Can the US take as effective measures against the virus? What about Europe? Italy is getting crushed right now.
Posted by NOFOX
New Orleans
Member since Jan 2014
10128 posts
Posted on 3/11/20 at 9:42 am to
quote:

I don't know how he does that job whatever it is. Glad he does.


Oncologist - 50/50 research/clinic - focus on pancreatic cancer. I’m nowhere near emotionally equipped to handle that. He amazes me.
Posted by The Pirate King
Pangu
Member since May 2014
68552 posts
Posted on 3/11/20 at 9:43 am to
I don’t see the draconian quarantine methods flying here in the US. Hell they had a riot at Dayton last night just because they were switching to distance learning for awhile and closing down campus.
Posted by GetCocky11
Calgary, AB
Member since Oct 2012
53509 posts
Posted on 3/11/20 at 9:45 am to
quote:

Can the US take as effective measures against the virus?


Americans aren't going to lock themselves in their homes for months.
Posted by Antonio Moss
The South
Member since Mar 2006
49430 posts
Posted on 3/11/20 at 9:45 am to
quote:

Canceling a marching parade while everyone in the city still goes to work and school and restaurants and bars and the quarter is still open won’t make a difference


That's just wrong.

The per person density of a parade is way higher than those in school and work. It's basically impossible to have social spacing at a parade.
Posted by Antonio Moss
The South
Member since Mar 2006
49430 posts
Posted on 3/11/20 at 9:47 am to
quote:

This suggests many mild symptom cases are present that serve as super spreaders until it hits people that are susceptible or just plain unlucky.


Which has been the narrative from the infectious disease folks since the start. This paper just adds evidence to that idea.

It's why social spacing and quarantine of infected persons is so important.
Posted by lsu13lsu
Member since Jan 2008
11824 posts
Posted on 3/11/20 at 9:49 am to
quote:

Can the US take as effective measures against the virus?


I think we can. People are going to adapt and stop going to events with other people, stop shaking hands, work from home, school will be out for summer, etc etc etc. Restaurants, Airlines, Cruises, Hotels, etc will hurt.


People will adapt. I am a believer.
Posted by lsu13lsu
Member since Jan 2008
11824 posts
Posted on 3/11/20 at 9:49 am to
quote:

It's why social spacing and quarantine of infected persons is so important.


And lots of testing to identify the mild cases that could be super spreaders like S Korea did.
Posted by Eat Your Crow
caught beneath the landslide
Member since May 2017
9190 posts
Posted on 3/11/20 at 9:50 am to
Old people should be told to stay home. Not like a mandatory thing, but at least some type of warning.
Posted by Volvagia
Fort Worth
Member since Mar 2006
53483 posts
Posted on 3/11/20 at 9:50 am to
quote:



Which has been the narrative from the infectious disease folks since the start. This paper just adds evidence to that idea.


Funny thing is that folks like stout are going to pretend that everyone said that this was going to kill everybody, claim brilliance and victory when the strawman claim didn’t happen, then go home.
This post was edited on 3/11/20 at 10:13 am
Posted by Antonio Moss
The South
Member since Mar 2006
49430 posts
Posted on 3/11/20 at 9:51 am to
quote:

If an almighty force could tell you covid-19 would kill "only" 50,000 people in the US this year, and years going forward, would you be ok with going forward without anymore cancellations and news stories?


It's a stupid hypothetical.

Are those 50,000 evenly spread across the US, or - as with this and every other pandemic and epidemic - concentrated in certain areas?

It's not even an answerable question because it is so generalized and lacking in any sense of reality.

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