re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) ***W.H.O. DECLARES A GLOBAL PANDEMIC***

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I said what if you could know this virus would "only" kill 50k annually. Good to go forward as normal, right?

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You have your answer with how flu is handled now. I am confused by why you even need to ask this hypo.

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"If and when the infections will come -- and they will come, sorry to say, sad to say -- when you're dealing with an infectious disease... we want to be where the infection is going to be, as well as where it is," Fauci said.
"Everybody should say, 'All hands on deck,'" he added.

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Where was this CDC in January?

Weird that there’s a line for all CA private and public labs... and then a couple CA private labs are listed. Are they double counting?

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Not it isnt

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Yes, it is. You struggle to understand scale and concentration. It's not uncommon, most people do.

But to put it into sports terms, it would be like asking if LSU Basketball will win the SEC tournament if Joe Burrow throws three touchdowns.

It simply isn't reality.

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I am making a point that you and everyone else in here has made it a point in life to accept 50k deaths a year as an ok number for us to still have all events and large gatherings go on as normal during winter

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50K spread across the entire US and their regional systems over a 12 month period.

Sure.

That is not what happens in pandemics of novel viruses and is not what is happening now.

What if you have 50K deaths this year from COVID-19 but 20K of those occur in the two month period in the City of Los Angeles? Is that then an acceptable pretense for taking spread-reducing measures?

Political borders are great for politics but not for the spread of infectious disease. Viruses don't care how a civilization defines its borders.

You made the same blunder yesterday when you quoted he infection and death rate in China. Your numbers were right but they were completely and utterly irrelevant.

The Chinese did not occur evenly throughout China. 98% of it occurred in one small area of one in city in one province. It's called a cluster and it is what the infectious disease docs worry about.

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Because, we could still take further measures to decrease the spread of the flu, but we have decided that we do not need to

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Because it's not comparable. We do have flu clusters from time to time and take isolation measures but those instances are rare and the infectious spread of the flu is much more spread out geographically because our bodies already have antibodies to fight it off and 1/3 of the population gets a vaccine. It's herd immunity on a regional scale.


Look, I'm not trying to be an arse here but your understanding of infectious disease, spread, scale, and concentration are completely and utterly lacking. At no point in this entire thread have you contributed anything of relevance.

I don't think we need draconian methods here. People just need to wash their hands, don't touch their face and if you are sick stay home and don't flood the hospital and urgent cares unless you are very sick. Of course we live in a nation of morons so even that will be difficult.

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After a year, maybe. By May like this guy said, no.

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To have 8 million infected in eight weeks would require around 16k infected right now.


Is that an absurd assumption?

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I have tried to help yall stop being purse clutching fairies

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But coming from someone who quite literally has no clue what they are talking about is worthless.

I could advise NASA on how to build a rocket but it's not worth anything because I don't know the first thing about building rockets.

And I've been pretyy consisten in saying this isn't the apocoplase but it certainly isnt the flu,

I'm sure you know it is more than just washing your hands and not touching your face

If you are near someone with the virus, just them talking to you can be enough to be infected. The particles hang in the air as well. People are actually mini-spitting at you when they are talking. The time it does hang in the air is debatable, God knows it has been here, but still, it is there. Especially in closed areas.

That’s with the assumption of spread doubling every 6 days right without slowing at all right?

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Where was this CDC in January?

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Fauci isn't CDC, he is NIH and he seems to be one of the few federal officials free to say exactly what is on his mind.